TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Dmytro Prylepa vs Dmitro Kuzmenko 2-3 · Setka Cup
Setka Cup
Played Sep 25Finished
Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 2
Final
2 – 3
Set by set
511119911118711
Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 17:11 and never touched — 60.1% is still 60.1%
Graded at full timeDmytro Prylepa to win
60.1%
60.1%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is goingDmytro Prylepa above · Dmitro Kuzmenko below
Set 1 · 5-11
Set 2 · 11-9
Set 3 · 9-11
Set 4 · 11-8
Set 5 · 7-11
Point 93 set 5, 7-11 — our read held Dmytro Prylepa at 60.1%
93 points played in total.
H2H Dmytro Prylepa 61–28 Dmitro Kuzmenko Dmitro Kuzmenko has won 28 of their 89 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 17:11What took a side3 for · 1 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.57 (59%)
Prylepa
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
61-28 in 89
Prylepa
Wrong
gap of 33 in 89, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Prylepa 1474 vs Kuzmenko 1490
Kuzmenko
Correct
both rated, 16 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Prylepa 60% vs Kuzmenko 40%
Prylepa
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Prylepa 50% vs Kuzmenko 50%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Prylepa +2 · Kuzmenko +2
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 60% — Slight lean (leans Prylepa)
Decision Summary
Market vs Signals
Market oddsPrylepa 1.57 / Kuzmenko 2.25
Signal prob.60% / 40%
Edge (Prylepa)+1.2pp
Setka Cup · #13190574
Prylepa1.57
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Last match: 2 days ago (Sep 23)
Won last 2
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As favourite62% won 127 of 205
Up 2–0, closes it97% 60 of 62
Up 1–0, closes it85% 103 of 121
Kuzmenko2.25
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Won last 2
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As underdog35% won 105 of 303
Down 0–1, comes back16% 28 of 172
Down 0–2, comes back4% 4 of 103
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomePrylepa7wins
AwayKuzmenko3wins
2 of 10 to a deciderPrylepa leads 7–3, and 2 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomePrylepa100%6 of 6
AwayKuzmenko75%3 of 4
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Prylepa6Kuzmenko4n = 10Prylepa took 6 of 10
S2Prylepa6Kuzmenko4n = 10Prylepa took 6 of 10
S3Prylepa5Kuzmenko5n = 10split evenly
S4Prylepa3Kuzmenko1n = 4Prylepa took 3 of 4
S5
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home440%
3–1Four sets, home110%
3–2Decider, home220%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away110%
0–3Straight, away220%
These 10 meetings
MetricPrylepaKuzmenkoP − KBasisWins73+4in 10 meetingsFirst set64+2of 10Avg pointsper match35.331.1+4.2per matchSweeps42+23–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricPrylepaKuzmenkoBasisWin rate · lifetime394 / 803 vs 394 / 94149.1%41.9%394 / 803 vs 394 / 941Avg sets wonper match2.01.8per matchAvg pointsper match37.436.4per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
PrylepaPrylepa 1.57/Kuzmenko 2.25
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
60.1%
Prylepa · sealed before the serve
What happened
2–3
Kuzmenko won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WSep 21 · 05:00D. Prylepa49118811113D. Kuzmenko4261111772
WSep 14 · 07:00D. Prylepa571115911113D. Kuzmenko47131311732
WSep 7 · 09:00D. Prylepa4211119113D. Kuzmenko32961161
WAug 28 · 05:00D. Prylepa351111133D. Kuzmenko2687110
WAug 24 · 05:00D. Prylepa331111113D. Kuzmenko179710
WAug 18 · 09:30D. Prylepa331111113D. Kuzmenko249960
LAug 16 · 15:00D. Prylepa326511101D. Kuzmenko4211118123
WAug 5 · 09:30D. Prylepa331111113D. Kuzmenko156630
LAug 3 · 06:30D. Prylepa209470D. Kuzmenko331111113
LJul 29 · 10:30D. Prylepa199550D. Kuzmenko331111113
D. Prylepa10
WSep 25 · 06:00D. Prylepa1.361111113O. Lyman3.007750WSep 23 · 10:30O. Ziakun2.0099111172D. Prylepa1.73111179113WSep 23 · 09:30D. Prylepa1.40111111113S. Miroshnychenko2.75513471LSep 23 · 08:30D. Prylepa1.6711136782S. Maliuk2.109111111113WSep 23 · 07:00D. Prylepa2.638111110113M. Hubenko1.4411681242LSep 23 · 05:00D. Prylepa2.75811971O. Syksa1.4011611113LSep 21 · 10:30O. Syksa1.4411117113D. Prylepa2.63481181LSep 21 · 09:30D. Prylepa1.61116861O. Kurylenko2.2071111113WSep 21 · 08:30D. Prylepa1.671211113S. Maliuk2.1010560LSep 21 · 07:00D. Prylepa1.33310111162O. Lyman3.25111259113
D. Kuzmenko10
WSep 24 · 10:30M. Hubenko1.36114891D. Kuzmenko3.0051111113WSep 24 · 09:30D. Kuzmenko2.201111113O. Syksa1.618990LSep 24 · 08:30D. Kuzmenko1.44771171O. Lyman2.6311115113LSep 24 · 07:00D. Kuzmenko1.9151171262O. Kurylenko1.801191110113LSep 24 · 05:00D. Kuzmenko1.4469111152S. Miroshnychenko2.63111185113WSep 22 · 11:30O. Kurylenko1.83911111062D. Kuzmenko1.83116812113LSep 22 · 10:00D. Kuzmenko1.4411112101S. Miroshnychenko2.6313911123LSep 22 · 08:00S. Maliuk1.8011611133D. Kuzmenko1.918118111WSep 22 · 06:00O. Lyman2.753111111102D. Kuzmenko1.40119139123WSep 22 · 05:00O. Ziakun2.00511591D. Kuzmenko1.7311811113
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