TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Mykhailo Potapov vs Oleksandr Storozhenko 3-1 · Setka Cup
Setka Cup
Played Sep 25Finished
Form at publish
3–7Last 10Lost last 3
Final
3 – 1
Set by set
115511117117––
Form at publish
7–3Last 10Won last 3
The read, and what happenedsealed at 18:04 and never touched — 60.1% is still 60.1%
Graded at full timeOleksandr Storozhenko to win
60.1%
60.1%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is goingMykhailo Potapov above · Oleksandr Storozhenko below
Set 1 · 11-5
Set 2 · 5-11
Set 3 · 11-7
Set 4 · 11-7
Point 68 set 4, 11-7 — our read held Oleksandr Storozhenko at 60.1%
68 points played in total.
H2H Mykhailo Potapov 10–21 Oleksandr Storozhenko Mykhailo Potapov has won 10 of their 31 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 18:04What took a side5 for · 0 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.44 (65%)
Storozhenko
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
10-21 in 31
Storozhenko
Wrong
gap of 11 in 31, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Potapov 1518 vs Storozhenko 1587
Storozhenko
Wrong
both rated, 69 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Potapov 40% vs Storozhenko 80%
Storozhenko
Wrong
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Potapov 30% vs Storozhenko 70%
Storozhenko
Wrong
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Potapov -3 · Storozhenko +3
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
5 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 67% — Clear lean (leans Storozhenko) · live re-read · sealed at 60% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Storozhenko form (80%) outperforms what odds imply (69%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsPotapov 2.63 / Storozhenko 1.44
Signal prob.34% / 67%
Edge (Storozhenko)+2.0pp
Setka Cup · #13190924
Potapov2.63
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Lost last 3
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As underdog43% won 52 of 122
Down 0–1, comes back20% 13 of 66
Down 0–2, comes back4% 1 of 28
Storozhenko1.44
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Won last 3
oldest → newest70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As favourite56% won 167 of 300
Up 2–0, closes it87% 58 of 67
Up 1–0, closes it69% 109 of 158
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomePotapov4wins
AwayStorozhenko6wins
2 of 10 to a deciderStorozhenko leads 6–4, and 2 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomePotapov50%2 of 4
AwayStorozhenko66.7%4 of 6
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Potapov4Storozhenko6n = 10Storozhenko took 6 of 10
S2Potapov6Storozhenko4n = 10Potapov took 6 of 10
S3Potapov4Storozhenko6n = 10Storozhenko took 6 of 10
S4Potapov4Storozhenko6n = 10Storozhenko took 6 of 10
S5
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home330%
3–2Decider, home110%
2–3Decider, away110%
1–3Four sets, away550%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 10 meetings
MetricPotapovStorozhenkoP − SBasisWins46−2in 10 meetingsFirst set46−2of 10Avg pointsper match36.338.5−2.2per matchSweeps0003–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricPotapovStorozhenkoBasisWin rate · lifetime203 / 432 vs 276 / 52847%52.3%203 / 432 vs 276 / 528Avg sets wonper match2.12.1per matchAvg pointsper match38.739.1per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
StorozhenkoPotapov 2.63/Storozhenko 1.44
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
66.5%
Storozhenko · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–1
Potapov won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LSep 24 · 12:25M. Potapov4411791162O. Storozhenko46911114113
WSep 22 · 20:15M. Potapov4181111113O. Storozhenko30114871
LSep 21 · 13:55M. Potapov355101191O. Storozhenko4011126113
LSep 11 · 21:45M. Potapov34711971O. Storozhenko3811511113
WSep 9 · 05:05M. Potapov4181111113O. Storozhenko34118961
LSep 8 · 12:35M. Potapov27411571O. Storozhenko3911611113
WSep 7 · 23:45M. Potapov41114114113O. Storozhenko4381151182
LSep 5 · 21:30M. Potapov27511561O. Storozhenko4011711113
WSep 4 · 17:25M. Potapov4013115113O. Storozhenko361191151
LSep 3 · 20:15M. Potapov33115891O. Storozhenko3961111113
M. Potapov10
LSep 25 · 12:55Y. Tebenko1.531111113M. Potapov2.386970LSep 24 · 17:55I. Fashchevskyi2.0011148113M. Potapov1.737121181LSep 24 · 16:55M. Potapov1.91131260D. Maltsev1.801514113WSep 24 · 15:55M. Potapov2.10116117113I. Pytsko1.6751181152WSep 24 · 14:25M. Potapov1.80121325113Y. Tebenko1.911011111132LSep 24 · 12:25M. Potapov2.2511791162O. Storozhenko1.57911114113LSep 23 · 02:15M. Potapov1.80116861Y. Tebenko1.9181111113WSep 23 · 00:45M. Potapov1.8011412113I. Fashchevskyi1.917111051LSep 22 · 23:15M. Potapov1.8311661132D. Maltsev1.83611119113LSep 22 · 21:45M. Potapov2.20661171I. Pytsko1.6111119113
O. Storozhenko10
WSep 25 · 11:55D. Maltsev2.101011991O. Storozhenko1.6712611113WSep 24 · 18:55D. Maltsev1.91311561O. Storozhenko1.8011411113WSep 24 · 17:25O. Storozhenko1.731111113I. Pytsko2.003890LSep 24 · 15:25Y. Tebenko1.911111133O. Storozhenko1.8076110WSep 24 · 13:25I. Fashchevskyi2.25811421O. Storozhenko1.5711611113WSep 24 · 12:25M. Potapov2.2511791162O. Storozhenko1.57911114113LSep 23 · 02:45I. Fashchevskyi2.2091411113O. Storozhenko1.611112971WSep 23 · 01:45I. Pytsko2.0061281192O. Storozhenko1.731110118113WSep 23 · 00:15Y. Tebenko1.837740O. Storozhenko1.831111113LSep 22 · 22:15D. Maltsev1.91131145113O. Storozhenko1.80114111182
Upcoming Matches
Event Chatroom
This room is closed. Messages clear 24 hours after they are sent.