TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Pavlo Chyzh vs Illia Fokin · Setka Cup
Setka Cup
Starts Oct 10, 04:55Scheduled
7–3Last 10Won last 2
Head to head
1 – 2
All 3 meetings · 33.3%
Last 3 · 1–2Same side
6–4Last 10Lost last 2
Same-day rematch · 10h before this match
Chyzh beat Fokin 3-1.
Same-day rematch winners hit ~50% historically. The market typically prices this in, which is why it moves nothing in the read below: it is context, not a signal.
Price verdict
No edgeThe price already says it
Nothing we measure separates from the price on this match.
Measured with only what was known before each match, against 100/odds and the price taken before the first serve. It says where the price misses, not who wins.
Decision Summary
Market vs Signals
Market oddsChyzh 2.375 / Fokin 1.533
Setka Cup · #13270996
Chyzh2.38
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Won last 2
oldest → newest30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As underdog24% won 12 of 50
Down 0–1, comes back19% 7 of 36
Down 0–2, comes back7% 2 of 28
Fokin1.53
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Lost last 2
oldest → newest70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As favourite60% won 66 of 111
Up 2–0, closes it86% 37 of 43
Up 1–0, closes it74% 54 of 73
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 3 meetings
HomeChyzh1wins
AwayFokin2wins
Fokin leads 2–1.
First set to match win · in this matchup
Not enough first sets
Neither side has won the first set three times here, so there is no rate to publish.
Set by set, in these 3 meetingsevery set carries its own n: a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Chyzh1Fokin2n = 3Fokin took 2 of 3
S2Chyzh1Fokin2n = 3Fokin took 2 of 3
S3Chyzh1Fokin2n = 3Fokin took 2 of 3
S4
Only 2 matches reached it, below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 3 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 3. A scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home133%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away133%
0–3Straight, away133%
These 3 meetings
MetricChyzhFokinC − FBasisWins12−1in 3 meetingsFirst set12−1of 3Avg pointsper match33.038.3−5.3per matchSweeps01−13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricChyzhFokinBasisWin rate · lifetime101 / 230 vs 158 / 30743.9%51.5%101 / 230 vs 158 / 307Avg sets wonper match1.82.1per matchAvg pointsper match36.038.1per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did: no prediction
Match WinnerForecastThe edge lives in the pick, one screen up
No price history
Neither player has a record at this price yet, so there is no odds range to publish.
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record3
WOct 9 · 18:55P. Chyzh4181111113I. Fokin35116991
LAug 11 · 07:25P. Chyzh32910130I. Fokin381112153
LAug 10 · 15:25P. Chyzh26118431I. Fokin4291111113
P. Chyzh10
WOct 9 · 18:55I. Fokin1.44116991P. Chyzh2.6381111113WOct 9 · 17:25P. Chyzh3.40115114123V. Salivonchyk1.30711711102LOct 9 · 15:25M. Treschetka1.36111168143P. Chyzh3.00751111122WOct 9 · 13:25H. Oliynyk1.441191181P. Chyzh2.6391113113LOct 9 · 12:25A. Nikolenko3.251111113P. Chyzh1.339980WSep 19 · 10:25P. Chyzh1.401111113B. Pyrtyk2.754580LSep 19 · 08:55P. Chyzh1.118690M. Senyk6.001111113WSep 19 · 07:25P. Chyzh1.25511511123V. Sydorchuk3.75118114102WSep 19 · 05:55P. Chyzh1.28115116123O. Bolnyh3.50711411102WSep 19 · 04:23P. Chyzh1.2091111113M. Kornijchuk4.33116561
I. Fokin10
LOct 9 · 18:55I. Fokin1.44116991P. Chyzh2.6381111113LOct 9 · 16:55A. Nikolenko1.571111113I. Fokin2.257790WOct 9 · 14:55H. Oliynyk1.6136111272I. Fokin2.201111610113WOct 9 · 13:55I. Fokin2.7511511113V. Salivonchyk1.40811791LOct 9 · 12:55M. Treschetka1.40121147133I. Fokin2.751081111112WOct 2 · 11:25I. Fokin1.2011158113O. Bolnyh4.339131141WOct 2 · 09:25B. Pyrtyk2.7512119101I. Fokin1.4014911123LOct 2 · 07:25O. Martynenko2.20111110113I. Fokin1.61981231WOct 2 · 06:25I. Fokin1.281111133Y. Shcherbak3.5078110WOct 2 · 05:25P. Melnichuk3.40101151162I. Fokin1.30123115113
Upcoming Matches
P. Chyzh
I. Fokin
Event Chatroom
Nobody has written yet. Sign in to be the first.
Messages clear 24 hours after they are sent.