TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
David Horak vs Ondrej Fejtek 1-3 · Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga Pro
Played Sep 25Finished
Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 2
Final
1 – 3
Set by set
9117111210311––
Ondrej Fejtek
Away
2.20
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
3–7Last 10Lost last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 13:54 and never touched — 57.7% is still 57.7%
Graded at full timeDavid Horak to win
57.7%
57.7%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is goingDavid Horak above · Ondrej Fejtek below
Set 1 · 9-11
Set 2 · 7-11
Set 3 · 12-10
Set 4 · 3-11
Point 74 set 4, 3-11 — our read held David Horak at 57.7%
74 points played in total.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 13:54What took a side4 for · 0 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.61 (58%)
Horak
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
No meetings
—
No value
they have never met
Rating (G2)
Horak 1431 vs Fejtek 1428
Horak
Wrong
both rated, 3 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Horak 60% vs Fejtek 20%
Horak
Wrong
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Horak 50% vs Fejtek 30%
Horak
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Horak +2 · Fejtek -2
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
4 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 59% — Slight lean (leans Horak) · live re-read · sealed at 58% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Fejtek form (20%) is below what odds imply (45%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsHorak 1.61 / Fejtek 2.20
Signal prob.59% / 42%
Edge (Horak)+0.8pp
Czech Liga Pro · #13189377
Horak1.61
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Won last 2
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As favourite61% won 133 of 218
Up 2–0, closes it92% 72 of 78
Up 1–0, closes it78% 98 of 125
Fejtek2.20
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Lost last 2
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As underdog
Fewer than 10 matches in this role
Head to head
H2H window
First meeting
These two have never played each other. It is not a loading failure: there is no history. The career card below still stands — it is the only comparison available.
Career, not this matchup
MetricHorakFejtekBasisWin rate · lifetime278 / 512 vs 32 / 6054.3%53.3%278 / 512 vs 32 / 60Avg sets wonper match2.12.0per matchAvg pointsper match38.137.8per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
HorakHorak 1.61/Fejtek 2.20
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
58.5%
Horak · sealed before the serve
What happened
1–3
Fejtek won
Total sets · Score
These two have never met.
The three history tabs read the same head-to-head record, so they go down together — one message, not three empty cards. The three forecast tabs are unaffected and stay open.
Recent Results
D. Horak10
WSep 25 · 15:30F. Briza2.2012870D. Horak1.611411113WSep 25 · 14:00D. Horak1.611114116113T. Kolenic2.2071671172LSep 20 · 09:30D. Horak1.6011511932F. Briza2.20411411113WSep 20 · 08:00D. Horak1.281111133V. Dolezal3.5077110LSep 20 · 07:30T. Kolenic2.00861111113D. Horak1.7311119992WSep 20 · 06:00D. Horak1.61691211113F. Briza2.20111110952LSep 19 · 02:58D. Horak1.301061181O. Kucirek3.4012119113WSep 19 · 02:00D. Horak1.57811411113F. Briza2.2511711692LSep 19 · 01:00D. Horak2.2057111142A. Svoboda1.61111165113LSep 19 · 00:00M. Placek1.44111111123D. Horak2.631347101
O. Fejtek10
LSep 25 · 15:00T. Kolenic1.6791111113O. Fejtek2.10117691LSep 25 · 14:30O. Fejtek1.83810111182F. Briza1.83111269113WSep 11 · 08:59A. Svoboda1.6171090O. Fejtek2.201112113LSep 11 · 08:00A. Svoboda1.831111113O. Fejtek1.834690LSep 11 · 07:00J. Steffan2.20131112113O. Fejtek1.611191491LSep 11 · 06:30O. Fejtek1.5368111162T. Andrle2.38111177113LSep 8 · 21:28O. Fejtek1.61411771A. Svoboda2.2011611113LSep 8 · 20:00M. Fisera2.00111175113O. Fejtek1.7377111192WSep 8 · 19:00T. Regner2.005590O. Fejtek1.731111113WSep 8 · 18:30O. Fejtek1.831111113A. Svoboda1.839980
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