TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
Marek Tkocz vs Piotr Kaczynski 3-1 · TT Elite Series
TT Elite Series
Played Sep 22Finished
Marek Tkocz
Home
1.75
At publish
Won last 3Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 3
Final
3 – 1
Set by set
116911118118––
Piotr Kaczynski
Away
1.95
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 17:21 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeMarek Tkocz to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is going
Point-by-point unavailable
BetsAPI did not publish a timeline for this match.
75 points played in total.
Set by set
116911118118––
H2H Marek Tkocz 16–11 Piotr Kaczynski Piotr Kaczynski has won 11 of their 27 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 17:21What took a side3 for · 1 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.75 (53%)
Tkocz
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
16-11 in 27
Tkocz
Correct
gap of 5 in 27, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Tkocz 1399 vs Kaczynski 1413
Kaczynski
Wrong
both rated, 14 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Tkocz 60% vs Kaczynski 60%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Tkocz 60% vs Kaczynski 50%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Tkocz +3 · Kaczynski +2
Tkocz
Correct
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Tkocz)
Decision Summary
Market vs Signals
Market oddsTkocz 1.75 / Kaczynski 1.95
Signal prob.54% / 46%
Edge (Tkocz)+1.3pp
TT Elite Series · #13179699
Tkocz1.75
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Won last 3
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite67% won 288 of 431
Up 2–0, closes it95% 161 of 170
Up 1–0, closes it85% 236 of 279
Kaczynski1.95
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Won last 2
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog37% won 24 of 65
Down 0–1, comes back24% 10 of 41
Down 0–2, comes back9% 2 of 23
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeTkocz6wins
AwayKaczynski4wins
7 of 10 to a deciderTkocz leads 6–4, and 7 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeTkocz66.7%4 of 6
AwayKaczynski50%2 of 4
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Tkocz6Kaczynski4n = 10Tkocz took 6 of 10
S2Tkocz6Kaczynski4n = 10Tkocz took 6 of 10
S3Tkocz4Kaczynski6n = 10Kaczynski took 6 of 10
S4Tkocz5Kaczynski4n = 9Tkocz took 5 of 9
S5Tkocz4Kaczynski3n = 7Tkocz took 4 of 7
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home110%
3–1Four sets, home110%
3–2Decider, home440%
2–3Decider, away330%
1–3Four sets, away110%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 10 meetings
MetricTkoczKaczynskiT − KBasisWins64+2in 10 meetingsFirst set64+2of 10Avg pointsper match45.043.3+1.7per matchSweeps10+13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricTkoczKaczynskiBasisWin rate · lifetime779 / 1175 vs 210 / 39066.3%53.9%779 / 1175 vs 210 / 390Avg sets wonper match2.42.1per matchAvg pointsper match39.038.7per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
TkoczTkocz 1.75/Kaczynski 1.95
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
54%
Tkocz · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–1
Tkocz won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WSep 15 · 16:00M. Tkocz50811911113P. Kaczynski4411911492
LSep 8 · 15:35M. Tkocz3991141142P. Kaczynski49118118113
LSep 1 · 15:10M. Tkocz4411149101P. Kaczynski4451611123
LAug 25 · 17:10M. Tkocz471011311122P. Kaczynski53128118143
WAug 18 · 19:35M. Tkocz50119127113P. Kaczynski44411101182
WAug 11 · 16:50M. Tkocz331111113P. Kaczynski228860
WAug 4 · 20:00M. Tkocz551111139113P. Kaczynski50913111162
LJun 23 · 20:20M. Tkocz4311841192P. Kaczynski51911119113
WJun 16 · 19:35M. Tkocz4111127113P. Kaczynski368101171
WJun 9 · 20:20M. Tkocz485111110113P. Kaczynski4011821272
M. Tkocz10
WSep 22 · 16:25W. Pytlas2.659550M. Tkocz1.401111113WSep 22 · 15:35M. Tkocz1.651161112113P. Kurek2.0541171472WSep 18 · 02:20M. Adamus2.45661161M. Tkocz1.4411118113LSep 18 · 01:35P. Polok1.731111123M. Tkocz1.9255100LSep 17 · 23:35M. Koczyba1.8511411113M. Tkocz1.85711981LSep 17 · 22:50G. Jurowicz2.50111211113M. Tkocz1.45714451LSep 17 · 21:10M. Lebek2.001171110113M. Tkocz1.7151161272WSep 17 · 20:20W. Pytlas2.191161110102M. Tkocz1.56611612123WSep 17 · 19:35P. Zemla1.79913111122M. Tkocz1.851111139113WSep 17 · 17:35W. Jozala4.1041111692M. Tkocz1.17118911113
P. Kaczynski10
WSep 22 · 16:50K. Kowalski4.5011411762P. Kaczynski1.15911511113WSep 22 · 15:10W. Pytlas1.9043100P. Kaczynski1.751111123LSep 15 · 20:00J. Orszulik1.80111198123P. Kaczynski1.90751111102WSep 15 · 19:10R. Adach2.856860P. Kaczynski1.341111113LSep 15 · 18:25P. Kaczynski2.255127111P. Polok1.54111011133WSep 15 · 16:50P. Kaczynski1.851111106113K. Juszczyk1.8584121162LSep 15 · 16:00M. Tkocz1.63811911113P. Kaczynski2.0511911492LSep 8 · 20:45W. Pytlas1.83151311113P. Kaczynski1.831711531LSep 8 · 19:35P. Kaczynski1.8651211982K. Juszczyk1.801110911113WSep 8 · 18:25S. Juzek2.341112851P. Kaczynski1.4981411113
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