TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
TT Elite SeriesMatch #13147427
Played Sep 17Finished
Wojciech Pytlas
Home
2.19
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
3–7Last 10Won last 2
Final
2 – 3
Set by set
11661111610121012
Marek Tkocz
Away
1.56
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 16:08 and never touched — 64.7% is still 64.7%
Graded at full timeMarek Tkocz to win
64.7%
64.7%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is going
Point-by-point unavailable
BetsAPI did not publish a timeline for this match.
95 points played in total.
Set by set
11661111610121012
H2H Wojciech Pytlas 3–26 Marek Tkocz Wojciech Pytlas has won 3 of their 29 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 16:08What took a side4 for · 0 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.56 (58%)
Tkocz
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
3-26 in 29
Tkocz
Correct
gap of 23 in 29, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Pytlas 1323 vs Tkocz 1407
Tkocz
Correct
both rated, 83 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Pytlas 60% vs Tkocz 60%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Pytlas 30% vs Tkocz 60%
Tkocz
Correct
30pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Pytlas +2 · Tkocz +2
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
4 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 63% — Clear lean (leans Tkocz) · live re-read · sealed at 65% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Pytlas form (60%) outperforms what odds imply (46%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsPytlas 2.19 / Tkocz 1.56
Signal prob.37% / 63%
Edge (Tkocz)+4.3pp
TT Elite Series · #13147427
Pytlas2.19
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
Won last 2
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As underdog41% won 50 of 121
Down 0–1, comes back30% 24 of 80
Down 0–2, comes back14% 6 of 42
Tkocz1.56
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Won last 2
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite67% won 299 of 444
Up 2–0, closes it95% 169 of 178
Up 1–0, closes it84% 244 of 289
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomePytlas2wins
AwayTkocz8wins
4 of 10 to a deciderTkocz leads 8–2, and 4 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomePytlas0%0 of 3
AwayTkocz71.4%5 of 7
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Pytlas3Tkocz7n = 10Tkocz took 7 of 10
S2Pytlas3Tkocz7n = 10Tkocz took 7 of 10
S3Pytlas1Tkocz9n = 10Tkocz took 9 of 10
S4Pytlas3Tkocz3n = 6split evenly
S5Pytlas2Tkocz2n = 4split evenly
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home00%
3–2Decider, home220%
2–3Decider, away220%
1–3Four sets, away220%
0–3Straight, away440%
These 10 meetings
MetricPytlasTkoczP − TBasisWins28−6in 10 meetingsFirst set37−4of 10Avg pointsper match34.242.1−7.9per matchSweeps04−43–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricPytlasTkoczBasisWin rate · lifetime397 / 756 vs 775 / 116752.5%66.4%397 / 756 vs 775 / 1167Avg sets wonper match2.02.4per matchAvg pointsper match37.139.0per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
TkoczPytlas 2.19/Tkocz 1.56
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
62.7%
Tkocz · sealed before the serve
What happened
2–3
Tkocz won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LSep 8 · 16:25W. Pytlas209380M. Tkocz331111113
LSep 1 · 20:20W. Pytlas301121071M. Tkocz4171112113
LAug 27 · 15:35W. Pytlas2027110M. Tkocz351111133
LAug 11 · 16:00W. Pytlas4011481252M. Tkocz529111110113
LAug 4 · 18:45W. Pytlas25105100M. Tkocz351211123
WJun 11 · 16:00W. Pytlas608111812113M. Tkocz58119161482
LJun 4 · 15:35W. Pytlas4261171172M. Tkocz49117119113
LApr 23 · 17:10W. Pytlas215880M. Tkocz331111113
LApr 9 · 17:10W. Pytlas32116781M. Tkocz3851111113
WApr 2 · 17:10W. Pytlas524111511113M. Tkocz4711517862
W. Pytlas10
WSep 17 · 18:45W. Jozala3.308340W. Pytlas1.251111113WSep 17 · 18:00G. Jurowicz2.50331681W. Pytlas1.43111114113LSep 17 · 17:10W. Pytlas2.27311115102P. Zemla1.52114911123WSep 17 · 16:00W. Pytlas2.2113115113M. Koczyba1.551181171LSep 13 · 08:45W. Pytlas1.306430I. Szymanski3.251111113LSep 13 · 07:10W. Pytlas2.173580P. Zemla1.571111113LSep 13 · 06:00W. Pytlas1.80931191M. Adamus1.8511119113LSep 13 · 04:25W. Pytlas1.557650T. Lojtek2.301111113LSep 13 · 03:10W. Pytlas1.858660K. Juszczyk1.801111113LSep 12 · 08:45W. Pytlas1.5811514111O. Sokolowski2.1471116133
M. Tkocz10
LSep 17 · 21:10M. Lebek2.001171110113M. Tkocz1.7151161272WSep 17 · 19:35P. Zemla1.79913111122M. Tkocz1.851111139113WSep 17 · 17:35W. Jozala4.1041111692M. Tkocz1.17118911113LSep 17 · 16:50M. Koczyba1.83511115113M. Tkocz1.8111651182WSep 17 · 15:10G. Jurowicz2.7571191152M. Tkocz1.40118117113LSep 16 · 02:00J. Orszulik2.2511511113M. Tkocz1.55411971LSep 16 · 01:10S. Szostok1.8611125113M. Tkocz1.837101171WSep 16 · 24:25M. Tkocz1.1071111123K. Kowalski5.401145101LSep 15 · 22:50M. Tkocz1.746680M. Lebek1.951111113WSep 15 · 22:00P. Polok1.806111071M. Tkocz1.9111712113
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