TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Anatolii Dulich vs Orest Melnik 3-2 · Setka Cup
Setka Cup
Played Sep 23Finished
Anatolii Dulich
Home
1.36
At publish
Lost last 3Form at publish
6–4Last 10Lost last 3
Final
3 – 2
Set by set
1189118111210116
Orest Melnik
Away
3.00
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 17:08 and never touched — 73.2% is still 73.2%
Graded at full timeAnatolii Dulich to win
73.2%
73.2%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingAnatolii Dulich above · Orest Melnik below
Set 1 · 11-8
Set 2 · 9-11
Set 3 · 8-11
Set 4 · 12-10
Set 5 · 11-6
Point 97 set 5, 11-6 — our read held Anatolii Dulich at 73.2%
97 points played in total.
H2H Anatolii Dulich 7–3 Orest Melnik Orest Melnik has won 3 of their 10 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 17:08What took a side6 for · 0 against · 0 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.36 (69%)
Dulich
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
7-3 in 10
Dulich
Correct
gap of 4 in 10, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Dulich 1381 vs Melnik 1231
Dulich
Correct
both rated, 150 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Dulich 40% vs Melnik 20%
Dulich
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Dulich 60% vs Melnik 40%
Dulich
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Dulich -3 · Melnik -2
Dulich
Correct
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
6 for, 0 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 70% — Strong (leans Dulich) · live re-read · sealed at 73% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Melnik form (20%) is below what odds imply (33%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsDulich 1.36 / Melnik 3.00
Signal prob.70% / 30%
Edge (Dulich)+1.6pp
Setka Cup · #13179646
Dulich1.36
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Lost last 3
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As favourite67% won 29 of 43
Up 2–0, closes it100% 15 of 15
Up 1–0, closes it85% 23 of 27
Melnik3.00
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Lost last 2
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As underdog30% won 39 of 129
Down 0–1, comes back16% 14 of 89
Down 0–2, comes back7% 4 of 56
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeDulich7wins
AwayMelnik3wins
2 of 10 to a deciderDulich leads 7–3, and 2 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeDulich87.5%7 of 8
AwayMelnikn = 2, below the 3 needed
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Dulich8Melnik2n = 10Dulich took 8 of 10
S2Dulich5Melnik5n = 10split evenly
S3Dulich8Melnik2n = 10Dulich took 8 of 10
S4Dulich3Melnik4n = 7Melnik took 4 of 7
S5
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home330%
3–1Four sets, home330%
3–2Decider, home110%
2–3Decider, away110%
1–3Four sets, away220%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 10 meetings
MetricDulichMelnikD − MBasisWins73+4in 10 meetingsFirst set82+6of 10Avg pointsper match39.233.7+5.5per matchSweeps30+33–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricDulichMelnikBasisWin rate · lifetime123 / 259 vs 170 / 36947.5%46.1%123 / 259 vs 170 / 369Avg sets wonper match2.01.9per matchAvg pointsper match36.735.6per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
DulichDulich 1.36/Melnik 3.00
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
70.4%
Dulich · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–2
Dulich won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WJul 14 · 16:55A. Dulich4211711133O. Melnik358115111
WJul 9 · 06:55A. Dulich331111113O. Melnik225980
WJul 8 · 05:25A. Dulich50119118113O. Melnik4141191162
LJul 7 · 16:55A. Dulich4781111892O. Melnik46116711113
LJul 1 · 10:10A. Dulich366711121O. Melnik4511119143
WJul 1 · 06:25A. Dulich4111811113O. Melnik35611991
WJun 30 · 16:55A. Dulich331111113O. Melnik164390
LApr 15 · 16:25A. Dulich391199101O. Melnik4061111123
WSep 10 · 07:25A. Dulich341211113O. Melnik2310580
WAug 26 · 14:25A. Dulich3712113113O. Melnik341061171
A. Dulich10
WSep 23 · 10:25S. Kryvoshyi4.005270A. Dulich1.221111113LSep 23 · 08:25A. Dulich2.50117681D. Kozoriz1.5051111113LSep 23 · 06:55A. Dulich1.614580V. Hel2.201111113LSep 23 · 04:55A. Dulich1.509114121O. Maksymkiv2.5011611143WJul 14 · 17:55O. Maksymkiv2.2571141132A. Dulich1.57118116113WJul 14 · 16:55A. Dulich1.4011711133O. Melnik2.758115111WJul 14 · 15:55A. Dulich1.2281111123S. Kryvoshyi4.001197101WJul 14 · 14:25A. Dulich1.33119711113K. Tkachenko3.2571111942WJul 14 · 12:25A. Dulich1.301111113V. Kheresko3.409540WJul 9 · 10:25O. Maksymkiv2.10111151052A. Dulich1.67991112113
O. Melnik10
LSep 23 · 07:25S. Kryvoshyi1.33118511113O. Melnik3.2541111762LSep 23 · 06:25O. Melnik1.7351350D. Kozoriz2.001115113WSep 23 · 05:25V. Hel1.4410760O. Melnik2.631211113LSep 22 · 18:25O. Melnik2.006890D. Kasian1.731111113LSep 22 · 16:25V. Hel1.571111113O. Melnik2.259640WSep 22 · 15:25O. Melnik1.801211133D. Kozoriz1.91109110WSep 22 · 14:25S. Kryvoshyi1.3012911942O. Melnik3.401011611113LSep 22 · 12:55O. Melnik6.506690K. Tkachenko1.101111113WSep 17 · 18:55O. Melnik1.3011711113I. Fokin3.40911961LJul 14 · 16:55A. Dulich1.4011711133O. Melnik2.758115111
Upcoming Matches
A. Dulich
Nothing scheduled
O. Melnik
Event Chatroom
This room is closed. Messages clear 24 hours after they are sent.