Orest Melnik vs Volodymyr Vasyliev 3-2

TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup

Setka Cup

Played Oct 4Finished

Orest Melnik

Home

1.67

At publish

Won last 2

Form at publish

5–5Last 10Won last 2

Final

3 – 2

Set by set

1210911711119119

Volodymyr Vasyliev

Away

2.10

At publish

Won last 3

Form at publish

5–5Last 10Won last 3

The read, and what happenedsealed at 13:39 and never touched: 55.8% is still 55.8%

Graded at full time

Orest Melnik to win

55.8%

Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.

Read

Right

not sent

«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct, not a call that won.

How it is goingOrest Melnik above · Volodymyr Vasyliev below

Set 1 · 12-10

Set 2 · 9-11

Set 3 · 7-11

Set 4 · 3-5

Point 68 set 4, 3-5 · our read held Orest Melnik at 55.8%

68 points drawn · the score is 32 ahead; the rest land in a moment.

The pickNothing sent

Sealed 13:39

55.8%Our read60.0%to break even at 1.666

short by 4.2pp

60.0% (what it has to beat, and what the price implies: at 1.666 they are the same number)

What took a side2 for · 2 against · 2 silent

SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way

Market

1.67 (56%)

Melnik

Correct

no bar to clear: a priced side always votes

H2H

No meetings

—

No value

they have never met

Rating (G2)

Melnik 1260 vs Vasyliev 1166

Melnik

Correct

both rated, 93 points apart, no bar to clear

Form (L5)

Melnik 40% vs Vasyliev 60%

Vasyliev

Wrong

20pp gap, over the 15pp bar

Form (L10)

Melnik 50% vs Vasyliev 50%

—

Too close

0pp gap, under the 15pp bar

Streak

Melnik +2 · Vasyliev +3

Vasyliev

Wrong

one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not

Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing: the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.

This table lists the interface catalogue: the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.

2 for, 2 silent, and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.

Signal confidence: 56% · Slight lean (leans Melnik) · sealed before the serve

Decision Summary

Why this prediction

Vasyliev form (60%) outperforms what odds imply (48%)

Market vs Signals

Market oddsMelnik 1.666 / Vasyliev 2.10

Signal prob.56% / 44%

Edge (Melnik)-4.2pp (anti-value)

Setka Cup · #13240426

Melnik1.67

50%won 5 of 10 · last 10

Last match: today

Won last 2

oldest → newest

40%takes the first set · 4 of 10

As favourite73% won 48 of 66

Up 2–0, closes it96% 25 of 26

Up 1–0, closes it93% 40 of 43

Vasyliev2.10

50%won 5 of 10 · last 10

Last match: today

Won last 3

oldest → newest

60%takes the first set · 6 of 10

As underdog32% won 22 of 68

Down 0–1, comes back22% 9 of 41

Down 0–2, comes back0% 0 of 23

Head to head

H2H window

First meeting

These two have never played each other. It is not a loading failure: there is no history. The career card below still stands: it is the only comparison available.

Career, not this matchup

MetricMelnikVasylievBasisWin rate · lifetime163 / 352 vs 71 / 14946.3%47.7%163 / 352 vs 71 / 149Avg sets wonper match1.91.9per matchAvg pointsper match35.636.7per match

Deep Dive by Market

Each market builds on the overview above

Forecast

History

Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did: no prediction

Match Winner

Melnik

Melnik 1.67/Vasyliev 2.10

Read onlywould have hit

What we said

55.8%

Melnik · sealed before the serve

What happened

3–2

Melnik won

Total sets · Score

These two have never met.

The three history tabs read the same head-to-head record, so they go down together: one message, not three empty cards. The three forecast tabs are unaffected and stay open.

Recent Results

O. Melnik10