TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Oleh Kurylenko vs Oleksandr Syksa 3-2 · Setka Cup
Setka Cup
Played Sep 24Finished
Oleh Kurylenko
Home
2.10
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
7–3Last 10Lost last 1
Final
3 – 2
Set by set
1181141113911117
Oleksandr Syksa
Away
1.67
At publish
Won last 3Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 3
The read, and what happenedsealed at 18:07 and never touched — 57.4% is still 57.4%
Graded at full timeOleksandr Syksa to win
57.4%
57.4%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is goingOleh Kurylenko above · Oleksandr Syksa below
Set 1 · 11-8
Set 2 · 11-4
Set 3 · 11-13
Set 4 · 9-11
Set 5 · 11-7
Point 96 set 5, 11-7 — our read held Oleksandr Syksa at 57.4%
96 points played in total.
H2H Oleh Kurylenko 67–89 Oleksandr Syksa Oleh Kurylenko has won 67 of their 156 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 18:07What took a side5 for · 0 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.67 (56%)
Syksa
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
67-89 in 156
Syksa
Wrong
gap of 22 in 156, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Kurylenko 1513 vs Syksa 1586
Syksa
Wrong
both rated, 73 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Kurylenko 60% vs Syksa 80%
Syksa
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Kurylenko 70% vs Syksa 60%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Kurylenko -1 · Syksa +3
Syksa
Wrong
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
5 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 57% — Slight lean (leans Syksa)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Syksa form (80%) outperforms what odds imply (60%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsKurylenko 2.10 / Syksa 1.67
Signal prob.43% / 57%
Edge (Syksa)+1.6pp
Setka Cup · #13185294
Kurylenko2.10
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
Last match: 2 days ago (Sep 22)
oldest → newest
30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As underdog32% won 69 of 216
Down 0–1, comes back18% 24 of 134
Down 0–2, comes back8% 6 of 76
Syksa1.67
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Won last 3
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As favourite68% won 245 of 359
Up 2–0, closes it94% 103 of 110
Up 1–0, closes it83% 165 of 200
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeKurylenko6wins
AwaySyksa4wins
6 of 10 to a deciderKurylenko leads 6–4, and 6 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeKurylenko71.4%5 of 7
AwaySyksa66.7%2 of 3
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Kurylenko7Syksa3n = 10Kurylenko took 7 of 10
S2Kurylenko6Syksa4n = 10Kurylenko took 6 of 10
S3Kurylenko6Syksa4n = 10Kurylenko took 6 of 10
S4Kurylenko2Syksa5n = 7Syksa took 5 of 7
S5Kurylenko3Syksa3n = 6split evenly
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home220%
3–1Four sets, home110%
3–2Decider, home330%
2–3Decider, away330%
1–3Four sets, away00%
0–3Straight, away110%
These 10 meetings
MetricKurylenkoSyksaK − SBasisWins64+2in 10 meetingsFirst set73+4of 10Avg pointsper match43.139.9+3.2per matchSweeps21+13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricKurylenkoSyksaBasisWin rate · lifetime492 / 995 vs 591 / 111349.5%53.1%492 / 995 vs 591 / 1113Avg sets wonper match2.02.0per matchAvg pointsper match37.237.5per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
SyksaKurylenko 2.10/Syksa 1.67
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
57.4%
Syksa · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–2
Kurylenko won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WSep 21 · 07:30O. Kurylenko50781311113O. Syksa42111111452
WSep 18 · 08:00O. Kurylenko361411113O. Syksa2412570
LSep 17 · 07:00O. Kurylenko4411117962O. Syksa50981111113
WSep 16 · 07:30O. Kurylenko351311113O. Syksa2611960
LSep 14 · 06:30O. Kurylenko4411128762O. Syksa474101111113
WSep 11 · 06:30O. Kurylenko611381113163O. Syksa541111315142
LSep 10 · 07:00O. Kurylenko29101180O. Syksa361213113
WSep 7 · 09:30O. Kurylenko4111117123O. Syksa357711101
WSep 4 · 07:30O. Kurylenko47116118113O. Syksa4241181182
LSep 2 · 08:00O. Kurylenko4481111862O. Syksa43119111113
O. Kurylenko10
LSep 22 · 11:30O. Kurylenko1.83911111062D. Kuzmenko1.83116812113WSep 22 · 09:30O. Ziakun1.91121311952O. Kurylenko1.801015611113WSep 22 · 07:30O. Lyman2.004560O. Kurylenko1.731111113WSep 22 · 06:30O. Kurylenko1.4481311113S. Miroshnychenko2.631111171LSep 22 · 05:30S. Maliuk1.831111113O. Kurylenko1.835860WSep 21 · 11:30O. Kurylenko1.801111113D. Kuzmenko1.918780WSep 21 · 09:30D. Prylepa1.61116861O. Kurylenko2.2071111113WSep 21 · 07:30O. Syksa1.61111111452O. Kurylenko2.20781311113LSep 21 · 06:30O. Kurylenko1.8310101331S. Maliuk1.83121211113WSep 21 · 05:30O. Lyman2.00121111782O. Kurylenko1.73147911113
O. Syksa10
WSep 24 · 06:30O. Syksa1.201111113O. Lyman4.337940WSep 23 · 11:30S. Miroshnychenko3.259550O. Syksa1.331111113WSep 23 · 10:00O. Syksa1.5751112113S. Maliuk2.251181071WSep 23 · 08:00M. Hubenko1.4498111192O. Syksa2.63111187113LSep 23 · 06:00O. Ziakun2.501113123O. Syksa1.50911100WSep 23 · 05:00D. Prylepa2.75811971O. Syksa1.4011611113WSep 21 · 10:30O. Syksa1.4411117113D. Prylepa2.63481181WSep 21 · 09:00O. Syksa1.20111112113O. Lyman4.334131031LSep 21 · 07:30O. Syksa1.61111111452O. Kurylenko2.20781311113LSep 21 · 06:00O. Syksa1.6785111162D. Kuzmenko2.10111184113
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