TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup Women
Yana Mykhailyk vs Polina Pashchenko 3-0 · Setka Cup Women
Setka Cup Women
Played Sep 28Finished
Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 2
Final
3 – 0
Set by set
13111210116––––
Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 07:29 and never touched — 55.3% is still 55.3%
Graded at full timeYana Mykhailyk to win
55.3%
55.3%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingYana Mykhailyk above · Polina Pashchenko below
Set 1 · 13-11
Set 2 · 12-10
Set 3 · 11-6
Point 63 set 3, 11-6 — our read held Yana Mykhailyk at 55.3%
63 points played in total.
H2H Yana Mykhailyk 16–6 Polina Pashchenko Polina Pashchenko has won 6 of their 22 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 07:29What took a side3 for · 1 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.73 (54%)
Mykhailyk
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
16-6 in 22
Mykhailyk
Correct
gap of 10 in 22, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Mykhailyk 1460 vs Pashchenko 1497
Pashchenko
Wrong
both rated, 38 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Mykhailyk 40% vs Pashchenko 20%
Mykhailyk
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Mykhailyk 50% vs Pashchenko 50%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Mykhailyk -2 · Pashchenko -1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 55% — Slight lean (leans Mykhailyk) · sealed before the serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Pashchenko form (20%) is below what odds imply (50%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsMykhailyk 1.73 / Pashchenko 2.00
Signal prob.55% / 45%
Edge (Mykhailyk)+1.6pp
Setka Cup Women · #13207485
Mykhailyk1.73
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Lost last 2
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite73% won 44 of 60
Up 2–0, closes it93% 25 of 27
Up 1–0, closes it87% 33 of 38
Pashchenko2.00
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog35% won 19 of 54
Down 0–1, comes back17% 5 of 29
Down 0–2, comes back21% 4 of 19
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeMykhailyk9wins
AwayPashchenko1wins
Mykhailyk leads 9–1.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeMykhailyk100%9 of 9
AwayPashchenkon = 1, below the 3 needed
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Mykhailyk9Pashchenko1n = 10Mykhailyk took 9 of 10
S2Mykhailyk7Pashchenko3n = 10Mykhailyk took 7 of 10
S3Mykhailyk8Pashchenko2n = 10Mykhailyk took 8 of 10
S4Mykhailyk4Pashchenko1n = 5Mykhailyk took 4 of 5
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home550%
3–1Four sets, home440%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away110%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 10 meetings
MetricMykhailykPashchenkoM − PBasisWins91+8in 10 meetingsFirst set91+8of 10Avg pointsper match35.027.6+7.4per matchSweeps50+53–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricMykhailykPashchenkoBasisWin rate · lifetime237 / 491 vs 75 / 14348.3%52.5%237 / 491 vs 75 / 143Avg sets wonper match1.92.1per matchAvg pointsper match35.635.8per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
MykhailykMykhailyk 1.73/Pashchenko 2.00
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
55.3%
Mykhailyk · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–0
Mykhailyk won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WSep 28 · 07:35Y. Mykhailyk361312113P. Pashchenko27111060
WSep 14 · 09:00Y. Mykhailyk3911511123P. Pashchenko313117101
WSep 1 · 11:00Y. Mykhailyk3711411113P. Pashchenko34811781
LAug 21 · 10:14Y. Mykhailyk25461141P. Pashchenko4211119113
WAug 21 · 05:30Y. Mykhailyk4111118113P. Pashchenko28591131
WAug 4 · 08:30Y. Mykhailyk341111123P. Pashchenko2376100
WAug 2 · 10:40Y. Mykhailyk331111113P. Pashchenko195680
WJul 26 · 04:30Y. Mykhailyk3911116113P. Pashchenko37991181
WJul 21 · 06:30Y. Mykhailyk331111113P. Pashchenko196670
WJul 18 · 08:30Y. Mykhailyk331111113P. Pashchenko168620
Y. Mykhailyk10
LSep 28 · 06:35A. Kurtenko1.2871111113Y. Mykhailyk3.50114861LSep 28 · 05:35Y. Mykhailyk2.508440O. Kolbasenko1.501111113WSep 14 · 11:00Y. Mykhailyk2.631211123A. Rzhevska1.44107100WSep 14 · 09:00P. Pashchenko1.913117101Y. Mykhailyk1.8011511123LSep 14 · 08:00Y. Mykhailyk3.0073111192S. Yureneva1.36111189113WSep 14 · 07:00V. Kurtenko1.289131161Y. Mykhailyk3.5011155113LSep 14 · 05:30Y. Mykhailyk3.2511112111U. Dronova1.3313811133LSep 6 · 16:09Y. Mykhailyk2.201011751A. Rzhevska1.6112211113WSep 6 · 14:40Y. Mykhailyk1.221171111113A. Plashchynska4.0013117842WSep 6 · 13:40A. Rzhevska1.50811481Y. Mykhailyk2.5011211113
P. Pashchenko10
LSep 28 · 05:05A. Kurtenko1.57117118113P. Pashchenko2.2541161172WSep 14 · 10:30P. Pashchenko1.7311137113V. Kurtenko2.005111161LSep 14 · 09:00P. Pashchenko1.913117101Y. Mykhailyk1.8011511123LSep 14 · 07:30P. Pashchenko1.674850U. Dronova2.101111113LSep 14 · 06:00P. Pashchenko2.1051181162S. Yureneva1.67117117113LSep 14 · 04:30P. Pashchenko1.731110531A. Rzhevska2.0081211113WSep 13 · 17:10V. Kurtenko1.83811411P. Pashchenko1.8311811103WSep 13 · 16:10A. Rzhevska1.83713841P. Pashchenko1.83111111113WSep 13 · 14:40U. Dronova1.91513971P. Pashchenko1.80111111113WSep 13 · 12:40A. Kurtenko1.50111051182P. Pashchenko2.50712119113
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