TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Maksym Hubenko vs Dmitro Kuzmenko 1-3 · Setka Cup
Setka Cup
Played Sep 24Finished
Maksym Hubenko
Home
1.36
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
7–3Last 10Won last 2
Final
1 – 3
Set by set
115411811911––
Dmitro Kuzmenko
Away
3.00
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
4–6Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 18:05 and never touched — 75.1% is still 75.1%
Graded at full timeMaksym Hubenko to win
75.1%
75.1%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is goingMaksym Hubenko above · Dmitro Kuzmenko below
Set 1 · 11-5
Set 2 · 4-11
Set 3 · 8-11
Set 4 · 9-11
Point 70 set 4, 9-11 — our read held Maksym Hubenko at 75.1%
70 points played in total.
H2H Maksym Hubenko 54–13 Dmitro Kuzmenko Dmitro Kuzmenko has won 13 of their 67 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 18:05What took a side5 for · 0 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.36 (69%)
Hubenko
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
54-13 in 67
Hubenko
Wrong
gap of 41 in 67, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Hubenko 1703 vs Kuzmenko 1471
Hubenko
Wrong
both rated, 232 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Hubenko 80% vs Kuzmenko 40%
Hubenko
Wrong
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Hubenko 70% vs Kuzmenko 40%
Hubenko
Wrong
30pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Hubenko +2 · Kuzmenko +1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
5 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 75% — Strong (leans Hubenko)
Decision Summary
Market vs Signals
Market oddsHubenko 1.36 / Kuzmenko 3.00
Signal prob.75% / 25%
Edge (Hubenko)+6.3pp
Setka Cup · #13185311
Hubenko1.36
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Won last 2
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As favourite73% won 247 of 339
Up 2–0, closes it94% 125 of 133
Up 1–0, closes it83% 174 of 210
Kuzmenko3.00
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As underdog35% won 105 of 303
Down 0–1, comes back16% 28 of 172
Down 0–2, comes back4% 4 of 103
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeHubenko8wins
AwayKuzmenko2wins
5 of 10 to a deciderHubenko leads 8–2, and 5 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeHubenko100%6 of 6
AwayKuzmenko50%2 of 4
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Hubenko6Kuzmenko4n = 10Hubenko took 6 of 10
S2Hubenko5Kuzmenko5n = 10split evenly
S3Hubenko5Kuzmenko5n = 10split evenly
S4Hubenko5Kuzmenko3n = 8Hubenko took 5 of 8
S5Hubenko5Kuzmenko0n = 5Hubenko took 5 of 5
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home220%
3–1Four sets, home110%
3–2Decider, home550%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away220%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 10 meetings
MetricHubenkoKuzmenkoH − KBasisWins82+6in 10 meetingsFirst set64+2of 10Avg pointsper match43.137.5+5.6per matchSweeps20+23–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricHubenkoKuzmenkoBasisWin rate · lifetime568 / 1053 vs 393 / 94053.9%41.8%568 / 1053 vs 393 / 940Avg sets wonper match2.11.8per matchAvg pointsper match38.236.4per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
HubenkoHubenko 1.36/Kuzmenko 3.00
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
75.1%
Hubenko · sealed before the serve
What happened
1–3
Kuzmenko won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WSep 20 · 11:30M. Hubenko5611111211113D. Kuzmenko3713514412
WSep 16 · 08:30M. Hubenko538121111113D. Kuzmenko3511145232
WSep 14 · 09:00M. Hubenko491210511113D. Kuzmenko37101211222
WSep 9 · 10:30M. Hubenko48131211123D. Kuzmenko4111146101
WSep 5 · 16:00M. Hubenko51138611133D. Kuzmenko531111119112
LSep 2 · 08:30M. Hubenko28211781D. Kuzmenko4211911113
WAug 28 · 10:00M. Hubenko331111113D. Kuzmenko153480
WAug 25 · 09:30M. Hubenko46111248113D. Kuzmenko49810111192
LAug 21 · 09:30M. Hubenko34751391D. Kuzmenko44111111113
WAug 17 · 09:30M. Hubenko331111113D. Kuzmenko227960
M. Hubenko10
WSep 24 · 09:00M. Hubenko1.331111123O. Kurylenko3.2566100WSep 24 · 07:30M. Hubenko1.401711113O. Syksa2.7515860LSep 24 · 06:00M. Hubenko1.17813851S. Miroshnychenko4.50111111113WSep 24 · 04:30M. Hubenko1.3011511113O. Lyman3.40511941WSep 23 · 11:00M. Hubenko1.4451111113S. Maliuk2.63118931WSep 23 · 09:00O. Ziakun3.0012711332M. Hubenko1.361011411113LSep 23 · 08:00M. Hubenko1.4498111192O. Syksa2.63111187113LSep 23 · 07:00D. Prylepa2.638111110113M. Hubenko1.4411681242WSep 23 · 05:30M. Hubenko1.17191110113S. Miroshnychenko4.501781271WSep 22 · 17:00A. Vasylets2.385470M. Hubenko1.531111113
D. Kuzmenko10
WSep 24 · 09:30D. Kuzmenko2.201111113O. Syksa1.618990LSep 24 · 08:30D. Kuzmenko1.44771171O. Lyman2.6311115113LSep 24 · 07:00D. Kuzmenko1.9151171262O. Kurylenko1.801191110113LSep 24 · 05:00D. Kuzmenko1.4469111152S. Miroshnychenko2.63111185113WSep 22 · 11:30O. Kurylenko1.83911111062D. Kuzmenko1.83116812113LSep 22 · 10:00D. Kuzmenko1.4411112101S. Miroshnychenko2.6313911123LSep 22 · 08:00S. Maliuk1.8011611133D. Kuzmenko1.918118111WSep 22 · 06:00O. Lyman2.753111111102D. Kuzmenko1.40119139123WSep 22 · 05:00O. Ziakun2.00511591D. Kuzmenko1.7311811113LSep 21 · 11:30O. Kurylenko1.801111113D. Kuzmenko1.918780
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