TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Ivan Efimenko vs Dmytro Khairov 3-2 · Setka Cup
Setka Cup
Played Sep 26Finished
Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 2
Final
3 – 2
Set by set
119117911811119
Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 19:16 and never touched — 65.3% is still 65.3%
Graded at full timeIvan Efimenko to win
65.3%
65.3%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingIvan Efimenko above · Dmytro Khairov below
Set 1 · 11-9
Set 2 · 11-7
Set 3 · 9-11
Set 4 · 8-11
Set 5 · 11-9
Point 97 set 5, 11-9 — our read held Ivan Efimenko at 65.3%
97 points played in total.
H2H Ivan Efimenko 1–0 Dmytro Khairov Dmytro Khairov has won 0 of their 1 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 19:16What took a side3 for · 0 against · 3 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.44 (65%)
Efimenko
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
1-0 in 1
—
Too close
1 played, under the floor of 3
Rating (G2)
Efimenko 1675 vs Khairov 1553
Efimenko
Correct
both rated, 122 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Efimenko 80% vs Khairov 40%
Efimenko
Correct
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Efimenko 60% vs Khairov 50%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Efimenko +2 · Khairov -1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 3 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 65% — Clear lean (leans Efimenko)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Efimenko form (80%) outperforms what odds imply (69%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsEfimenko 1.44 / Khairov 2.63
Signal prob.65% / 35%
Edge (Efimenko)+0.8pp
Setka Cup · #13196402
Efimenko1.44
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Won last 2
oldest → newest20%takes the first set · 2 of 10
As favourite56% won 14 of 25
Up 2–0, closes it100% 6 of 6
Up 1–0, closes it82% 9 of 11
Khairov2.63
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog40% won 44 of 109
Down 0–1, comes back19% 10 of 54
Down 0–2, comes back3% 1 of 31
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 1 meeting
HomeEfimenko1wins
AwayKhairov0wins
1 of 1 to a deciderEfimenko leads 1–0.
First set to match win · in this matchup
Not enough first sets
Neither side has won the first set three times here, so there is no rate to publish.
Set by set, in this 1 meetingevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S2
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S3
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S4
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S5
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How that 1 finishedn = 1, below the 3 needed
3–0Straight, home0
3–1Four sets, home0
3–2Decider, home1
2–3Decider, away0
1–3Four sets, away0
0–3Straight, away0
This 1 meeting
MetricEfimenkoKhairovE − KBasisWins10+1in 1 meetingFirst set10+1of 1Avg pointsper match50.047.0+3.0per matchSweeps0003–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricEfimenkoKhairovBasisWin rate · lifetime20 / 32 vs 206 / 43362.5%47.6%20 / 32 vs 206 / 433Avg sets wonper match2.21.9per matchAvg pointsper match37.537.5per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
EfimenkoEfimenko 1.44/Khairov 2.63
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
65.3%
Efimenko · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–2
Efimenko won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record1
WSep 26 · 07:35I. Efimenko50111198113D. Khairov4797111192
I. Efimenko10
WSep 26 · 05:35I. Efimenko1.611111113Y. Kovshun2.208970WSep 19 · 11:05Y. Volkov1.80119116122I. Efimenko1.91911811143LSep 19 · 10:05I. Efimenko1.44614761Y. Makovka2.63111211113WSep 19 · 09:05I. Efimenko1.5011119113V. Kryvenko2.50841131WSep 19 · 07:35I. Efimenko1.2061112113A. Kotiash4.331161081LSep 19 · 05:35I. Efimenko1.44411771Y. Kovshun2.6311811113LSep 17 · 17:40A. Droshchynskyi2.00111111153I. Efimenko1.738713131WSep 17 · 16:10I. Efimenko1.80611119113A. Zozulia1.9111981192WSep 17 · 14:10Y. Holoborodko1.8011114472I. Efimenko1.91561111113LSep 17 · 12:10V. Merzlikin2.6311911113I. Efimenko1.44911291
D. Khairov10
LSep 26 · 06:05D. Khairov2.381012771V. Vietrov1.53121011113WSep 23 · 11:00D. Khairov1.91118119113O. Volynets1.8061121192LSep 23 · 09:00V. Kolesnykov1.911121011113D. Khairov1.80111012972WSep 23 · 08:00D. Khairov2.3811116113O. Karpenko1.53871141LSep 23 · 07:00I. Emets1.911211113D. Khairov1.8010890WSep 23 · 05:30D. Khairov2.25116117113A. Troyan1.5781191132WSep 21 · 11:30A. Martyniuk2.0011113472D. Khairov1.73671111113LSep 21 · 10:00D. Khairov2.20911931A. Troyan1.6111511113LSep 21 · 08:00V. Bilobrov2.25118911133D. Khairov1.57711114112WSep 21 · 06:00Y. Volkov1.50961161D. Khairov2.5011114113
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