TT Lossbeater/Challenger Series TT
Challenger Series TT
Played Sep 21Finished
Siddharta Almeida
Home
2.05
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 1
Final
3 – 2
Set by set
116611115511116
Karl Zimmermann
Away
1.70
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 16:06 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeKarl Zimmermann to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is going
Point-by-point unavailable
BetsAPI did not publish a timeline for this match.
83 points played in total.
Set by set
116611115511116
H2H Siddharta Almeida 0–1 Karl Zimmermann Siddharta Almeida has won 0 of their 1 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 16:06What took a side2 for · 1 against · 3 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.70 (55%)
Zimmermann
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
0-1 in 1
—
Too close
1 played, under the floor of 3
Rating (G2)
Almeida 1556 vs Zimmermann 1621
Zimmermann
Wrong
both rated, 65 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Almeida 60% vs Zimmermann 40%
Almeida
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Almeida 50% vs Zimmermann 50%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Almeida -1 · Zimmermann +1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
2 for, 3 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 55% — Coin-flip (leans Zimmermann) · live re-read · sealed at 54% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Zimmermann form (40%) is below what odds imply (59%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsAlmeida 2.05 / Zimmermann 1.70
Signal prob.45% / 55%
Edge (Zimmermann)+0.0pp
Challenger Series TT · #13165511
Almeida2.05
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As underdog46% won 5 of 11
Down 0–1, comes back29% 2 of 7
Down 0–2, comes back0% 0 of 5
Zimmermann1.70
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As favourite88% won 15 of 17
Up 2–0, closes it100% 11 of 11
Up 1–0, closes it92% 12 of 13
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 1 meeting
HomeAlmeida0wins
AwayZimmermann1wins
1 of 1 to a deciderZimmermann leads 1–0.
First set to match win · in this matchup
Not enough first sets
Neither side has won the first set three times here, so there is no rate to publish.
Set by set, in this 1 meetingevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S2
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S3
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S4
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S5
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How that 1 finishedn = 1, below the 3 needed
3–0Straight, home0
3–1Four sets, home0
3–2Decider, home0
2–3Decider, away1
1–3Four sets, away0
0–3Straight, away0
This 1 meeting
MetricAlmeidaZimmermannA − ZBasisWins01−1in 1 meetingFirst set01−1of 1Avg pointsper match49.053.0−4.0per matchSweeps0003–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricAlmeidaZimmermannBasisWin rate · lifetime17 / 33 vs 33 / 5851.5%56.9%17 / 33 vs 33 / 58Avg sets wonper match2.02.0per matchAvg pointsper match35.535.9per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
ZimmermannAlmeida 2.05/Zimmermann 1.70
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
54.7%
Zimmermann · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–2
Almeida won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record1
LSep 1 · 08:30S. Almeida49119111172K. Zimmermann53131199113
S. Almeida10
LSep 21 · 12:30O. Kosolosky1.501111113S. Almeida2.357560WSep 21 · 10:30A. Moreno—79120S. Almeida—1111143LSep 21 · 09:00S. Almeida2.59861171R. Turrini1.4511119113WSep 21 · 07:30S. Almeida—1111113C. Schmitt—9850WSep 15 · 08:30S. Almeida1.73111111123T. Saltzer1.981366101LSep 15 · 06:30S. Almeida2.256690I. Bertrand1.571111113LSep 14 · 16:00S. Almeida—5980J. Loffler—1111113WSep 14 · 12:30S. Almeida2.301111123S. Happek1.5576100LSep 14 · 11:00S. Almeida—10490Y. Su—1211113WSep 14 · 08:30J. Lama—9550S. Almeida—1111113
K. Zimmermann10
WSep 21 · 13:00C. Schmitt5.00651161K. Zimmermann1.1411119113LSep 21 · 11:00O. Kosolosky1.061111113K. Zimmermann8.008740LSep 21 · 10:00M. Stefanidis—1111911153K. Zimmermann—961113132WSep 21 · 06:30A. Moreno3.25712521K. Zimmermann1.33111011113LSep 18 · 08:00D. Rinderer1.221111113K. Zimmermann4.002480LSep 18 · 07:00K. Zimmermann2.63111113882M. Scharrer1.446131111113WSep 17 · 15:30J. Harencak2.63113771K. Zimmermann1.4441111113WSep 17 · 13:30L. Qiu1.2081211342K. Zimmermann4.331110611113LSep 17 · 12:00J. Loffler1.1811134113K. Zimmermann4.152111121WSep 17 · 09:00D. Zech2.7511871172K. Zimmermann1.40911118113
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