TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Maksym Hubenko vs Oleksandr Syksa 3-0 · Setka Cup
Setka Cup
Played Sep 24Finished
Maksym Hubenko
Home
1.40
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
6–4Last 10Lost last 1
Final
3 – 0
Set by set
1715118116––––
Oleksandr Syksa
Away
2.75
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
7–3Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 18:04 and never touched — 66.1% is still 66.1%
Graded at full timeMaksym Hubenko to win
66.1%
66.1%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingMaksym Hubenko above · Oleksandr Syksa below
Set 1 · 17-15
Set 2 · 11-8
Set 3 · 11-6
Point 68 set 3, 11-6 — our read held Maksym Hubenko at 66.1%
68 points played in total.
H2H Maksym Hubenko 117–72 Oleksandr Syksa Oleksandr Syksa has won 72 of their 189 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 18:04What took a side3 for · 1 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.40 (66%)
Hubenko
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
117-72 in 189
Hubenko
Correct
gap of 45 in 189, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Hubenko 1694 vs Syksa 1570
Hubenko
Correct
both rated, 124 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Hubenko 60% vs Syksa 80%
Syksa
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Hubenko 60% vs Syksa 70%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Hubenko -1 · Syksa +1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 70% — Clear lean (leans Hubenko) · live re-read · sealed at 66% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Syksa form (80%) outperforms what odds imply (36%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsHubenko 1.40 / Syksa 2.75
Signal prob.70% / 30%
Edge (Hubenko)+3.6pp
Setka Cup · #13185309
Hubenko1.40
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite73% won 247 of 339
Up 2–0, closes it94% 125 of 133
Up 1–0, closes it83% 174 of 210
Syksa2.75
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As underdog27% won 59 of 216
Down 0–1, comes back15% 21 of 144
Down 0–2, comes back4% 4 of 101
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeHubenko8wins
AwaySyksa2wins
6 of 10 to a deciderHubenko leads 8–2, and 6 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeHubenko100%4 of 4
AwaySyksa33.3%2 of 6
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Hubenko4Syksa6n = 10Syksa took 6 of 10
S2Hubenko5Syksa5n = 10split evenly
S3Hubenko6Syksa4n = 10Hubenko took 6 of 10
S4Hubenko6Syksa2n = 8Hubenko took 6 of 8
S5Hubenko4Syksa1n = 5Hubenko took 4 of 5
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home110%
3–1Four sets, home220%
3–2Decider, home550%
2–3Decider, away110%
1–3Four sets, away00%
0–3Straight, away110%
These 10 meetings
MetricHubenkoSyksaH − SBasisWins82+6in 10 meetingsFirst set46−2of 10Avg pointsper match44.139.4+4.7per matchSweeps1103–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricHubenkoSyksaBasisWin rate · lifetime567 / 1052 vs 592 / 111653.9%53.1%567 / 1052 vs 592 / 1116Avg sets wonper match2.12.0per matchAvg pointsper match38.237.5per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
HubenkoHubenko 1.40/Syksa 2.75
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
69.9%
Hubenko · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–0
Hubenko won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record9
WSep 24 · 07:30M. Hubenko391711113O. Syksa2915860
LSep 23 · 08:00M. Hubenko4898111192O. Syksa48111187113
WSep 20 · 06:30M. Hubenko548111011143O. Syksa51118128122
WSep 17 · 05:00M. Hubenko47711711113O. Syksa3711911242
WSep 16 · 10:30M. Hubenko6010111711113O. Syksa51121315562
WSep 14 · 04:30M. Hubenko49111197113O. Syksa4174111182
LSep 9 · 05:00M. Hubenko177640O. Syksa331111113
WSep 6 · 05:00M. Hubenko4411911133O. Syksa336115111
WSep 4 · 10:30M. Hubenko3911611113O. Syksa32611691
M. Hubenko10
LSep 24 · 06:00M. Hubenko1.17813851S. Miroshnychenko4.50111111113WSep 24 · 04:30M. Hubenko1.3011511113O. Lyman3.40511941WSep 23 · 11:00M. Hubenko1.4451111113S. Maliuk2.63118931WSep 23 · 09:00O. Ziakun3.0012711332M. Hubenko1.361011411113LSep 23 · 08:00M. Hubenko1.4498111192O. Syksa2.63111187113LSep 23 · 07:00D. Prylepa2.638111110113M. Hubenko1.4411681242WSep 23 · 05:30M. Hubenko1.17191110113S. Miroshnychenko4.501781271WSep 22 · 17:00A. Vasylets2.385470M. Hubenko1.531111113LSep 22 · 16:30S. Chuhai1.401111113M. Hubenko2.755790WSep 22 · 15:00A. Lushchyk1.538950M. Hubenko2.381111113
O. Syksa10
WSep 24 · 06:30O. Syksa1.201111113O. Lyman4.337940LSep 24 · 05:30O. Kurylenko2.101111119113O. Syksa1.6784131172WSep 23 · 11:30S. Miroshnychenko3.259550O. Syksa1.331111113WSep 23 · 10:00O. Syksa1.5751112113S. Maliuk2.251181071WSep 23 · 08:00M. Hubenko1.4498111192O. Syksa2.63111187113LSep 23 · 06:00O. Ziakun2.501113123O. Syksa1.50911100WSep 23 · 05:00D. Prylepa2.75811971O. Syksa1.4011611113WSep 21 · 10:30O. Syksa1.4411117113D. Prylepa2.63481181WSep 21 · 09:00O. Syksa1.20111112113O. Lyman4.334131031LSep 21 · 07:30O. Syksa1.61111111452O. Kurylenko2.20781311113
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