TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Andrii Vasylets vs Oleksandr Lyman 3-0 · Setka Cup
Setka Cup
Played Sep 26Finished
Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 2
Final
3 – 0
Set by set
1191161210––––
Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 4
The read, and what happenedsealed at 01:35 and never touched — 58.6% is still 58.6%
Graded at full timeAndrii Vasylets to win
58.6%
58.6%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingAndrii Vasylets above · Oleksandr Lyman below
Set 1 · 11-9
Set 2 · 11-6
Set 3 · 12-10
Point 59 set 3, 12-10 — our read held Andrii Vasylets at 58.6%
59 points played in total.
H2H Andrii Vasylets 32–35 Oleksandr Lyman Andrii Vasylets has won 32 of their 67 meetings.
The pickConfirm
Sealed 01:35What took a side3 for · 2 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.67 (56%)
Vasylets
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
32-35 in 67
Lyman
Wrong
gap of 3 in 67, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Vasylets 1680 vs Lyman 1403
Vasylets
Correct
both rated, 277 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Vasylets 60% vs Lyman 20%
Vasylets
Correct
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Vasylets 50% vs Lyman 40%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Vasylets +2 · Lyman -4
Lyman
Wrong
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 1 silent — and the gate let it through as Confirm.
Signal confidence: 59% — Slight lean (leans Vasylets)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Lyman form (20%) is below what odds imply (48%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsVasylets 1.67 / Lyman 2.10
Signal prob.59% / 41%
Edge (Vasylets)+2.8pp
Setka Cup · #13198111
Vasylets1.67
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Won last 2
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite55% won 29 of 53
Up 2–0, closes it82% 14 of 17
Up 1–0, closes it75% 24 of 32
Lyman2.10
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Lost last 4
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog30% won 66 of 221
Down 0–1, comes back17% 22 of 130
Down 0–2, comes back5% 4 of 78
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeVasylets6wins
AwayLyman4wins
3 of 10 to a deciderVasylets leads 6–4, and 3 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeVasylets80%4 of 5
AwayLyman60%3 of 5
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Vasylets5Lyman5n = 10split evenly
S2Vasylets4Lyman6n = 10Lyman took 6 of 10
S3Vasylets6Lyman3n = 9Vasylets took 6 of 9
S4Vasylets6Lyman1n = 7Vasylets took 6 of 7
S5Vasylets1Lyman2n = 3Lyman took 2 of 3
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home220%
3–1Four sets, home330%
3–2Decider, home110%
2–3Decider, away220%
1–3Four sets, away110%
0–3Straight, away110%
These 10 meetings
MetricVasyletsLymanV − LBasisWins64+2in 10 meetingsFirst set550of 10Avg pointsper match38.836.8+2.0per matchSweeps21+13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricVasyletsLymanBasisWin rate · lifetime231 / 515 vs 267 / 61544.9%43.4%231 / 515 vs 267 / 615Avg sets wonper match1.91.9per matchAvg pointsper match37.136.7per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
VasyletsVasylets 1.67/Lyman 2.10
Hit
What we said
58.6%
Vasylets · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–0
Vasylets won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record9
WAug 26 · 11:00A. Vasylets4181111113O. Lyman35119871
WAug 22 · 13:30A. Vasylets331111113O. Lyman174850
WAug 19 · 08:00A. Vasylets45111211113O. Lyman31914261
WJun 20 · 12:30A. Vasylets43111011113O. Lyman32512781
LJun 6 · 16:00A. Vasylets4359111172O. Lyman45111157113
LMay 30 · 13:30A. Vasylets3811107101O. Lyman4381211123
LMay 23 · 12:30A. Vasylets154470O. Lyman331111113
WMay 16 · 15:00A. Vasylets46811511113O. Lyman4411611882
LMay 9 · 16:00A. Vasylets4578121172O. Lyman511111108113
A. Vasylets10
WSep 26 · 13:30D. Prylepa1.83111371A. Vasylets1.8311911113WSep 26 · 12:30A. Vasylets2.5011112113M. Hubenko1.50681151LSep 22 · 17:00A. Vasylets2.385470M. Hubenko1.531111113WSep 22 · 16:00A. Vasylets2.381111113A. Lushchyk1.537750LSep 22 · 15:30A. Vasylets2.638121191S. Chuhai1.4411148113WSep 22 · 14:30S. Chuhai1.446711121A. Vasylets2.6311116143LSep 22 · 13:30A. Lushchyk1.501151110113A. Vasylets2.5081141292LSep 22 · 12:00M. Hubenko1.531111113A. Vasylets2.385480LSep 19 · 17:03M. Hubenko1.5041111103A. Vasylets2.50114771WSep 19 · 15:30V. Tatarnykov1.53111031162A. Vasylets2.38812117113
O. Lyman10
LSep 26 · 13:00O. Kurylenko1.6711911153O. Lyman2.109117131LSep 26 · 12:00D. Prylepa1.3391311113O. Lyman3.251111871LSep 25 · 11:30O. Kurylenko1.6711511113O. Lyman2.10611381LSep 25 · 10:00O. Lyman2.631011111182D. Kuzmenko1.44121395103WSep 25 · 08:00S. Maliuk1.50661171O. Lyman2.5011116113LSep 25 · 06:00D. Prylepa1.361111113O. Lyman3.007750LSep 25 · 05:00O. Syksa1.17111132O. Lyman4.507951WSep 24 · 11:00O. Kurylenko1.6781271162O. Lyman2.101110119113WSep 24 · 10:00S. Miroshnychenko3.0011780O. Lyman1.361311113WSep 24 · 08:30D. Kuzmenko1.44771171O. Lyman2.6311115113
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