Matyas Navedla vs Tomas Dousek 2-3

TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro

Czech Liga ProA18 · Ostrava

Played Oct 12Finished

Matyas Navedla

Home

2.00

At publish

Won last 1

Form at publish

6–4Last 10Won last 1

Final

2 – 3

Set by set

1311811115811711

Tomas Dousek

Away

1.73

At publish

Lost last 1

Form at publish

5–5Last 10Lost last 1

How it is goingMatyas Navedla above · Tomas Dousek below

Set 1 · 13-11

Set 2 · 8-11

Set 3 · 11-5

Set 4 · 8-11

Set 5 · 7-11

Point 96 set 5, 7-11

96 points played in total.

H2H Matyas Navedla 10–19 Tomas Dousek Matyas Navedla has won 10 of their 29 meetings.

Last 10 · 6–4SplitHead to head

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Forecast

History

Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did: no prediction

Match Winner

Dousek

Navedla 2.00/Dousek 1.73

Read onlywould have hit

What we said

—

no pick shipped on this market

What happened

2–3

Dousek won

Decision Summary

Why this prediction

Dousek: form 20%, the price implies 58%

Market vs Signals

Market oddsNavedla 2.00 / Dousek 1.727

Same-day rematch · 1h before this match

Navedla beat Dousek 3-1.

Same-day rematch winners hit ~50% historically. The market typically prices this in, which is why it moves nothing in the read below: it is context, not a signal.

Head to head

H2H window

The recordacross 10 meetings

HomeNavedla6wins

AwayDousek4wins

3 of 10 to a deciderNavedla leads 6–4, and 3 of those 10 went to a fifth set.

First set to match win · in this matchup

HomeNavedla50%3 of 6

AwayDousek25%1 of 4

Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n: a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one

S1Navedla6Dousek4n = 10Navedla took 6 of 10

S2Navedla5Dousek5n = 10split evenly

S3Navedla4Dousek6n = 10Dousek took 6 of 10

S4Navedla5Dousek3n = 8Navedla took 5 of 8

S5Navedla2Dousek1n = 3Navedla took 2 of 3

How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10. A scoreline is a name, not a code

3–0Straight, home110%

3–1Four sets, home330%

3–2Decider, home220%

2–3Decider, away110%

1–3Four sets, away220%

0–3Straight, away110%

These 10 meetings

MetricNavedlaDousekN − DBasisWins64+2in 10 meetingsFirst set64+2of 10Avg pointsper match38.439.0−0.6per matchSweeps1103–0 or 0–3

Career, not this matchup

MetricNavedlaDousekBasisWin rate · lifetime399 / 842 vs 268 / 51147.4%52.5%399 / 842 vs 268 / 511Avg sets wonper match2.02.1per matchAvg pointsper match38.739.1per match

Czech Liga Pro · #13286856

Navedla2.00

60%won 6 of 10 · last 10

Last match: today

oldest → newest

60%takes the first set · 6 of 10

As underdog42% won 132 of 317

Down 0–1, comes back28% 45 of 163

Down 0–2, comes back13% 10 of 78

Dousek1.73

50%won 5 of 10 · last 10

Last match: today

oldest → newest

40%takes the first set · 4 of 10

As favourite54% won 119 of 219

Up 2–0, closes it92% 55 of 60

Up 1–0, closes it75% 87 of 116

Matyas Navedla vs Tomas Dousek 2-3 · Czech Liga Pro

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Match Winner

Decision Summary

Matyas Navedla vs Tomas Dousek 2-3 · Czech Liga Pro

Deep Dive by Market

Match Winner

Decision Summary

Today's matches are already sealed.