TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Denys Maltsev vs Vasyl Moshovskyi 1-3 · Setka Cup
Setka Cup
Played Sep 25Finished
Form at publish
3–7Last 10Lost last 1
Final
1 – 3
Set by set
1315711117711––
Form at publish
4–6Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 19:27 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeVasyl Moshovskyi to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingDenys Maltsev above · Vasyl Moshovskyi below
Set 1 · 13-15
Set 2 · 7-11
Set 3 · 11-7
Set 4 · 7-11
Point 82 set 4, 7-11 — our read held Vasyl Moshovskyi at 54.0%
82 points played in total.
H2H Denys Maltsev 16–29 Vasyl Moshovskyi Denys Maltsev has won 16 of their 45 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 19:27What took a side2 for · 1 against · 3 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.67 (56%)
Moshovskyi
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
16-29 in 45
Moshovskyi
Correct
gap of 13 in 45, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Maltsev 1567 vs Moshovskyi 1512
Maltsev
Wrong
both rated, 55 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Maltsev 40% vs Moshovskyi 40%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Maltsev 30% vs Moshovskyi 40%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Maltsev -1 · Moshovskyi +1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
2 for, 3 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Moshovskyi)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Moshovskyi form (40%) is below what odds imply (60%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsMaltsev 2.10 / Moshovskyi 1.67
Signal prob.46% / 54%
Edge (Moshovskyi)-1.8pp (anti-value)
Setka Cup · #13191208
Maltsev2.10
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog44% won 80 of 182
Down 0–1, comes back18% 15 of 83
Down 0–2, comes back8% 3 of 38
Moshovskyi1.67
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As favourite54% won 55 of 102
Up 2–0, closes it88% 22 of 25
Up 1–0, closes it69% 36 of 52
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeMaltsev6wins
AwayMoshovskyi4wins
3 of 10 to a deciderMaltsev leads 6–4, and 3 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeMaltsev100%5 of 5
AwayMoshovskyi80%4 of 5
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Maltsev5Moshovskyi5n = 10split evenly
S2Maltsev5Moshovskyi5n = 10split evenly
S3Maltsev6Moshovskyi4n = 10Maltsev took 6 of 10
S4Maltsev4Moshovskyi3n = 7Maltsev took 4 of 7
S5Maltsev2Moshovskyi1n = 3Maltsev took 2 of 3
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home220%
3–1Four sets, home220%
3–2Decider, home220%
2–3Decider, away110%
1–3Four sets, away220%
0–3Straight, away110%
These 10 meetings
MetricMaltsevMoshovskyiMaltsev − MoshovskyiBasisWins64+2in 10 meetingsFirst set550of 10Avg pointsper match39.437.3+2.1per matchSweeps21+13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricMaltsevMoshovskyiBasisWin rate · lifetime465 / 900 vs 185 / 33851.7%54.7%465 / 900 vs 185 / 338Avg sets wonper match2.12.1per matchAvg pointsper match38.138.9per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
MoshovskyiMaltsev 2.10/Moshovskyi 1.67
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
54%
Moshovskyi · sealed before the serve
What happened
1–3
Moshovskyi won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LSep 21 · 00:45D. Maltsev2810990V. Moshovskyi341211113
LSep 8 · 15:05D. Maltsev4668121282V. Moshovskyi5311111010113
WSep 1 · 16:05D. Maltsev511111611123V. Moshovskyi48137117102
WAug 28 · 22:15D. Maltsev471112310113V. Moshovskyi47610111282
LAug 26 · 06:35D. Maltsev31961151V. Moshovskyi4011117113
WAug 19 · 10:05D. Maltsev381215113V. Moshovskyi30101370
WAug 8 · 06:25D. Maltsev3511112113V. Moshovskyi30481171
LAug 4 · 15:05D. Maltsev4691411121V. Moshovskyi4911168143
WAug 3 · 23:00D. Maltsev3912511113V. Moshovskyi281011431
WJul 20 · 21:30D. Maltsev331111113V. Moshovskyi148150
D. Maltsev10
LSep 25 · 16:25D. Maltsev2.00911771Y. Tebenko1.7311611113WSep 25 · 14:55D. Maltsev1.801111113M. Potapov1.919980WSep 25 · 13:25D. Maltsev3.00116711113I. Pytsko1.3691111732LSep 25 · 11:55D. Maltsev2.101011991O. Storozhenko1.6712611113LSep 24 · 18:55D. Maltsev1.91311561O. Storozhenko1.8011411113WSep 24 · 16:55M. Potapov1.91131260D. Maltsev1.801514113LSep 24 · 14:55I. Fashchevskyi2.25611811113D. Maltsev1.5711811462LSep 24 · 13:55D. Maltsev2.7591060I. Pytsko1.401112113LSep 24 · 12:55Y. Tebenko1.8041111123D. Maltsev1.911189101LSep 23 · 03:15D. Maltsev2.509570I. Pytsko1.501111113
V. Moshovskyi10
WSep 25 · 16:55V. Moshovskyi2.10311611113M. Potapov1.6711811792LSep 25 · 15:55V. Moshovskyi2.1011511492O. Storozhenko1.67911811113LSep 25 · 14:25V. Moshovskyi1.61101070Y. Tebenko2.201212113LSep 25 · 12:25V. Moshovskyi2.6310950I. Pytsko1.441211113WSep 21 · 02:15V. Moshovskyi1.671111113V. Korobko2.107890WSep 21 · 00:45V. Moshovskyi1.731211113D. Maltsev2.0010990LSep 20 · 23:15V. Moshovskyi1.7311771492I. Fashchevskyi2.005111112113WSep 20 · 21:45V. Moshovskyi2.25931412113M. Potapov1.571111121062LSep 20 · 20:15V. Moshovskyi2.386116101I. Pytsko1.5311811123LSep 8 · 18:05V. Moshovskyi2.10681141M. Potapov1.6711114113
Upcoming Matches
D. Maltsev
Nothing scheduled
V. Moshovskyi
Event Chatroom
This room is closed. Messages clear 24 hours after they are sent.