TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
Damian Fira vs Lukasz Bernacki 1-3 · TT Elite Series
TT Elite Series
Played Sep 25Finished
Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 1
Final
1 – 3
Set by set
119911611611––
Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 1
How it is going
Point-by-point unavailable
BetsAPI did not publish a timeline for this match.
74 points played in total.
Set by set
119911611611––
H2H Damian Fira 4–9 Lukasz Bernacki Damian Fira has won 4 of their 13 meetings.
Signal confidence: 60% — Slight lean (leans Bernacki)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Fira form (80%) outperforms what odds imply (45%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsFira 2.20 / Bernacki 1.57
Signal prob.40% / 60%
Edge (Bernacki)+1.2pp
TT Elite Series · #13197415
Fira2.20
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As underdog41% won 85 of 207
Down 0–1, comes back25% 28 of 114
Down 0–2, comes back14% 8 of 58
Bernacki1.57
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As favourite66% won 61 of 92
Up 2–0, closes it100% 34 of 34
Up 1–0, closes it87% 45 of 52
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeFira2wins
AwayBernacki8wins
5 of 10 to a deciderBernacki leads 8–2, and 5 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeFira25%1 of 4
AwayBernacki83.3%5 of 6
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Fira4Bernacki6n = 10Bernacki took 6 of 10
S2Fira4Bernacki6n = 10Bernacki took 6 of 10
S3Fira5Bernacki5n = 10split evenly
S4Fira3Bernacki5n = 8Bernacki took 5 of 8
S5Fira1Bernacki4n = 5Bernacki took 4 of 5
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home110%
3–1Four sets, home00%
3–2Decider, home110%
2–3Decider, away440%
1–3Four sets, away330%
0–3Straight, away110%
These 10 meetings
MetricFiraBernackiF − BBasisWins28−6in 10 meetingsFirst set46−2of 10Avg pointsper match35.641.9−6.3per matchSweeps1103–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricFiraBernackiBasisWin rate · lifetime208 / 473 vs 247 / 48544%50.9%208 / 473 vs 247 / 485Avg sets wonper match1.92.0per matchAvg pointsper match37.637.5per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
BernackiFira 2.20/Bernacki 1.57
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
59.6%
Bernacki · sealed before the serve
What happened
1–3
Bernacki won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LSep 4 · 23:30D. Fira30117481L. Bernacki4071111113
WSep 4 · 22:40D. Fira371115113L. Bernacki2791350
LJul 26 · 20:45D. Fira28117371L. Bernacki4071111113
LJul 26 · 02:20D. Fira237790L. Bernacki331111113
LApr 5 · 21:55D. Fira3755111152L. Bernacki47111177113
LApr 5 · 03:55D. Fira4031111782L. Bernacki46117611113
LApr 4 · 21:55D. Fira30861151L. Bernacki4111118113
WMar 22 · 03:45D. Fira481011511113L. Bernacki4412911482
LMar 22 · 00:05D. Fira4061181142L. Bernacki50118119113
LMar 1 · 16:05D. Fira4314811462L. Bernacki511211611113
D. Fira10
WSep 25 · 21:05D. Fira1.8211811113O. Sokolowski1.88411651LSep 25 · 19:55D. Fira2.15117641J. Badura1.6371111113WSep 25 · 18:45R. Wiza1.956131171D. Fira1.7511159113WSep 25 · 17:55D. Fira2.751291113113J. Orszulik1.37141171122WSep 20 · 04:40D. Fira1.801211113J. Nowak1.9010650WSep 20 · 03:05R. Szymik1.6866120D. Fira2.071111143LSep 20 · 02:20D. Dytko1.521011912113D. Fira2.11129111082WSep 20 · 01:30D. Fira1.501111113J. Michalski2.405790LSep 20 · 00:20D. Fira1.687811121G. Sawicki1.8711113143LSep 19 · 22:40D. Fira1.75101191172J. Nowak1.95128116113
L. Bernacki10
WSep 25 · 21:30R. Wiza2.501110961L. Bernacki1.5091211113LSep 25 · 20:45L. Bernacki2.009970J. Orszulik1.721111113WSep 25 · 19:10L. Bernacki1.801111911113J. Badura1.9094111362WSep 25 · 18:20O. Sokolowski2.0581450L. Bernacki1.651116113LSep 6 · 05:05L. Bernacki1.8571270R. Adach1.801114113LSep 6 · 03:30L. Bernacki1.704111061R. Wiza2.0011912113WSep 6 · 02:20L. Bernacki1.62911815113A. Szurgot2.17118111372LSep 6 · 00:45L. Bernacki2.059640R. Szymik1.701111113WSep 5 · 23:30L. Bernacki2.40111011173P. Polok1.503124151LSep 5 · 22:20R. Szymik1.805151014113L. Bernacki1.851113121292
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