Jakub Hradecky vs Karel Schopf 0-3

TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro

Czech Liga ProA17 Hall · Liberec

Played Oct 12Finished

Jakub Hradecky

Home

2.25

At publish

Lost last 1

Form at publish

7–3Last 10Lost last 1

Final

0 – 3

Set by set

4119111012––––

Karel Schopf

Away

1.57

At publish

Lost last 4

Form at publish

3–7Last 10Lost last 4

The read, and what happenedsealed at 16:11 and never touched: 54.5% is still 54.5%

Graded at full time

Karel Schopf to win

54.5%

Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.

Read

Right

Sent to Pro: Jakub Hradecky @ 2.25 · Lost

The Pro pick went the other way, on a re-read before the serve.

How it is goingJakub Hradecky above · Karel Schopf below

Set 1 · 4-11

Set 2 · 9-11

Set 3 · 10-12

Point 57 set 3, 10-12 · our read held Karel Schopf at 54.5%

57 points played in total.

H2H Jakub Hradecky 0–4 Karel Schopf Jakub Hradecky has won 0 of their 4 meetings.

Last 4 · 0–4Same sideHead to head

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Forecast

History

Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did: no prediction

Match Winner

Hradecky

Hradecky 2.25/Schopf 1.57

Miss

What we said

54.5%

Schopf · sealed before the serve

Sent to Pro: Jakub Hradecky @ 2.25 · Lost

The Pro pick went the other way, on a re-read before the serve.

What happened

0–3

Schopf won

The pick

Sealed 16:11

Sent to Pro: Jakub Hradecky @ 2.25 · Lost

54.5%Our read63.7%to break even at 1.571

short by 9.2pp

63.7% (what it has to beat, and what the price implies: at 1.571 they are the same number)

What took a side3 for · 3 against · 0 silent

SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way

Market

1.57 (59%)

Schopf

Correct

no bar to clear: a priced side always votes

H2H

0-4 in 4

Schopf

Correct

gap of 4 in 4, over the gap of 2

Rating (G2)

Hradecky 1684 vs Schopf 1584

Hradecky

Wrong

both rated, 100 points apart, no bar to clear

Form (L5)

Hradecky 60% vs Schopf 20%

Hradecky

Wrong

40pp gap, over the 15pp bar

Form (L10)

Hradecky 70% vs Schopf 30%

Hradecky

Wrong

40pp gap, over the 15pp bar

Streak

Hradecky -1 · Schopf -4

Schopf

Correct

one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not

Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing: the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.

This table lists the interface catalogue: the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.

3 for, 0 silent when this read was sealed. The pick sent to Pro came from a re-read before the serve.

Signal confidence: 55% · Coin-flip (leans Schopf) · sealed before the serve

Decision Summary

Why this prediction

Schopf: form 20%, the price implies 64%

Market vs Signals

Market oddsHradecky 2.25 / Schopf 1.571

Signal prob.46% / 55%

Edge (Schopf)-9.2pp (anti-value)

Head to head

H2H window

The recordacross 4 meetings

HomeHradecky0wins

AwaySchopf4wins

1 of 4 to a deciderSchopf leads 4–0, and 1 of those 4 went to a fifth set.

First set to match win · in this matchup

HomeHradeckyn = 1, below the 3 needed

AwaySchopf100%3 of 3

Set by set, in these 4 meetingsevery set carries its own n: a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one

S1Hradecky1Schopf3n = 4Schopf took 3 of 4

S2Hradecky0Schopf4n = 4Schopf took 4 of 4

S3Hradecky1Schopf3n = 4Schopf took 3 of 4

Only 2 matches reached it, below the 3 needed to publish a rate

Only 1 match reached it, below the 3 needed to publish a rate

How those 4 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 4. A scoreline is a name, not a code

3–0Straight, home00%

3–1Four sets, home00%

3–2Decider, home00%

2–3Decider, away125%

1–3Four sets, away125%

0–3Straight, away250%

These 4 meetings

MetricHradeckySchopfH − SBasisWins04−4in 4 meetingsFirst set13−2of 4Avg pointsper match33.840.5−6.7per matchSweeps02−23–0 or 0–3

Career, not this matchup

MetricHradeckySchopfBasisWin rate · lifetime263 / 484 vs 220 / 44854.3%49.1%263 / 484 vs 220 / 448Avg sets wonper match2.11.9per matchAvg pointsper match37.937.5per match

Czech Liga Pro · #13280472

Hradecky2.25

70%won 7 of 10 · last 10

Last match: 24 days ago (Sep 19) · back after a break

oldest → newest

70%takes the first set · 7 of 10

As underdog33% won 16 of 49

Down 0–1, comes back7% 2 of 27

Down 0–2, comes back5% 1 of 19

Schopf1.57

30%won 3 of 10 · last 10

Last match: 13 days ago (Sep 30) · back after a break

Lost last 4

oldest → newest

50%takes the first set · 5 of 10

As favourite56% won 49 of 87

Up 2–0, closes it88% 21 of 24

Up 1–0, closes it81% 35 of 43

Jakub Hradecky vs Karel Schopf 0-3 · Czech Liga Pro

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Match Winner

Decision Summary

Jakub Hradecky vs Karel Schopf 0-3 · Czech Liga Pro

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Match Winner

Decision Summary

Today's matches are already sealed.