TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Mykhailo Potapov vs Denys Maltsev 2-3 · Setka Cup
Setka Cup
Played Sep 22Finished
Mykhailo Potapov
Home
1.83
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 1
Final
2 – 3
Set by set
116611611119311
Denys Maltsev
Away
1.83
At publish
Won last 5Form at publish
7–3Last 10Won last 5
The read, and what happenedsealed at 22:06 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeDenys Maltsev to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingMykhailo Potapov above · Denys Maltsev below
Set 1 · 11-6
Set 2 · 6-11
Set 3 · 6-11
Set 4 · 11-9
Set 5 · 3-11
Point 85 set 5, 3-11 — our read held Denys Maltsev at 54.0%
85 points played in total.
H2H Mykhailo Potapov 20–20 Denys Maltsev Dead even across their 40 meetings.
Last 10 · 5–5Head to head
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 22:06What took a side5 for · 0 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.83 (50%)
Maltsev
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
20-20 in 40
—
Too close
gap of 0, under the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Potapov 1548 vs Maltsev 1610
Maltsev
Correct
both rated, 62 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Potapov 60% vs Maltsev 100%
Maltsev
Correct
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Potapov 50% vs Maltsev 70%
Maltsev
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Potapov -1 · Maltsev +5
Maltsev
Correct
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
5 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Maltsev)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Maltsev form (100%) outperforms what odds imply (55%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsPotapov 1.83 / Maltsev 1.83
Signal prob.46% / 54%
Edge (Maltsev)+4.0pp
Setka Cup · #13173394
Potapov1.83
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
Maltsev1.83
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Won last 5
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomePotapov5wins
AwayMaltsev5wins
5 of 10 to a deciderLevel at 5–5, and 5 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomePotapov50%3 of 6
AwayMaltsev50%2 of 4
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Potapov6Maltsev4n = 10Potapov took 6 of 10
S2Potapov5Maltsev5n = 10split evenly
S3Potapov4Maltsev6n = 10Maltsev took 6 of 10
S4Potapov3Maltsev5n = 8Maltsev took 5 of 8
S5Potapov3Maltsev2n = 5Potapov took 3 of 5
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home110%
3–1Four sets, home110%
3–2Decider, home330%
2–3Decider, away220%
1–3Four sets, away220%
0–3Straight, away110%
These 10 meetings
MetricPotapovMaltsevP − MBasisWins550in 10 meetingsFirst set64+2of 10Avg pointsper match42.140.6+1.5per matchSweeps1103–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricPotapovMaltsevBasisWin rate · lifetime204 / 431 vs 461 / 88847.3%51.9%204 / 431 vs 461 / 888Avg sets wonper match2.12.1per matchAvg pointsper match38.738.1per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
MaltsevPotapov 1.83/Maltsev 1.83
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
54%
Maltsev · sealed before the serve
What happened
2–3
Maltsev won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LSep 21 · 15:55M. Potapov30115951D. Maltsev4291111113
LSep 20 · 23:45M. Potapov247980D. Maltsev331111113
WSep 9 · 10:35M. Potapov548131111113D. Maltsev4411152972
WSep 8 · 17:05M. Potapov331111113D. Maltsev217770
LSep 7 · 21:45M. Potapov511110111092D. Maltsev51812812113
WSep 5 · 20:00M. Potapov521111118113D. Maltsev4713971172
WSep 4 · 13:25M. Potapov49111179113D. Maltsev4284111182
WSep 1 · 12:05M. Potapov4211119113D. Maltsev32871161
LAug 20 · 21:45M. Potapov46711121242D. Maltsev511151410113
LAug 17 · 23:30M. Potapov401198121D. Maltsev4371111143
M. Potapov10
LSep 22 · 21:45M. Potapov2.20661171I. Pytsko1.6111119113WSep 22 · 20:15M. Potapov2.5081111113O. Storozhenko1.50114871WSep 21 · 18:25I. Pytsko1.616111081M. Potapov2.2011912113WSep 21 · 17:25Y. Parahailo1.6151211842M. Potapov2.201110811113LSep 21 · 15:55D. Maltsev1.8391111113M. Potapov1.83115951LSep 21 · 13:55O. Storozhenko1.5011126113M. Potapov2.505101191LSep 21 · 11:55I. Fashchevskyi2.0011101110113M. Potapov1.7361281282WSep 21 · 03:15I. Fashchevskyi1.8379100M. Potapov1.831111123WSep 21 · 01:45M. Potapov2.10511119113I. Pytsko1.6711791152LSep 20 · 23:45D. Maltsev1.831111113M. Potapov1.837980
D. Maltsev10
WSep 22 · 22:15D. Maltsev1.91131145113O. Storozhenko1.80114111182WSep 22 · 21:15I. Fashchevskyi2.25119691D. Maltsev1.5761111113WSep 21 · 17:55I. Fashchevskyi2.2571060D. Maltsev1.571112113WSep 21 · 16:55D. Maltsev1.91111195113O. Storozhenko1.8096111192WSep 21 · 15:55D. Maltsev1.8391111113M. Potapov1.83115951LSep 21 · 14:25D. Maltsev2.50891161I. Pytsko1.5011115113WSep 21 · 12:25D. Maltsev1.83129911113Y. Parahailo1.83101111982LSep 21 · 02:45D. Maltsev2.5011114572I. Pytsko1.50971111113LSep 21 · 24:45V. Moshovskyi1.731211113D. Maltsev2.0010990WSep 20 · 23:45D. Maltsev1.831111113M. Potapov1.837980
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