Match Analysis — Predictions & Deep Stats

TT Lossbeater/TT Cup

TT Cup

Live

Martin Cerny

Home

1.55

At publish

Won last 4

Form at publish

7–3Last 10Won last 4

Set 2

1 – 0

Sets

11741––––––

Points in set 2

Jachym Zacharda

Away

2.25

At publish

Won last 2

Form at publish

6–4Last 10Won last 2

How it is goingMartin Cerny above · Jachym Zacharda below

Set 1 · 11-7

Set 2 · 1-0 in play

Point 19 set 2, 1-0

19 points drawn · the score is 4 ahead; the rest land in a moment.

H2H Martin Cerny 20–18 Jachym Zacharda Jachym Zacharda has won 18 of their 38 meetings.

Last 10 · 5–5Head to head

Same-day rematch · 3h before this match

Cerny beat Zacharda 3-0.

Same-day rematch winners hit ~50% historically — the market typically prices this in. Which is why it moves nothing in the read below: it is context, not a signal.

Decision Summary

Market vs Signals

Market oddsCerny 1.55 / Zacharda 2.25

TT Cup · #13166823

Cerny1.55

70%won 7 of 10 · last 10

Last match: today

Won last 4

oldest → newest

80%takes the first set · 8 of 10

As favourite67% won 171 of 255

Up 2–0, closes it97% 86 of 89

Up 1–0, closes it84% 122 of 145

Zacharda2.25

60%won 6 of 10 · last 10

Last match: today

Won last 2

oldest → newest

40%takes the first set · 4 of 10

As underdog35% won 25 of 72

Down 0–1, comes back11% 5 of 44

Down 0–2, comes back7% 2 of 30

Head to head

H2H window

The recordacross 10 meetings

HomeCerny5wins

AwayZacharda5wins

2 of 10 to a deciderLevel at 5–5, and 2 of those 10 went to a fifth set.

First set to match win · in this matchup

HomeCerny71.4%5 of 7

AwayZacharda100%3 of 3

Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one

S1Cerny7Zacharda3n = 10Cerny took 7 of 10

S2Cerny7Zacharda3n = 10Cerny took 7 of 10

S3Cerny6Zacharda4n = 10Cerny took 6 of 10

S4Cerny2Zacharda4n = 6Zacharda took 4 of 6

Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate

How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code

3–0Straight, home440%

3–1Four sets, home110%

3–2Decider, home00%

2–3Decider, away220%

1–3Four sets, away330%

0–3Straight, away00%

These 10 meetings

MetricCernyZachardaC − ZBasisWins550in 10 meetingsFirst set73+4of 10Avg pointsper match37.733.4+4.3per matchSweeps40+43–0 or 0–3

Career, not this matchup

MetricCernyZachardaBasisWin rate · lifetime490 / 846 vs 132 / 27557.9%48%490 / 846 vs 132 / 275Avg sets wonper match2.11.9per matchAvg pointsper match37.036.7per match

Deep Dive by Market

Each market builds on the overview above

Forecast

History

Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction

Match WinnerForecastThe edge lives in the pick, one screen up

No price history

Neither player has a record at this price yet, so there is no odds range to publish.

Recent Results

H2H · no odds on record10

WSep 20 · 19:25M. Cerny331111113J. Zacharda218490

LSep 17 · 16:25M. Cerny30119731J. Zacharda4291111113

LSep 17 · 14:00M. Cerny47111110692J. Zacharda45921211113

WSep 17 · 12:50M. Cerny43111110113J. Zacharda33851281

LSep 14 · 19:25M. Cerny4011154101J. Zacharda49131311123

LSep 13 · 22:30M. Cerny33951181J. Zacharda4111118113

WSep 13 · 21:25M. Cerny331111113J. Zacharda148330

WSep 11 · 13:30M. Cerny361111143J. Zacharda2163120

LSep 11 · 10:20M. Cerny48881111102J. Zacharda49111196123

WSep 8 · 13:25M. Cerny341211113J. Zacharda1910270

M. Cerny10

WSep 20 · 21:25M. Cerny1.9191112173D. Bochnak1.8011510151 WSep 20 · 19:55M. Brozek4.003590M. Cerny1.221111113 WSep 20 · 19:25J. Zacharda2.388490M. Cerny1.531111113 WSep 19 · 14:39D. Bochnak1.5891190M. Cerny2.101113113 LSep 19 · 13:25J. Kocab3.001011911113M. Cerny1.3612911382 WSep 19 · 12:25M. Cerny2.1011119123D. Bochnak1.678911101 WSep 19 · 10:55M. Brozek3.758530M. Cerny1.251111113 LSep 17 · 18:05O. Kadavy1.331113113M. Cerny3.2551170 WSep 17 · 17:25D. Bochnak1.67911981M. Cerny2.1011811113 LSep 17 · 16:25M. Cerny1.53119731J. Zacharda2.3891111113

J. Zacharda10

WSep 20 · 20:55M. Brozek1.809640J. Zacharda1.911111113 WSep 20 · 20:25D. Bochnak1.4481111982J. Zacharda2.63118511113 LSep 20 · 19:25J. Zacharda2.388490M. Cerny1.531111113 LSep 17 · 18:35D. Bochnak1.44111179113J. Zacharda2.6397111182 WSep 17 · 16:55O. Kadavy1.61612100J. Zacharda2.201114123 WSep 17 · 16:25M. Cerny1.53119731J. Zacharda2.3891111113 LSep 17 · 15:25J. Zacharda2.63671251D. Bochnak1.44111110113 WSep 17 · 14:00M. Cerny1.53111110692J. Zacharda2.38921211113 LSep 17 · 12:50J. Zacharda2.50851281M. Cerny1.50111110113 WSep 17 · 11:20P. Benes2.0041050J. Zacharda1.731112113

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