Radomir Revay vs Matyas Navedla 1-3

TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro

Czech Liga ProA18 · Ostrava

Played Oct 12Finished

Radomir Revay

Home

1.73

At publish

Won last 4

Form at publish

5–5Last 10Won last 4

Final

1 – 3

Set by set

11131113117611––

Matyas Navedla

Away

2.00

At publish

Won last 4

Form at publish

6–4Last 10Won last 4

The read, and what happenedsealed at 08:26 and never touched: 54.1% is still 54.1%

Graded at full time

Radomir Revay to win

54.1%

Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.

Read

Wrong

not sent

How it is goingRadomir Revay above · Matyas Navedla below

Set 1 · 11-13

Set 2 · 11-13

Set 3 · 11-7

Set 4 · 6-11

Point 83 set 4, 6-11 · our read held Radomir Revay at 54.1%

83 points played in total.

H2H Radomir Revay 18–18 Matyas Navedla Dead even across their 36 meetings.

Last 10 · 5–5Head to head

Deep Dive by Market

One tab per market

Forecast

History

Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did: no prediction

Match Winner

Revay

Revay 1.73/Navedla 2.00

Read onlywould have missed

What we said

54.1%

Revay · sealed before the serve

What happened

1–3

Navedla won

The pickNothing sent

Sealed 08:26

54.1%Our read57.9%to break even at 1.727

short by 3.8pp

57.9% (what it has to beat, and what the price implies: at 1.727 they are the same number)

What took a side2 for · 0 against · 4 silent

SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way

Market

1.73 (54%)

Revay

Wrong

no bar to clear: a priced side always votes

H2H

18-18 in 36

—

Too close

gap of 0, under the gap of 2

Rating (G2)

Revay 1835 vs Navedla 1798

Revay

Wrong

both rated, 37 points apart, no bar to clear

Form (L5)

Revay 80% vs Navedla 80%

—

Too close

0pp gap, under the 15pp bar

Form (L10)

Revay 50% vs Navedla 60%

—

Too close

10pp gap, under the 15pp bar

Streak

Revay +4 · Navedla +4

—

Too close

neither holds a run of 3 on their own

Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing: the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.

This table lists the interface catalogue: the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.

2 for, 4 silent, and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.

Signal confidence: 54% · Coin-flip (leans Revay) · sealed before the serve

Decision Summary

Why this prediction

Navedla: form 80%, the price implies 50%

Market vs Signals

Market oddsRevay 1.727 / Navedla 2.00

Signal prob.54% / 46%

Edge (Revay)-3.8pp (anti-value)

Head to head

H2H window

The recordacross 10 meetings

HomeRevay5wins

AwayNavedla5wins

4 of 10 to a deciderLevel at 5–5, and 4 of those 10 went to a fifth set.

First set to match win · in this matchup

HomeRevay60%3 of 5

AwayNavedla60%3 of 5

Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n: a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one

S1Revay5Navedla5n = 10split evenly

S2Revay4Navedla6n = 10Navedla took 6 of 10

S3Revay5Navedla5n = 10split evenly

S4Revay6Navedla1n = 7Revay took 6 of 7

S5Revay1Navedla3n = 4Navedla took 3 of 4

How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10. A scoreline is a name, not a code

3–0Straight, home110%

3–1Four sets, home330%

3–2Decider, home110%

2–3Decider, away330%

1–3Four sets, away00%

0–3Straight, away220%

These 10 meetings

MetricRevayNavedlaR − NBasisWins550in 10 meetingsFirst set550of 10Avg pointsper match39.538.3+1.2per matchSweeps12−13–0 or 0–3

Career, not this matchup

MetricRevayNavedlaBasisWin rate · lifetime338 / 649 vs 397 / 83752.1%47.4%338 / 649 vs 397 / 837Avg sets wonper match2.12.1per matchAvg pointsper match39.638.7per match

Czech Liga Pro · #13280568

Revay1.73

50%won 5 of 10 · last 10

Last match: today

Won last 4

oldest → newest

30%takes the first set · 3 of 10

As favourite65% won 73 of 113

Up 2–0, closes it97% 30 of 31

Up 1–0, closes it71% 47 of 66

Navedla2.00

60%won 6 of 10 · last 10

Last match: today

Won last 4

oldest → newest

70%takes the first set · 7 of 10

As underdog42% won 132 of 317

Down 0–1, comes back28% 45 of 163

Down 0–2, comes back13% 10 of 78

Radomir Revay vs Matyas Navedla 1-3 · Czech Liga Pro

Deep Dive by Market

Match Winner

Decision Summary

Radomir Revay vs Matyas Navedla 1-3 · Czech Liga Pro

Deep Dive by Market

Match Winner

Decision Summary

Today's matches are already sealed.