TT Lossbeater/TT Cup
Frantisek Balcar vs Martin Filipek 0-3 · TT Cup
TT Cup
Played Oct 6Finished
Form at publish
4–6Last 10Won last 1
Final
0 – 3
Set by set
511811811––––
Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 2
How it is goingFrantisek Balcar above · Martin Filipek below
Set 1 · 5-11
Set 2 · 8-11
Set 3 · 8-11
Point 54 set 3, 8-11
54 points played in total.
H2H Frantisek Balcar 23–16 Martin Filipek Martin Filipek has won 16 of their 39 meetings.
Same-day rematch · 3h before this match
Filipek beat Balcar 3-2.
Same-day rematch winners hit ~50% historically. The market typically prices this in, which is why it moves nothing in the read below: it is context, not a signal.
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Balcar form (40%) is below what odds imply (58%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsBalcar 1.727 / Filipek 2.00
TT Cup · #13253726
Balcar1.73
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As favourite56% won 25 of 45
Up 2–0, closes it92% 11 of 12
Up 1–0, closes it74% 17 of 23
Filipek2.00
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Lost last 2
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog40% won 72 of 179
Down 0–1, comes back22% 21 of 94
Down 0–2, comes back4% 2 of 47
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeBalcar7wins
AwayFilipek3wins
7 of 10 to a deciderBalcar leads 7–3, and 7 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeBalcar100%3 of 3
AwayFilipek42.9%3 of 7
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n: a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Balcar3Filipek7n = 10Filipek took 7 of 10
S2Balcar7Filipek3n = 10Balcar took 7 of 10
S3Balcar6Filipek4n = 10Balcar took 6 of 10
S4Balcar4Filipek4n = 8split evenly
S5Balcar5Filipek2n = 7Balcar took 5 of 7
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10. A scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home110%
3–1Four sets, home110%
3–2Decider, home550%
2–3Decider, away220%
1–3Four sets, away00%
0–3Straight, away110%
These 10 meetings
MetricBalcarFilipekB − FBasisWins73+4in 10 meetingsFirst set37−4of 10Avg pointsper match45.543.2+2.3per matchSweeps1103–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricBalcarFilipekBasisWin rate · lifetime122 / 247 vs 276 / 61749.4%44.7%122 / 247 vs 276 / 617Avg sets wonper match2.02.0per matchAvg pointsper match39.339.5per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did: no prediction
Match Winner
BalcarBalcar 1.73/Filipek 2.00
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
—
no pick shipped on this market
What happened
0–3
Filipek won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LOct 6 · 07:25F. Balcar551091113122M. Filipek551211711143
LSep 23 · 07:55F. Balcar44612101152M. Filipek511110127113
WSep 22 · 08:25F. Balcar50612811133M. Filipek521110119112
WSep 21 · 14:45F. Balcar331111113M. Filipek196670
WSep 21 · 11:25F. Balcar581514711113M. Filipek561312111372
WSep 16 · 10:20F. Balcar501411113113M. Filipek4216451162
WSep 7 · 09:25F. Balcar4061111123M. Filipek361196101
WSep 4 · 11:25F. Balcar501161111113M. Filipek4141161372
LJul 20 · 11:25F. Balcar268990M. Filipek331111113
WJul 20 · 06:55F. Balcar49711128113M. Filipek47118101172
F. Balcar10
WOct 6 · 08:55R. Muller2.0061161182F. Balcar1.73116119113LOct 6 · 08:25P. Chlumsky2.10711311123F. Balcar1.67119118102LOct 6 · 07:25F. Balcar1.831091113122M. Filipek1.831211711143LSep 29 · 14:30L. Moravec1.601111113F. Balcar2.209390WSep 29 · 12:55F. Balcar1.83101111113F. Marat1.83127881WSep 29 · 11:55F. Balcar1.7311117113P. Chlumsky2.00471171LSep 29 · 10:55F. Balcar2.2011891292L. Moravec1.619111110113WSep 23 · 09:58R. Jamrich2.009121112122F. Balcar1.731110914143LSep 23 · 08:55F. Balcar1.501112611102R. Jamrich2.509101113123LSep 23 · 07:55F. Balcar1.91612101152M. Filipek1.801110127113
M. Filipek10
LOct 6 · 09:25M. Filipek2.251411211132P. Chlumsky1.571261113153LOct 6 · 07:55R. Muller2.2017118133M. Filipek1.6115911111WOct 6 · 07:25F. Balcar1.831091113122M. Filipek1.831211711143LOct 5 · 14:35J. Vonasek1.3011123123M. Filipek3.4071011101WOct 5 · 13:25M. Filipek1.571111113A. Kral2.259830WOct 5 · 11:55O. Fiklik1.5071161182M. Filipek2.50115116113LOct 5 · 11:25J. Vonasek1.441112123M. Filipek2.63810100LOct 5 · 10:33M. Filipek1.61641151A. Kral2.2011117113WOct 5 · 08:55F. Marat1.733111210112M. Filipek2.001181012133WSep 23 · 07:55F. Balcar1.91612101152M. Filipek1.801110127113
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