TT Lossbeater/Challenger Series TT
Challenger Series TT
Played Sep 21Finished
Siddharta Almeida
Home
2.26
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 1
Final
1 – 3
Set by set
311119711711––
Marco Stefanidis
Away
1.58
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 16:07 and never touched — 57.1% is still 57.1%
Graded at full timeSiddharta Almeida to win
57.1%
57.1%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is going
Point-by-point unavailable
BetsAPI did not publish a timeline for this match.
70 points played in total.
Set by set
311119711711––
H2H Siddharta Almeida 2–1 Marco Stefanidis Marco Stefanidis has won 1 of their 3 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 16:07What took a side1 for · 2 against · 3 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.58 (59%)
Stefanidis
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
2-1 in 3
—
Too close
gap of 1, under the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Almeida 1576 vs Stefanidis 1497
Almeida
Wrong
both rated, 79 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Almeida 60% vs Stefanidis 80%
Stefanidis
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Almeida 50% vs Stefanidis 50%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Almeida +1 · Stefanidis +1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
1 for, 3 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 55% — Coin-flip (leans Stefanidis) · live re-read · sealed at 43% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Stefanidis form (80%) outperforms what odds imply (63%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsAlmeida 2.26 / Stefanidis 1.58
Signal prob.46% / 55%
Edge (Stefanidis)-4.4pp (anti-value)
Challenger Series TT · #13165507
Almeida2.26
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As underdog46% won 5 of 11
Down 0–1, comes back29% 2 of 7
Down 0–2, comes back0% 0 of 5
Stefanidis1.58
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As favourite74% won 14 of 19
Up 2–0, closes it100% 11 of 11
Up 1–0, closes it93% 13 of 14
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 3 meetings
HomeAlmeida2wins
AwayStefanidis1wins
2 of 3 to a deciderAlmeida leads 2–1, and 2 of those 3 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeAlmeida66.7%2 of 3
AwayStefanidisn = 0, below the 3 needed
Set by set, in these 3 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Almeida3Stefanidis0n = 3Almeida took 3 of 3
S2Almeida1Stefanidis2n = 3Stefanidis took 2 of 3
S3Almeida0Stefanidis3n = 3Stefanidis took 3 of 3
S4Almeida3Stefanidis0n = 3Almeida took 3 of 3
S5
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 3 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 3 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home133%
3–2Decider, home133%
2–3Decider, away133%
1–3Four sets, away00%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 3 meetings
MetricAlmeidaStefanidisA − SBasisWins21+1in 3 meetingsFirst set30+3of 3Avg pointsper match44.741.3+3.4per matchSweeps0003–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricAlmeidaStefanidisBasisWin rate · lifetime18 / 34 vs 76 / 19152.9%39.8%18 / 34 vs 76 / 191Avg sets wonper match2.01.7per matchAvg pointsper match35.833.7per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
StefanidisAlmeida 2.26/Stefanidis 1.58
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
54.5%
Stefanidis · sealed before the serve
What happened
1–3
Stefanidis won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record3
WSep 8 · 08:00S. Almeida491151111113M. Stefanidis4361113762
WAug 31 · 11:20S. Almeida3711114113M. Stefanidis27451171
LMay 19 · 14:00S. Almeida4813681292M. Stefanidis5411111110113
S. Almeida10
WSep 21 · 14:30S. Almeida2.05116115113K. Zimmermann1.7061151162LSep 21 · 12:30O. Kosolosky1.501111113S. Almeida2.357560WSep 21 · 10:30A. Moreno—79120S. Almeida—1111143LSep 21 · 09:00S. Almeida2.59861171R. Turrini1.4511119113WSep 21 · 07:30S. Almeida—1111113C. Schmitt—9850WSep 15 · 08:30S. Almeida1.73111111123T. Saltzer1.981366101LSep 15 · 06:30S. Almeida2.256690I. Bertrand1.571111113LSep 14 · 16:00S. Almeida—5980J. Loffler—1111113WSep 14 · 12:30S. Almeida2.301111123S. Happek1.5576100LSep 14 · 11:00S. Almeida—10490Y. Su—1211113
M. Stefanidis10
WSep 21 · 15:00A. Moreno3.771171091M. Stefanidis1.2391112113LSep 21 · 13:30M. Stefanidis1.83711641R. Turrini1.8911611113WSep 21 · 11:30M. Stefanidis1.401111118123C. Schmitt2.75139611102WSep 21 · 10:00M. Stefanidis—1111911153K. Zimmermann—961113132WSep 21 · 08:00S. Happek—8880M. Stefanidis—1111113LSep 11 · 10:40M. Stefanidis—4890T. Pellny—1111113LSep 11 · 09:30M. Henninger—1111113M. Stefanidis—4350WSep 11 · 08:00D. Cheaib1.4511126932M. Stefanidis2.558101111113LSep 11 · 07:00M. Stefanidis2.6575100M. Bott1.401111123LSep 10 · 16:00M. Henninger—511117113M. Stefanidis—11891132
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