TT Lossbeater/TT Cup
Christian Kratochvil vs Zbynek Vyskocil 3-1 · TT Cup
TT Cup
Played Oct 5Finished
Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 2
Final
3 – 1
Set by set
118116711115––
Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 20:19 and never touched: 59.7% is still 59.7%
Graded at full timeChristian Kratochvil to win
59.7%
59.7%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct, not a call that won.
How it is goingChristian Kratochvil above · Zbynek Vyskocil below
Set 1 · 11-8
Set 2 · 11-6
Set 3 · 7-11
Set 4 · 11-5
Point 70 set 4, 11-5 · our read held Christian Kratochvil at 59.7%
70 points played in total.
H2H Christian Kratochvil 10–3 Zbynek Vyskocil Zbynek Vyskocil has won 3 of their 13 meetings.
The pickContradict
Sealed 20:1959.7%Our read66.7%to break even at 1.50
short by 7.0pp66.7% (what it has to beat, and what the price implies: at 1.50 they are the same number)
What took a side2 for · 2 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.50 (63%)
Kratochvil
Correct
no bar to clear: a priced side always votes
H2H
10-3 in 13
Kratochvil
Correct
gap of 7 in 13, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Kratochvil 1420 vs Vyskocil 1489
Vyskocil
Wrong
both rated, 68 points apart, no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Kratochvil 20% vs Vyskocil 60%
Vyskocil
Wrong
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Kratochvil 40% vs Vyskocil 50%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Kratochvil -2 · Vyskocil -1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing: the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue: the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
2 for, 2 silent, and the gate let it through as Contradict.
Signal confidence: 60% · Slight lean (leans Kratochvil) · sealed before the serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Vyskocil form (60%) outperforms what odds imply (40%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsKratochvil 1.50 / Vyskocil 2.50
Signal prob.60% / 40%
Edge (Vyskocil)+0.3pp
TT Cup · #13248060
Kratochvil1.50
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Lost last 2
oldest → newest70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As favourite53% won 58 of 110
Up 2–0, closes it97% 32 of 33
Up 1–0, closes it81% 46 of 57
Vyskocil2.50
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
56%takes the first set · 5 of 9
As underdog48% won 48 of 101
Down 0–1, comes back32% 22 of 68
Down 0–2, comes back9% 3 of 33
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeKratochvil8wins
AwayVyskocil2wins
4 of 10 to a deciderKratochvil leads 8–2, and 4 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeKratochvil87.5%7 of 8
AwayVyskociln = 2, below the 3 needed
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n: a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Kratochvil8Vyskocil2n = 10Kratochvil took 8 of 10
S2Kratochvil6Vyskocil4n = 10Kratochvil took 6 of 10
S3Kratochvil5Vyskocil5n = 10split evenly
S4Kratochvil5Vyskocil3n = 8Kratochvil took 5 of 8
S5Kratochvil3Vyskocil1n = 4Kratochvil took 3 of 4
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10. A scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home220%
3–1Four sets, home330%
3–2Decider, home330%
2–3Decider, away110%
1–3Four sets, away110%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 10 meetings
MetricKratochvilVyskocilK − VBasisWins82+6in 10 meetingsFirst set82+6of 10Avg pointsper match41.638.3+3.3per matchSweeps20+23–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricKratochvilVyskocilBasisWin rate · lifetime238 / 433 vs 287 / 58455%49.1%238 / 433 vs 287 / 584Avg sets wonper match2.22.0per matchAvg pointsper match39.238.7per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did: no prediction
Match Winner
VyskocilKratochvil 1.50/Vyskocil 2.50
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
59.7%
Kratochvil · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–1
Kratochvil won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WAug 31 · 21:25C. Kratochvil331111113Z. Vyskocil239950
WAug 19 · 20:25C. Kratochvil4011117113Z. Vyskocil35891171
WJul 20 · 18:55C. Kratochvil341211113Z. Vyskocil2410950
LJul 13 · 22:00C. Kratochvil37981191Z. Vyskocil4111118113
WJul 13 · 20:50C. Kratochvil49117911113Z. Vyskocil4491111582
WJul 1 · 20:25C. Kratochvil47115713113Z. Vyskocil46511111182
WMar 25 · 19:50C. Kratochvil49118144123Z. Vyskocil528111211102
LMar 22 · 23:28C. Kratochvil49111181092Z. Vyskocil49871112113
WMar 22 · 21:55C. Kratochvil3811124113Z. Vyskocil345101181
WFeb 2 · 22:30C. Kratochvil4071111113Z. Vyskocil35117981
C. Kratochvil10
LOct 5 · 18:55A. Krcil1.677111112113C. Kratochvil2.10111361062LSep 20 · 13:59C. Kratochvil1.52117151182Z. Dusek2.35511179113WSep 20 · 12:55C. Kratochvil1.5712119213Z. Dusek2.2510611191LSep 20 · 11:55C. Kratochvil1.7311112952A. Brandtl Jr2.00981111113LSep 20 · 10:55C. Kratochvil2.0061112742L. Rek1.731191011113LSep 19 · 22:35C. Kratochvil2.401111101142B. Budik1.50139128113WSep 19 · 20:55T. Rein2.759860C. Kratochvil1.401111113LSep 19 · 20:25B. Budik1.441110811113C. Kratochvil2.4031211882WSep 19 · 19:25C. Kratochvil2.381211153J. Dohnal1.53108140WSep 19 · 18:02J. Cousin1.6531030C. Kratochvil2.101112113
Z. Vyskocil10
WOct 5 · 20:55A. Krcil1.36511871Z. Vyskocil3.0011311113LOct 5 · 19:25Z. Vyskocil2.10611115102T. Barsa1.67119911123WOct 2 · 22:00P. Cibik1.921071791Z. Vyskocil1.78121115113WOct 2 · 20:50Z. Vyskocil2.104111411113T. Cerveny Jr1.6711716572WOct 2 · 19:20S. Matousch1.7311109121Z. Vyskocil2.0071211143LOct 2 · 18:50P. Cibik2.00811811123Z. Vyskocil1.73116118102WSep 23 · 21:59L. Vich1.910Z. Vyskocil1.803LSep 23 · 20:50Z. Vyskocil1.80117511102L. Vich1.91811116123WSep 23 · 19:20M. Dlask2.635470Z. Vyskocil1.441111113LSep 23 · 18:50M. Nemec2.5061112113Z. Vyskocil1.501181051
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