TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Karel Schopf vs Daniel Tuma 2-3 · Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga Pro
Played Sep 30Finished
Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 2
Final
2 – 3
Set by set
911161412141210611
Form at publish
3–7Last 10Lost last 3
The read, and what happenedsealed at 00:18 and never touched: 56.8% is still 56.8%
Graded at full timeKarel Schopf to win
56.8%
56.8%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is goingKarel Schopf above · Daniel Tuma below
Set 1 · 9-11
Set 2 · 16-14
Set 3 · 12-14
Set 4 · 12-10
Set 5 · 6-11
Point 115 set 5, 6-11 · our read held Karel Schopf at 56.8%
115 points played in total.
H2H Karel Schopf 6–7 Daniel Tuma Karel Schopf has won 6 of their 13 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 00:18What took a side2 for · 2 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.67 (56%)
Schopf
Wrong
no bar to clear: a priced side always votes
H2H
6-7 in 13
—
Too close
gap of 1, under the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Schopf 1587 vs Tuma 1572
Schopf
Wrong
both rated, 15 points apart, no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Schopf 20% vs Tuma 40%
Tuma
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Schopf 40% vs Tuma 30%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Schopf -2 · Tuma -3
Tuma
Correct
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing: the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue: the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
2 for, 2 silent, and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 57% · Slight lean (leans Schopf) · sealed before the serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Schopf form (20%) is below what odds imply (60%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsSchopf 1.67 / Tuma 2.10
Signal prob.57% / 43%
Edge (Schopf)+1.0pp
Czech Liga Pro · #13211653
Schopf1.67
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Lost last 2
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As favourite58% won 49 of 84
Up 2–0, closes it88% 21 of 24
Up 1–0, closes it81% 35 of 43
Tuma2.10
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Lost last 3
oldest → newest30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As underdog47% won 164 of 347
Down 0–1, comes back29% 53 of 183
Down 0–2, comes back10% 9 of 95
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeSchopf4wins
AwayTuma6wins
2 of 10 to a deciderTuma leads 6–4, and 2 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeSchopf100%3 of 3
AwayTuma85.7%6 of 7
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n: a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Schopf3Tuma7n = 10Tuma took 7 of 10
S2Schopf2Tuma8n = 10Tuma took 8 of 10
S3Schopf6Tuma4n = 10Schopf took 6 of 10
S4Schopf3Tuma2n = 5Schopf took 3 of 5
S5
Only 2 matches reached it, below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10. A scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home110%
3–1Four sets, home220%
3–2Decider, home110%
2–3Decider, away110%
1–3Four sets, away110%
0–3Straight, away440%
These 10 meetings
MetricSchopfTumaS − TBasisWins46−2in 10 meetingsFirst set37−4of 10Avg pointsper match34.436.1−1.7per matchSweeps14−33–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricSchopfTumaBasisWin rate · lifetime232 / 466 vs 781 / 149049.8%52.4%232 / 466 vs 781 / 1490Avg sets wonper match2.02.1per matchAvg pointsper match37.438.5per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did: no prediction
Match Winner
SchopfSchopf 1.67/Tuma 2.10
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
56.8%
Schopf · sealed before the serve
What happened
2–3
Tuma won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WJul 23 · 06:00K. Schopf341111123D. Tuma2358100
WJun 25 · 08:00K. Schopf531281111113D. Tuma4714117872
WMay 12 · 03:28K. Schopf4411911133D. Tuma389117111
LMay 11 · 23:00K. Schopf5091411972D. Tuma541112911113
LMay 10 · 17:30K. Schopf208570D. Tuma331111113
LMay 10 · 16:30K. Schopf227690D. Tuma331111113
LApr 26 · 23:00K. Schopf29481161D. Tuma3811115113
LMar 8 · 19:00K. Schopf228770D. Tuma331111113
LNov 30 · 20:30K. Schopf2999110D. Tuma351111133
WJun 17 · 22:30K. Schopf4111811113D. Tuma27511651
K. Schopf10
LSep 29 · 23:00K. Schopf1.614980P. Zmuda2.201111113LSep 29 · 22:00V. Dvorak1.8391111113K. Schopf1.83117931WSep 29 · 03:30M. Regner2.15431181K. Schopf1.6311117113LSep 29 · 02:30K. Schopf1.57711371M. Regner2.2511711113LSep 29 · 01:30M. Vizek1.911011813113K. Schopf1.80127111152WSep 29 · 00:00K. Schopf1.8371111113M. Sychra1.83116691WSep 28 · 23:00V. Dvorak1.679390K. Schopf2.101111113LSep 28 · 21:30M. Sychra1.835111112123K. Schopf1.83115714102LSep 28 · 20:00M. Sychra2.001114113K. Schopf1.7321270WSep 28 · 19:00M. Nohejl2.007670K. Schopf1.731111113
D. Tuma10
LSep 30 · 01:30D. Tuma2.204750P. Zmuda1.611111113LSep 29 · 23:30V. Dvorak1.571111117113D. Tuma2.2541371142LSep 29 · 22:30D. Tuma1.8341110101R. Krejci1.8311912123LSep 29 · 21:30P. Zmuda1.6111134113D. Tuma2.209111171WSep 29 · 20:30D. Tuma1.8311118113K. Kapras1.83681171WSep 29 · 19:00D. Tuma2.38119816113M. Bittner1.53911111492LSep 29 · 18:00P. Zmuda1.731111113D. Tuma2.005980LSep 28 · 03:00V. Cermak1.731111611173D. Tuma2.00721113152LSep 28 · 02:30M. Chlebecek1.5051111123D. Tuma2.251183101WSep 28 · 01:00M. Vedmoch3.501561091D. Tuma1.28131112113
Upcoming Matches
K. Schopf
D. Tuma
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