TT Lossbeater/TT Cup
Ondrej Skvor vs Ivan Jemelka 1-3 · TT Cup
TT Cup
Played Sep 25Finished
Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 3
Final
1 – 3
Set by set
3111210311711––
Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 20:12 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeOndrej Skvor to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is goingOndrej Skvor above · Ivan Jemelka below
Set 1 · 3-11
Set 2 · 12-10
Set 3 · 3-11
Set 4 · 7-11
Point 68 set 4, 7-11 — our read held Ondrej Skvor at 54.0%
68 points played in total.
H2H Ondrej Skvor 3–3 Ivan Jemelka Dead even across their 6 meetings.
Last 6 · 3–3Head to head
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 20:12What took a side2 for · 2 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.80 (51%)
Skvor
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
3-3 in 6
—
Too close
gap of 0, under the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Skvor 1404 vs Jemelka 1421
Jemelka
Correct
both rated, 18 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Skvor 20% vs Jemelka 40%
Jemelka
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Skvor 50% vs Jemelka 40%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Skvor -3 · Jemelka -1
Skvor
Wrong
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
2 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Skvor)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Jemelka form (40%) is below what odds imply (52%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsSkvor 1.80 / Jemelka 1.91
Signal prob.54% / 46%
Edge (Skvor)+2.5pp
TT Cup · #13191387
Skvor1.80
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Last match: 4 days ago (Sep 21)
Lost last 3
oldest → newest20%takes the first set · 2 of 10
As favourite53% won 55 of 103
Up 2–0, closes it95% 20 of 21
Up 1–0, closes it64% 34 of 53
Jemelka1.91
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Last match: 2 days ago (Sep 23)
oldest → newest
40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As underdog60% won 29 of 48
Down 0–1, comes back35% 7 of 20
Down 0–2, comes back22% 2 of 9
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 6 meetings
HomeSkvor3wins
AwayJemelka3wins
2 of 6 to a deciderLevel at 3–3, and 2 of those 6 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeSkvorn = 2, below the 3 needed
AwayJemelka50%2 of 4
Set by set, in these 6 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Skvor2Jemelka4n = 6Jemelka took 4 of 6
S2Skvor2Jemelka4n = 6Jemelka took 4 of 6
S3Skvor5Jemelka1n = 6Skvor took 5 of 6
S4Skvor1Jemelka4n = 5Jemelka took 4 of 5
S5
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 6 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 6 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home117%
3–1Four sets, home00%
3–2Decider, home233%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away350%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 6 meetings
MetricSkvorJemelkaS − JBasisWins330in 6 meetingsFirst set24−2of 6Avg pointsper match37.738.5−0.8per matchSweeps10+13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricSkvorJemelkaBasisWin rate · lifetime91 / 178 vs 64 / 13251.1%48.5%91 / 178 vs 64 / 132Avg sets wonper match2.02.0per matchAvg pointsper match37.837.4per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
SkvorSkvor 1.80/Jemelka 1.91
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
54%
Skvor · sealed before the serve
What happened
1–3
Jemelka won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record6
LSep 11 · 19:10O. Skvor33781171I. Jemelka4211119113
WSep 9 · 21:15O. Skvor47611117123I. Jemelka45115811102
LSep 9 · 19:10O. Skvor315101151I. Jemelka4011126113
LJul 11 · 13:40O. Skvor30113881I. Jemelka3961111113
WJun 20 · 12:35O. Skvor521081211113I. Jemelka43121110552
WJun 20 · 11:10O. Skvor331111113I. Jemelka229760
O. Skvor10
LSep 21 · 16:40O. Coufal1.671111113O. Skvor2.108750LSep 21 · 15:40F. Theodor2.25115119123O. Skvor1.57811811102LSep 21 · 15:10O. Coufal1.731111133O. Skvor2.0049110WSep 21 · 14:10O. Skvor1.6711414113K. Przeczek2.102111251LSep 21 · 13:10O. Skvor1.837990A. Drozd1.831111113WSep 21 · 11:40O. Skvor2.00132111113A. Drozd1.7311191341WSep 21 · 10:40O. Skvor1.53911711113M. Kliment2.3811711882WSep 21 · 10:40O. Skvor1.31911711113M. Klimenta3.2011711882WSep 21 · 09:40O. Skvor1.578121111113P. Jokiel2.2511146392LSep 19 · 20:45O. Skvor1.53111131192J. Vanous2.38135115113
I. Jemelka10
LSep 23 · 09:13P. Chlad1.801111113I. Jemelka1.916840WSep 23 · 07:45J. Sindler1.738119101I. Jemelka2.0011511123LSep 23 · 07:15P. Chlad1.73711311113I. Jemelka2.0011611982WSep 23 · 06:15I. Jemelka1.7312812113A. Strelec2.0010111091LSep 21 · 08:55J. Matus2.1011115113I. Jemelka1.65581181LSep 21 · 07:40J. Sindler1.9111611113I. Jemelka1.80911571LSep 21 · 07:10J. Matus2.2511111113I. Jemelka1.57911571WSep 21 · 06:10I. Jemelka1.73612915123A. Strelec2.0011101113102LSep 19 · 17:04I. Jemelka1.6145111192P. Chvojka2.20111197113WSep 19 · 15:40I. Jemelka1.91111198113J. Jnr1.8059111192
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