Matyas Navedla vs Libor Prikasky 1-3

TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro

Czech Liga ProA18 · Ostrava

Played Oct 12Finished

Matyas Navedla

Home

1.40

At publish

Lost last 1

Form at publish

7–3Last 10Lost last 1

Final

1 – 3

Set by set

5111012114611––

Libor Prikasky

Away

2.75

At publish

Lost last 8

Form at publish

2–8Last 10Lost last 8

The read, and what happenedsealed at 17:55 and never touched: 68.7% is still 68.7%

Graded at full time

Matyas Navedla to win

68.7%

Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.

Read

Wrong

not sent

How it is goingMatyas Navedla above · Libor Prikasky below

Set 1 · 5-11

Set 2 · 10-12

Set 3 · 11-4

Set 4 · 6-11

Point 70 set 4, 6-11 · our read held Matyas Navedla at 68.7%

70 points played in total.

H2H Matyas Navedla 28–13 Libor Prikasky Libor Prikasky has won 13 of their 41 meetings.

Last 10 · 7–3Same sideHead to head

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One tab per market

Forecast

History

Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did: no prediction

Match Winner

Navedla

Navedla 1.40/Prikasky 2.75

Read onlywould have missed

What we said

68.7%

Navedla · sealed before the serve

What happened

1–3

Prikasky won

The pickNothing sent

Sealed 17:55

68.7%Our read71.4%to break even at 1.40

short by 2.7pp

71.4% (what it has to beat, and what the price implies: at 1.40 they are the same number)

What took a side5 for · 1 against · 0 silent

SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way

Market

1.40 (66%)

Navedla

Wrong

no bar to clear: a priced side always votes

H2H

28-13 in 41

Navedla

Wrong

gap of 15 in 41, over the gap of 2

Rating (G2)

Navedla 1800 vs Prikasky 1707

Navedla

Wrong

both rated, 93 points apart, no bar to clear

Form (L5)

Navedla 80% vs Prikasky 0%

Navedla

Wrong

80pp gap, over the 15pp bar

Form (L10)

Navedla 70% vs Prikasky 20%

Navedla

Wrong

50pp gap, over the 15pp bar

Streak

Navedla -1 · Prikasky -8

Prikasky

Correct

one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not

Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing: the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.

This table lists the interface catalogue: the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.

5 for, 0 silent, and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.

Signal confidence: 69% · Clear lean (leans Navedla) · sealed before the serve

Decision Summary

Why this prediction

Prikasky: form 0%, the price implies 36%

Market vs Signals

Market oddsNavedla 1.40 / Prikasky 2.75

Signal prob.69% / 31%

Edge (Navedla)-2.7pp (anti-value)

Head to head

H2H window

The recordacross 10 meetings

HomeNavedla7wins

AwayPrikasky3wins

3 of 10 to a deciderNavedla leads 7–3, and 3 of those 10 went to a fifth set.

First set to match win · in this matchup

HomeNavedla77.8%7 of 9

AwayPrikaskyn = 1, below the 3 needed

Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n: a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one

S1Navedla9Prikasky1n = 10Navedla took 9 of 10

S2Navedla8Prikasky2n = 10Navedla took 8 of 10

S3Navedla4Prikasky6n = 10Prikasky took 6 of 10

S4Navedla4Prikasky3n = 7Navedla took 4 of 7

S5Navedla1Prikasky2n = 3Prikasky took 2 of 3

How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10. A scoreline is a name, not a code

3–0Straight, home330%

3–1Four sets, home330%

3–2Decider, home110%

2–3Decider, away220%

1–3Four sets, away110%

0–3Straight, away00%

These 10 meetings

MetricNavedlaPrikaskyN − PBasisWins73+4in 10 meetingsFirst set91+8of 10Avg pointsper match41.934.0+7.9per matchSweeps30+33–0 or 0–3

Career, not this matchup

MetricNavedlaPrikaskyBasisWin rate · lifetime398 / 839 vs 272 / 49747.4%54.7%398 / 839 vs 272 / 497Avg sets wonper match2.12.0per matchAvg pointsper match38.737.0per match

Czech Liga Pro · #13278405

Navedla1.40

70%won 7 of 10 · last 10

Last match: today

oldest → newest

70%takes the first set · 7 of 10

As favourite60% won 44 of 74

Up 2–0, closes it94% 29 of 31

Up 1–0, closes it67% 34 of 51

Prikasky2.75

20%won 2 of 10 · last 10

Last match: 3 days ago (Oct 09)

Lost last 8

oldest → newest

40%takes the first set · 4 of 10

As underdog44% won 88 of 202

Down 0–1, comes back24% 27 of 114

Down 0–2, comes back9% 6 of 65

Matyas Navedla vs Libor Prikasky 1-3 · Czech Liga Pro

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Match Winner

Decision Summary

Matyas Navedla vs Libor Prikasky 1-3 · Czech Liga Pro

Deep Dive by Market

Match Winner

Decision Summary

Today's matches are already sealed.