TT Lossbeater/Challenger Series TT
Marco Stefanidis vs Luis Kraus 3-0 · Challenger Series TT
Challenger Series TT
Played Sep 24Finished
Marco Stefanidis
Home
1.95
At publish
Lost last 4Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 4
Final
3 – 0
Set by set
115116119––––
Luis Kraus
Away
1.75
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 07:13 and never touched — 55.7% is still 55.7%
Graded at full timeMarco Stefanidis to win
55.7%
55.7%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is going
Point-by-point unavailable
BetsAPI did not publish a timeline for this match.
53 points played in total.
Set by set
115116119––––
H2H Marco Stefanidis 1–2 Luis Kraus Marco Stefanidis has won 1 of their 3 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 07:13What took a side2 for · 1 against · 3 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.75 (53%)
Kraus
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
1-2 in 3
—
Too close
gap of 1, under the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Stefanidis 1490 vs Kraus 1489
Stefanidis
Correct
both rated, 1 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Stefanidis 20% vs Kraus 20%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Stefanidis 50% vs Kraus 40%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Stefanidis -4 · Kraus -1
Stefanidis
Correct
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
2 for, 3 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Kraus) · live re-read · sealed at 44% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Kraus form (20%) is below what odds imply (57%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsStefanidis 1.95 / Kraus 1.75
Signal prob.46% / 54%
Edge (Kraus)+1.3pp
Challenger Series TT · #13187957
Stefanidis1.95
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Lost last 4
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As underdog22% won 8 of 37
Down 0–1, comes back14% 4 of 28
Down 0–2, comes back11% 2 of 19
Kraus1.75
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As favourite77% won 20 of 26
Up 2–0, closes it100% 14 of 14
Up 1–0, closes it95% 19 of 20
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 3 meetings
HomeStefanidis1wins
AwayKraus2wins
Kraus leads 2–1.
First set to match win · in this matchup
Not enough first sets
Neither side has won the first set three times here, so there is no rate to publish.
Set by set, in these 3 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Stefanidis2Kraus1n = 3Stefanidis took 2 of 3
S2Stefanidis0Kraus3n = 3Kraus took 3 of 3
S3Stefanidis1Kraus2n = 3Kraus took 2 of 3
S4
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 3 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 3 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home133%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away133%
0–3Straight, away133%
These 3 meetings
MetricStefanidisKrausS − KBasisWins12−1in 3 meetingsFirst set21+1of 3Avg pointsper match32.036.7−4.7per matchSweeps01−13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricStefanidisKrausBasisWin rate · lifetime77 / 196 vs 69 / 19339.3%35.8%77 / 196 vs 69 / 193Avg sets wonper match1.71.5per matchAvg pointsper match33.531.7per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
KrausStefanidis 1.95/Kraus 1.75
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
54%
Kraus · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–0
Stefanidis won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record3
LApr 27 · 08:00M. Stefanidis239680L. Kraus331111113
LOct 20 · 11:00M. Stefanidis29113961L. Kraus3961111113
WJul 28 · 15:00M. Stefanidis44121011113L. Kraus381012791
M. Stefanidis10
LSep 24 · 08:00M. Stefanidis2.0911341162K. Fadeev1.67911116113LSep 22 · 10:30K. Zimmermann1.601111113M. Stefanidis2.155370LSep 22 · 09:45R. Turrini1.401111113M. Stefanidis2.753930LSep 22 · 06:30O. Kosolosky1.0711119113M. Stefanidis6.50451121WSep 21 · 16:30S. Almeida2.26311771M. Stefanidis1.5811911113WSep 21 · 15:00A. Moreno3.771171091M. Stefanidis1.2391112113LSep 21 · 13:30M. Stefanidis1.83711641R. Turrini1.8911611113WSep 21 · 11:30M. Stefanidis1.401111118123C. Schmitt2.75139611102WSep 21 · 10:00M. Stefanidis—1111911153K. Zimmermann—961113132WSep 21 · 08:00S. Happek—8880M. Stefanidis—1111113
L. Kraus10
LSep 24 · 07:30D. Zech2.63711119123L. Kraus1.44119711102WAug 7 · 10:30L. Kraus6.5011119113K. Fadeev1.10891191LAug 7 · 09:16A. Mino1.201111113L. Kraus4.008530LAug 7 · 06:30A. Mino1.171181011113L. Kraus4.5081112822LAug 6 · 16:30D. Zech3.00811411113L. Kraus1.3611911432LAug 6 · 15:00K. Fadeev1.14717115133L. Kraus5.001115711112LAug 6 · 13:30L. Kraus2.5087111152K. Zimmermann1.50111188113WAug 6 · 11:30L. Kraus2.151161110113T. Saltzer1.6351171272WAug 6 · 10:00L. Kraus1.251111113T. Freund3.758730WAug 6 · 08:00S. Happek2.50681181L. Kraus1.5011119113
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