Martin Filipek vs Tomas Hnizdil 1-3

TT Lossbeater/TT Cup

TT CupCzech 2 · Prague

Played Oct 12Finished

Martin Filipek

Home

2.00

At publish

Won last 2

Form at publish

3–7Last 10Won last 2

Final

1 – 3

Set by set

1210711911411––

Tomas Hnizdil

Away

1.73

At publish

Lost last 1

Form at publish

7–3Last 10Lost last 1

How it is goingMartin Filipek above · Tomas Hnizdil below

Set 1 · 12-10

Set 2 · 7-11

Set 3 · 9-11

Set 4 · 4-11

Point 75 set 4, 4-11

75 points played in total.

H2H Martin Filipek 6–8 Tomas Hnizdil Martin Filipek has won 6 of their 14 meetings.

Last 10 · 3–7Same sideHead to head

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Forecast

History

Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did: no prediction

Match Winner

Hnizdil

Filipek 2.00/Hnizdil 1.73

Read onlywould have hit

What we said

—

no pick shipped on this market

What happened

1–3

Hnizdil won

Decision Summary

Why this prediction

Hnizdil: form 80%, the price implies 58%

Market vs Signals

Market oddsFilipek 2.00 / Hnizdil 1.727

Same-day rematch · 2h before this match

Filipek beat Hnizdil 3-2.

Same-day rematch winners hit ~50% historically. The market typically prices this in, which is why it moves nothing in the read below: it is context, not a signal.

Head to head

H2H window

The recordacross 10 meetings

HomeFilipek3wins

AwayHnizdil7wins

4 of 10 to a deciderHnizdil leads 7–3, and 4 of those 10 went to a fifth set.

First set to match win · in this matchup

HomeFilipek50%2 of 4

AwayHnizdil83.3%5 of 6

Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n: a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one

S1Filipek4Hnizdil6n = 10Hnizdil took 6 of 10

S2Filipek5Hnizdil5n = 10split evenly

S3Filipek3Hnizdil7n = 10Hnizdil took 7 of 10

S4Filipek5Hnizdil4n = 9Filipek took 5 of 9

S5Filipek1Hnizdil3n = 4Hnizdil took 3 of 4

How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10. A scoreline is a name, not a code

3–0Straight, home00%

3–1Four sets, home220%

3–2Decider, home110%

2–3Decider, away330%

1–3Four sets, away330%

0–3Straight, away110%

These 10 meetings

MetricFilipekHnizdilF − HBasisWins37−4in 10 meetingsFirst set46−2of 10Avg pointsper match36.742.2−5.5per matchSweeps01−13–0 or 0–3

Career, not this matchup

MetricFilipekHnizdilBasisWin rate · lifetime278 / 621 vs 117 / 19444.8%60.3%278 / 621 vs 117 / 194Avg sets wonper match2.02.2per matchAvg pointsper match39.538.4per match

TT Cup · #13284162

Filipek2.00

30%won 3 of 10 · last 10

Last match: today

Won last 2

oldest → newest

40%takes the first set · 4 of 10

As underdog40% won 70 of 177

Down 0–1, comes back23% 21 of 93

Down 0–2, comes back4% 2 of 47

Hnizdil1.73

70%won 7 of 10 · last 10

Last match: today

oldest → newest

70%takes the first set · 7 of 10

As favourite69% won 52 of 75

Up 2–0, closes it90% 27 of 30

Up 1–0, closes it85% 39 of 46

Martin Filipek vs Tomas Hnizdil 1-3 · TT Cup

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Match Winner

Decision Summary

Martin Filipek vs Tomas Hnizdil 1-3 · TT Cup

Deep Dive by Market

Match Winner

Decision Summary

Today's matches are already sealed.