TT Lossbeater/TT Cup
Michal Nemec vs Radek Zeman 1-3 · TT Cup
TT Cup
Played Sep 24Finished
Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 2
Final
1 – 3
Set by set
10121311611911––
Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 09:41 and never touched — 72.0% is still 72.0%
Graded at full timeRadek Zeman to win
72.0%
72.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingMichal Nemec above · Radek Zeman below
Set 1 · 10-12
Set 2 · 13-11
Set 3 · 6-11
Set 4 · 9-11
Point 83 set 4, 9-11 — our read held Radek Zeman at 72.0%
83 points played in total.
H2H Michal Nemec 64–104 Radek Zeman Michal Nemec has won 64 of their 168 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 09:41What took a side4 for · 0 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.36 (69%)
Zeman
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
64-104 in 168
Zeman
Correct
gap of 40 in 168, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Nemec 1352 vs Zeman 1495
Zeman
Correct
both rated, 143 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Nemec 40% vs Zeman 80%
Zeman
Correct
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Nemec 50% vs Zeman 60%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Nemec +2 · Zeman +2
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
4 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 72% — Strong (leans Zeman)
Decision Summary
Market vs Signals
Market oddsNemec 3.00 / Zeman 1.36
Signal prob.28% / 72%
Edge (Zeman)+3.2pp
TT Cup · #13188435
Nemec3.00
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Won last 2
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As underdog35% won 83 of 237
Down 0–1, comes back16% 23 of 145
Down 0–2, comes back0% 0 of 85
Zeman1.36
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Won last 2
oldest → newest70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As favourite64% won 115 of 179
Up 2–0, closes it91% 72 of 79
Up 1–0, closes it80% 91 of 114
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeNemec2wins
AwayZeman8wins
1 of 10 to a deciderZeman leads 8–2, and 1 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeNemec50%2 of 4
AwayZeman100%6 of 6
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Nemec4Zeman6n = 10Zeman took 6 of 10
S2Nemec0Zeman10n = 10Zeman took 10 of 10
S3Nemec3Zeman7n = 10Zeman took 7 of 10
S4Nemec2Zeman2n = 4split evenly
S5
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home220%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away110%
1–3Four sets, away110%
0–3Straight, away660%
These 10 meetings
MetricNemecZemanN − ZBasisWins28−6in 10 meetingsFirst set46−2of 10Avg pointsper match30.436.1−5.7per matchSweeps06−63–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricNemecZemanBasisWin rate · lifetime358 / 755 vs 325 / 61147.4%53.2%358 / 755 vs 325 / 611Avg sets wonper match2.02.1per matchAvg pointsper match37.837.6per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
ZemanNemec 3.00/Zeman 1.36
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
72%
Zeman · sealed before the serve
What happened
1–3
Zeman won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LSep 20 · 06:20M. Nemec31155381R. Zeman46131111113
LSep 18 · 16:50M. Nemec30811110R. Zeman371113133
LSep 15 · 18:20M. Nemec4211611952R. Zeman39211411113
LSep 13 · 12:20M. Nemec173770R. Zeman331111113
LSep 10 · 20:50M. Nemec28612100R. Zeman371114123
LSep 6 · 13:24M. Nemec257990R. Zeman331111113
WSep 6 · 11:20M. Nemec4211911113R. Zeman33711871
LSep 4 · 16:50M. Nemec228770R. Zeman331111113
LAug 26 · 20:50M. Nemec208660R. Zeman331111113
WAug 25 · 20:50M. Nemec47111411113R. Zeman37716681
M. Nemec10
WSep 24 · 21:58R. Zeman1.36811119132M. Nemec3.00119911153WSep 24 · 19:20M. Dlask1.83711991M. Nemec1.8311911113WSep 24 · 18:50M. Kolbusovsky2.206990M. Nemec1.611111113LSep 23 · 21:28M. Nemec1.831110811112M. Dlask1.83712115133LSep 23 · 20:20M. Dlask1.73520113113M. Nemec2.00111891192LSep 23 · 19:50L. Vich1.4411116133M. Nemec2.638811111WSep 23 · 18:50M. Nemec2.5061112113Z. Vyskocil1.501181051WSep 20 · 09:25M. Nemec1.301013911113O. Sebek3.40121111872WSep 20 · 08:50O. Sebek2.3510119121M. Nemec1.5312611143LSep 20 · 07:50M. Nemec1.83511145132L. Pour1.831181211153
R. Zeman10
LSep 24 · 21:58R. Zeman1.36811119132M. Nemec3.00119911153WSep 24 · 19:50R. Zeman1.101112113M. Kolbusovsky6.5071070WSep 24 · 18:20M. Dlask2.2065130R. Zeman1.611111153LSep 21 · 21:55J. Mach1.40961112113R. Zeman2.75111161072WSep 21 · 20:50Z. Vyskocil1.4037100R. Zeman2.751111123WSep 21 · 19:50R. Zeman1.111111113M. Kolbusovsky6.004870LSep 21 · 18:20J. Mach1.5015411113R. Zeman2.501311931LSep 20 · 09:55L. Pour2.631131111113R. Zeman1.4481171372LSep 20 · 08:20R. Zeman1.421174101L. Pour2.6591111123WSep 20 · 07:20R. Zeman1.3311119113O. Sebek3.00491161
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