TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Vasyl Moshovskyi vs Oleksandr Storozhenko 2-3 · Setka Cup
Setka Cup
Played Sep 25Finished
Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 2
Final
2 – 3
Set by set
119511118411911
Form at publish
7–3Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 19:36 and never touched — 57.0% is still 57.0%
Graded at full timeOleksandr Storozhenko to win
57.0%
57.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingVasyl Moshovskyi above · Oleksandr Storozhenko below
Set 1 · 11-9
Set 2 · 5-11
Set 3 · 11-8
Set 4 · 4-11
Set 5 · 9-11
Point 90 set 5, 9-11 — our read held Oleksandr Storozhenko at 57.0%
90 points played in total.
H2H Vasyl Moshovskyi 12–15 Oleksandr Storozhenko Vasyl Moshovskyi has won 12 of their 27 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 19:36What took a side5 for · 0 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.67 (56%)
Storozhenko
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
12-15 in 27
Storozhenko
Correct
gap of 3 in 27, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Moshovskyi 1519 vs Storozhenko 1561
Storozhenko
Correct
both rated, 41 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Moshovskyi 40% vs Storozhenko 60%
Storozhenko
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Moshovskyi 40% vs Storozhenko 70%
Storozhenko
Correct
30pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Moshovskyi -2 · Storozhenko -1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
5 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 57% — Slight lean (leans Storozhenko)
Decision Summary
Market vs Signals
Market oddsMoshovskyi 2.10 / Storozhenko 1.67
Signal prob.43% / 57%
Edge (Storozhenko)+1.2pp
Setka Cup · #13191228
Moshovskyi2.10
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Lost last 2
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog42% won 32 of 77
Down 0–1, comes back29% 13 of 45
Down 0–2, comes back15% 4 of 26
Storozhenko1.67
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As favourite56% won 167 of 300
Up 2–0, closes it87% 58 of 67
Up 1–0, closes it69% 109 of 158
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeMoshovskyi4wins
AwayStorozhenko6wins
3 of 10 to a deciderStorozhenko leads 6–4, and 3 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeMoshovskyi50%3 of 6
AwayStorozhenko75%3 of 4
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Moshovskyi6Storozhenko4n = 10Moshovskyi took 6 of 10
S2Moshovskyi5Storozhenko5n = 10split evenly
S3Moshovskyi4Storozhenko6n = 10Storozhenko took 6 of 10
S4Moshovskyi4Storozhenko5n = 9Storozhenko took 5 of 9
S5Moshovskyi1Storozhenko2n = 3Storozhenko took 2 of 3
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home110%
3–1Four sets, home220%
3–2Decider, home110%
2–3Decider, away220%
1–3Four sets, away440%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 10 meetings
MetricMoshovskyiStorozhenkoM − SBasisWins46−2in 10 meetingsFirst set64+2of 10Avg pointsper match40.541.3−0.8per matchSweeps10+13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricMoshovskyiStorozhenkoBasisWin rate · lifetime184 / 336 vs 276 / 52954.8%52.2%184 / 336 vs 276 / 529Avg sets wonper match2.12.1per matchAvg pointsper match38.939.1per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
StorozhenkoMoshovskyi 2.10/Storozhenko 1.67
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
57%
Storozhenko · sealed before the serve
What happened
2–3
Storozhenko won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WSep 8 · 13:35V. Moshovskyi45121011123O. Storozhenko3810126101
WAug 29 · 03:15V. Moshovskyi4112117113O. Storozhenko331061161
LAug 26 · 11:35V. Moshovskyi4416101081O. Storozhenko49141212113
LAug 10 · 21:30V. Moshovskyi29115941O. Storozhenko4181111113
WAug 8 · 11:25V. Moshovskyi56991611113O. Storozhenko51111114692
LJul 25 · 21:45V. Moshovskyi40411111042O. Storozhenko47115812113
LJul 17 · 23:45V. Moshovskyi368115121O. Storozhenko3811211143
LJul 10 · 23:15V. Moshovskyi349114101O. Storozhenko3911511123
WJun 24 · 07:35V. Moshovskyi331111113O. Storozhenko237880
LJun 17 · 07:35V. Moshovskyi47111571132O. Storozhenko54817117113
V. Moshovskyi10
WSep 25 · 17:55D. Maltsev2.101371171V. Moshovskyi1.6715117113WSep 25 · 16:55V. Moshovskyi2.10311611113M. Potapov1.6711811792LSep 25 · 14:25V. Moshovskyi1.61101070Y. Tebenko2.201212113LSep 25 · 12:25V. Moshovskyi2.6310950I. Pytsko1.441211113WSep 21 · 02:15V. Moshovskyi1.671111113V. Korobko2.107890WSep 21 · 00:45V. Moshovskyi1.731211113D. Maltsev2.0010990LSep 20 · 23:15V. Moshovskyi1.7311771492I. Fashchevskyi2.005111112113WSep 20 · 21:45V. Moshovskyi2.25931412113M. Potapov1.571111121062LSep 20 · 20:15V. Moshovskyi2.386116101I. Pytsko1.5311811123LSep 8 · 18:05V. Moshovskyi2.10681141M. Potapov1.6711114113
O. Storozhenko10
WSep 25 · 18:25Y. Tebenko1.8371181182O. Storozhenko1.83119115113WSep 25 · 17:25I. Pytsko2.201198111O. Storozhenko1.6121111133LSep 25 · 13:55M. Potapov2.6311511113O. Storozhenko1.44511771WSep 25 · 11:55D. Maltsev2.101011991O. Storozhenko1.6712611113WSep 24 · 18:55D. Maltsev1.91311561O. Storozhenko1.8011411113WSep 24 · 17:25O. Storozhenko1.731111113I. Pytsko2.003890LSep 24 · 15:25Y. Tebenko1.911111133O. Storozhenko1.8076110WSep 24 · 13:25I. Fashchevskyi2.25811421O. Storozhenko1.5711611113WSep 24 · 12:25M. Potapov2.2511791162O. Storozhenko1.57911114113LSep 23 · 02:45I. Fashchevskyi2.2091411113O. Storozhenko1.611112971
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