TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Dmytro Prylepa vs Oleksandr Lyman 3-0 · Setka Cup
Setka Cup
Played Sep 25Finished
Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 1
Final
3 – 0
Set by set
117117115––––
Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 3
The read, and what happenedsealed at 16:57 and never touched — 70.4% is still 70.4%
Graded at full timeDmytro Prylepa to win
70.4%
70.4%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingDmytro Prylepa above · Oleksandr Lyman below
Set 1 · 11-7
Set 2 · 11-7
Set 3 · 11-5
Point 52 set 3, 11-5 — our read held Dmytro Prylepa at 70.4%
52 points played in total.
H2H Dmytro Prylepa 25–9 Oleksandr Lyman Oleksandr Lyman has won 9 of their 34 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 16:57What took a side3 for · 1 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.36 (69%)
Prylepa
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
25-9 in 34
Prylepa
Correct
gap of 16 in 34, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Prylepa 1476 vs Lyman 1417
Prylepa
Correct
both rated, 59 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Prylepa 60% vs Lyman 60%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Prylepa 40% vs Lyman 50%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Prylepa -1 · Lyman +3
Lyman
Wrong
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 70% — Strong (leans Prylepa)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Lyman form (60%) outperforms what odds imply (33%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsPrylepa 1.36 / Lyman 3.00
Signal prob.70% / 30%
Edge (Prylepa)+1.6pp
Setka Cup · #13190448
Prylepa1.36
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite62% won 125 of 203
Up 2–0, closes it97% 59 of 61
Up 1–0, closes it85% 101 of 119
Lyman3.00
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Won last 3
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As underdog30% won 65 of 216
Down 0–1, comes back18% 22 of 126
Down 0–2, comes back5% 4 of 75
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomePrylepa7wins
AwayLyman3wins
5 of 10 to a deciderPrylepa leads 7–3, and 5 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomePrylepa100%5 of 5
AwayLyman60%3 of 5
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Prylepa5Lyman5n = 10split evenly
S2Prylepa6Lyman4n = 10Prylepa took 6 of 10
S3Prylepa7Lyman3n = 10Prylepa took 7 of 10
S4Prylepa7Lyman0n = 7Prylepa took 7 of 7
S5Prylepa2Lyman3n = 5Lyman took 3 of 5
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home330%
3–1Four sets, home220%
3–2Decider, home220%
2–3Decider, away330%
1–3Four sets, away00%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 10 meetings
MetricPrylepaLymanP − LBasisWins73+4in 10 meetingsFirst set550of 10Avg pointsper match40.838.3+2.5per matchSweeps30+33–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricPrylepaLymanBasisWin rate · lifetime395 / 805 vs 266 / 61049.1%43.6%395 / 805 vs 266 / 610Avg sets wonper match2.01.9per matchAvg pointsper match37.436.7per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
PrylepaPrylepa 1.36/Lyman 3.00
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
70.4%
Prylepa · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–0
Prylepa won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WSep 25 · 06:00D. Prylepa331111113O. Lyman197750
LSep 21 · 07:00D. Prylepa41310111162O. Lyman48111259113
LSep 10 · 06:30D. Prylepa4238111192O. Lyman48111169113
WSep 6 · 11:00D. Prylepa4181111113O. Lyman34117881
WSep 4 · 08:00D. Prylepa3911611113O. Lyman29711651
WAug 20 · 10:30D. Prylepa47611811113O. Lyman4111411692
LJun 18 · 11:00D. Prylepa40101121522O. Lyman561291113113
WJun 15 · 10:30D. Prylepa51128811123O. Lyman511011119102
WJun 10 · 07:00D. Prylepa371511113O. Lyman3013890
WJun 3 · 08:00D. Prylepa371111153O. Lyman2777130
D. Prylepa10
LSep 25 · 04:30D. Prylepa1.5751191172D. Kuzmenko2.25119118113WSep 23 · 10:30O. Ziakun2.0099111172D. Prylepa1.73111179113WSep 23 · 09:30D. Prylepa1.40111111113S. Miroshnychenko2.75513471LSep 23 · 08:30D. Prylepa1.6711136782S. Maliuk2.109111111113WSep 23 · 07:00D. Prylepa2.638111110113M. Hubenko1.4411681242LSep 23 · 05:00D. Prylepa2.75811971O. Syksa1.4011611113LSep 21 · 10:30O. Syksa1.4411117113D. Prylepa2.63481181LSep 21 · 09:30D. Prylepa1.61116861O. Kurylenko2.2071111113WSep 21 · 08:30D. Prylepa1.671211113S. Maliuk2.1010560LSep 21 · 07:00D. Prylepa1.33310111162O. Lyman3.25111259113
O. Lyman10
LSep 25 · 05:00O. Syksa1.17111132O. Lyman4.507951WSep 24 · 11:00O. Kurylenko1.6781271162O. Lyman2.101110119113WSep 24 · 10:00S. Miroshnychenko3.0011780O. Lyman1.361311113WSep 24 · 08:30D. Kuzmenko1.44771171O. Lyman2.6311115113LSep 24 · 06:30O. Syksa1.201111113O. Lyman4.337940LSep 24 · 04:30M. Hubenko1.3011511113O. Lyman3.40511941WSep 22 · 10:30O. Lyman2.201011718143O. Ziakun1.611251116122LSep 22 · 09:00O. Lyman2.509950S. Maliuk1.501111113LSep 22 · 07:30O. Lyman2.004560O. Kurylenko1.731111113WSep 21 · 07:00D. Prylepa1.33310111162O. Lyman3.25111259113
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