TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
TT Elite SeriesMatch #13158429
Played Sep 19Finished
Jaroslaw Badura
Home
1.85
At publish
Won last 6Form at publish
7–3Last 10Won last 6
Final
2 – 3
Set by set
1175116111181012
Oskar Sokolowski
Away
1.80
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
4–6Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 08:39 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeOskar Sokolowski to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is going
Point-by-point unavailable
BetsAPI did not publish a timeline for this match.
92 points played in total.
Set by set
1175116111181012
H2H Jaroslaw Badura 5–2 Oskar Sokolowski Oskar Sokolowski has won 2 of their 7 meetings.
Same-day rematch · 6h before this match
Badura beat Sokolowski 3-0.
Same-day rematch winners hit ~50% historically — the market typically prices this in. Which is why it moves nothing in the read below: it is context, not a signal.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 08:39What took a side1 for · 5 against · 0 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.80 (51%)
Sokolowski
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
5-2 in 7
Badura
Wrong
gap of 3 in 7, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Badura 1393 vs Sokolowski 1291
Badura
Wrong
both rated, 102 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Badura 100% vs Sokolowski 40%
Badura
Wrong
60pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Badura 70% vs Sokolowski 40%
Badura
Wrong
30pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Badura +6 · Sokolowski +1
Badura
Wrong
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
1 for, 0 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Badura) · live re-read · sealed at 46% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Sokolowski form (40%) is below what odds imply (56%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsBadura 1.85 / Sokolowski 1.80
Signal prob.54% / 46%
Edge (Badura)+4.7pp
TT Elite Series · #13158429
Badura1.85
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Won last 6
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As underdog44% won 52 of 117
Down 0–1, comes back24% 16 of 67
Down 0–2, comes back6% 2 of 34
Sokolowski1.80
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite63% won 30 of 48
Up 2–0, closes it100% 13 of 13
Up 1–0, closes it82% 22 of 27
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 7 meetings
HomeBadura5wins
AwaySokolowski2wins
3 of 7 to a deciderBadura leads 5–2, and 3 of those 7 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeBadura71.4%5 of 7
AwaySokolowskin = 0, below the 3 needed
Set by set, in these 7 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Badura7Sokolowski0n = 7Badura took 7 of 7
S2Badura3Sokolowski4n = 7Sokolowski took 4 of 7
S3Badura4Sokolowski3n = 7Badura took 4 of 7
S4Badura4Sokolowski2n = 6Badura took 4 of 6
S5Badura1Sokolowski2n = 3Sokolowski took 2 of 3
How those 7 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 7 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home114%
3–1Four sets, home343%
3–2Decider, home114%
2–3Decider, away229%
1–3Four sets, away00%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 7 meetings
MetricBaduraSokolowskiB − SBasisWins52+3in 7 meetingsFirst set70+7of 7Avg pointsper match43.741.0+2.7per matchSweeps10+13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricBaduraSokolowskiBasisWin rate · lifetime312 / 578 vs 129 / 38154%33.9%312 / 578 vs 129 / 381Avg sets wonper match2.11.7per matchAvg pointsper match37.637.4per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
BaduraBadura 1.85/Sokolowski 1.80
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
54%
Badura · sealed before the serve
What happened
2–3
Sokolowski won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record7
WSep 19 · 10:40J. Badura341211113O. Sokolowski2510960
WJul 26 · 22:00J. Badura47111113123O. Sokolowski396815101
WJul 26 · 18:00J. Badura50111311153O. Sokolowski447159131
LDec 22 · 03:20J. Badura42121118102O. Sokolowski531091111123
LDec 21 · 21:20J. Badura42114511112O. Sokolowski47311119133
WDec 15 · 01:00J. Badura4111711123O. Sokolowski337115101
WDec 14 · 20:10J. Badura50118119113O. Sokolowski4691181172
J. Badura10
WSep 19 · 15:05S. Sojka1.857111791J. Badura1.8011619113WSep 19 · 14:20R. Wojcik1.90117711122J. Badura1.80411115143WSep 19 · 13:30J. Badura1.6011411113P. Slosarczyk1.98911781WSep 19 · 12:20J. Badura1.8611118113J. Slawomir1.83761161WSep 19 · 10:40J. Badura1.681211113O. Sokolowski2.0510960WSep 19 · 09:05M. Adamus1.78891231J. Badura1.93111110113LSep 19 · 08:20S. Sojka1.71101111113J. Badura2.00128651WSep 19 · 07:30J. Badura1.71912188113P. Slosarczyk2.001110161152LSep 19 · 06:20J. Badura1.8359111172R. Wojcik1.83111198113LSep 12 · 05:05J. Badura1.783350J. Orszulik1.851111113
O. Sokolowski10
WSep 19 · 15:55P. Slosarczyk1.82611110O. Sokolowski1.881113133LSep 19 · 13:55S. Sojka1.91121011113O. Sokolowski1.801012781WSep 19 · 13:10J. Slawomir1.606960O. Sokolowski2.201111113LSep 19 · 11:30R. Wojcik1.67137911113O. Sokolowski2.10111111662LSep 19 · 10:40J. Badura1.681211113O. Sokolowski2.0510960LSep 19 · 09:55P. Slosarczyk1.8511711113O. Sokolowski1.80511881WSep 19 · 07:55M. Adamus1.50612711102O. Sokolowski2.401110116123LSep 19 · 07:10R. Wojcik1.60312711123O. Sokolowski2.101110115102WSep 19 · 05:30S. Sojka1.851316511102O. Sokolowski1.801514118123LSep 17 · 08:45P. Adamus1.381111123O. Sokolowski2.6567100
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