TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Oleh Kurylenko vs Oleksandr Lyman 2-3 · Setka Cup
Setka Cup
Played Sep 24Finished
Oleh Kurylenko
Home
1.67
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
7–3Last 10Lost last 1
Final
2 – 3
Set by set
8111210711119611
Oleksandr Lyman
Away
2.10
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
4–6Last 10Won last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 17:41 and never touched — 57.0% is still 57.0%
Graded at full timeOleh Kurylenko to win
57.0%
57.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is goingOleh Kurylenko above · Oleksandr Lyman below
Set 1 · 8-11
Set 2 · 12-10
Set 3 · 7-11
Set 4 · 11-9
Set 5 · 6-11
Point 96 set 5, 6-11 — our read held Oleh Kurylenko at 57.0%
96 points played in total.
H2H Oleh Kurylenko 54–36 Oleksandr Lyman Oleksandr Lyman has won 36 of their 90 meetings.
Last 10 · 5–5Head to head
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 17:41What took a side4 for · 0 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.67 (56%)
Kurylenko
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
54-36 in 90
Kurylenko
Wrong
gap of 18 in 90, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Kurylenko 1534 vs Lyman 1415
Kurylenko
Wrong
both rated, 119 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Kurylenko 60% vs Lyman 60%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Kurylenko 70% vs Lyman 40%
Kurylenko
Wrong
30pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Kurylenko -1 · Lyman +2
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
4 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 59% — Slight lean (leans Kurylenko) · live re-read · sealed at 57% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Lyman form (60%) outperforms what odds imply (48%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsKurylenko 1.67 / Lyman 2.10
Signal prob.59% / 41%
Edge (Kurylenko)+3.2pp
Setka Cup · #13185214
Kurylenko1.67
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite61% won 157 of 259
Up 2–0, closes it90% 73 of 81
Up 1–0, closes it80% 109 of 136
Lyman2.10
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Won last 2
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As underdog30% won 64 of 216
Down 0–1, comes back18% 23 of 127
Down 0–2, comes back5% 4 of 76
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeKurylenko5wins
AwayLyman5wins
4 of 10 to a deciderLevel at 5–5, and 4 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeKurylenko100%4 of 4
AwayLyman83.3%5 of 6
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Kurylenko4Lyman6n = 10Lyman took 6 of 10
S2Kurylenko4Lyman6n = 10Lyman took 6 of 10
S3Kurylenko6Lyman4n = 10Kurylenko took 6 of 10
S4Kurylenko3Lyman3n = 6split evenly
S5Kurylenko3Lyman1n = 4Kurylenko took 3 of 4
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home220%
3–1Four sets, home00%
3–2Decider, home330%
2–3Decider, away110%
1–3Four sets, away330%
0–3Straight, away110%
These 10 meetings
MetricKurylenkoLymanK − LBasisWins550in 10 meetingsFirst set46−2of 10Avg pointsper match38.439.3−0.9per matchSweeps21+13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricKurylenkoLymanBasisWin rate · lifetime495 / 999 vs 266 / 60949.6%43.7%495 / 999 vs 266 / 609Avg sets wonper match2.01.9per matchAvg pointsper match37.236.7per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
KurylenkoKurylenko 1.67/Lyman 2.10
Miss
What we said
59%
Kurylenko · sealed before the serve
What happened
2–3
Lyman won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record9
WSep 22 · 07:30O. Kurylenko331111113O. Lyman154560
WSep 21 · 05:30O. Kurylenko52147911113O. Lyman49121111782
WSep 18 · 07:00O. Kurylenko371111153O. Lyman2768130
LSep 17 · 05:30O. Kurylenko33781171O. Lyman4111118113
WSep 11 · 11:30O. Kurylenko48114913113O. Lyman50811111192
LSep 10 · 05:30O. Kurylenko25611171O. Lyman3911116113
LSep 8 · 11:00O. Kurylenko54820111142O. Lyman571118134113
LSep 4 · 11:30O. Kurylenko184860O. Lyman331111113
WSep 3 · 05:30O. Kurylenko46411119113O. Lyman4311571192
O. Kurylenko10
LSep 24 · 09:00M. Hubenko1.331111123O. Kurylenko3.2566100WSep 24 · 08:00O. Kurylenko1.44111011113S. Miroshnychenko2.63912761WSep 24 · 07:00D. Kuzmenko1.9151171262O. Kurylenko1.801191110113WSep 24 · 05:30O. Kurylenko2.101111119113O. Syksa1.6784131172LSep 22 · 11:30O. Kurylenko1.83911111062D. Kuzmenko1.83116812113WSep 22 · 09:30O. Ziakun1.91121311952O. Kurylenko1.801015611113WSep 22 · 07:30O. Lyman2.004560O. Kurylenko1.731111113WSep 22 · 06:30O. Kurylenko1.4481311113S. Miroshnychenko2.631111171LSep 22 · 05:30S. Maliuk1.831111113O. Kurylenko1.835860WSep 21 · 11:30O. Kurylenko1.801111113D. Kuzmenko1.918780
O. Lyman10
WSep 24 · 10:00S. Miroshnychenko3.0011780O. Lyman1.361311113WSep 24 · 08:30D. Kuzmenko1.44771171O. Lyman2.6311115113LSep 24 · 06:30O. Syksa1.201111113O. Lyman4.337940LSep 24 · 04:30M. Hubenko1.3011511113O. Lyman3.40511941WSep 22 · 10:30O. Lyman2.201011718143O. Ziakun1.611251116122LSep 22 · 09:00O. Lyman2.509950S. Maliuk1.501111113LSep 22 · 07:30O. Lyman2.004560O. Kurylenko1.731111113LSep 22 · 06:00O. Lyman2.753111111102D. Kuzmenko1.40119139123WSep 22 · 04:30O. Lyman1.401111113S. Miroshnychenko2.757770LSep 21 · 11:00O. Lyman2.381396101S. Maliuk1.53111111123
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