TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
Damian Fira vs Jaroslaw Badura 1-3 · TT Elite Series
TT Elite Series
Played Sep 25Finished
Form at publish
7–3Last 10Won last 4
Final
1 – 3
Set by set
117711611411––
Form at publish
7–3Last 10Lost last 1
How it is going
Point-by-point unavailable
BetsAPI did not publish a timeline for this match.
68 points played in total.
Set by set
117711611411––
H2H Damian Fira 3–1 Jaroslaw Badura Jaroslaw Badura has won 1 of their 4 meetings.
Signal confidence: 57% — Slight lean (leans Badura)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Fira form (80%) outperforms what odds imply (47%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsFira 2.15 / Badura 1.63
Signal prob.43% / 57%
Edge (Badura)+0.0pp
TT Elite Series · #13196636
Fira2.15
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Won last 4
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As underdog41% won 85 of 207
Down 0–1, comes back25% 28 of 114
Down 0–2, comes back14% 8 of 58
Badura1.63
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
80%takes the first set · 8 of 10
As favourite73% won 77 of 105
Up 2–0, closes it97% 37 of 38
Up 1–0, closes it89% 55 of 62
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 4 meetings
HomeFira3wins
AwayBadura1wins
2 of 4 to a deciderFira leads 3–1, and 2 of those 4 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
Not enough first sets
Neither side has won the first set three times here, so there is no rate to publish.
Set by set, in these 4 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Fira2Badura2n = 4split evenly
S2Fira4Badura0n = 4Fira took 4 of 4
S3Fira3Badura1n = 4Fira took 3 of 4
S4
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S5
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 4 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 4 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home250%
3–1Four sets, home00%
3–2Decider, home125%
2–3Decider, away125%
1–3Four sets, away00%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 4 meetings
MetricFiraBaduraF − BBasisWins31+2in 4 meetingsFirst set220of 4Avg pointsper match40.836.5+4.3per matchSweeps20+23–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricFiraBaduraBasisWin rate · lifetime207 / 471 vs 308 / 56644%54.4%207 / 471 vs 308 / 566Avg sets wonper match1.92.1per matchAvg pointsper match37.637.6per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
BaduraFira 2.15/Badura 1.63
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
56.9%
Badura · sealed before the serve
What happened
1–3
Badura won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record4
WAug 3 · 02:20D. Fira351111133J. Badura2357110
WAug 2 · 18:30D. Fira331111113J. Badura236980
LAug 2 · 02:20D. Fira501112101252J. Badura5613101210113
WAug 1 · 18:20D. Fira452111110113J. Badura4411391292
D. Fira10
WSep 25 · 18:45R. Wiza1.956131171D. Fira1.7511159113WSep 25 · 17:55D. Fira2.751291113113J. Orszulik1.37141171122WSep 20 · 04:40D. Fira1.801211113J. Nowak1.9010650WSep 20 · 03:05R. Szymik1.6866120D. Fira2.071111143LSep 20 · 02:20D. Dytko1.521011912113D. Fira2.11129111082WSep 20 · 01:30D. Fira1.501111113J. Michalski2.405790LSep 20 · 00:20D. Fira1.687811121G. Sawicki1.8711113143LSep 19 · 22:40D. Fira1.75101191172J. Nowak1.95128116113WSep 19 · 21:05R. Szymik1.501111191D. Fira2.4041113113WSep 19 · 20:20G. Sawicki1.958970D. Fira1.741111113
J. Badura10
LSep 25 · 19:10L. Bernacki1.801111911113J. Badura1.9094111362WSep 25 · 17:30R. Wiza2.20109100J. Badura1.571211123LSep 19 · 16:40J. Badura1.85115611102O. Sokolowski1.80711118123WSep 19 · 15:05S. Sojka1.857111791J. Badura1.8011619113WSep 19 · 14:20R. Wojcik1.90117711122J. Badura1.80411115143WSep 19 · 13:30J. Badura1.6011411113P. Slosarczyk1.98911781WSep 19 · 12:20J. Badura1.8611118113J. Slawomir1.83761161WSep 19 · 10:40J. Badura1.681211113O. Sokolowski2.0510960WSep 19 · 09:05M. Adamus1.78891231J. Badura1.93111110113LSep 19 · 08:20S. Sojka1.71101111113J. Badura2.00128651
Upcoming Matches
D. Fira
J. Badura
Nothing scheduled
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