TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Daniel Tuma vs Petr Zmuda 0-3 · Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga Pro
Played Sep 30Finished
Form at publish
4–6Last 10Won last 1
Final
0 – 3
Set by set
411711511––––
Form at publish
8–2Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 00:19 and never touched: 60.9% is still 60.9%
Graded at full timePetr Zmuda to win
60.9%
60.9%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
RightSent to Pro: Petr Zmuda @ 1.61 · Won
How it is goingDaniel Tuma above · Petr Zmuda below
Set 1 · 4-11
Set 2 · 7-11
Set 3 · 5-11
Point 49 set 3, 5-11 · our read held Petr Zmuda at 60.9%
49 points played in total.
H2H Daniel Tuma 11–16 Petr Zmuda Daniel Tuma has won 11 of their 27 meetings.
They have already met 2 times today · last one 4h before this match
Zmuda beat Tuma 3-1.
Same-day rematch winners hit ~50% historically. The market typically prices this in, which is why it moves nothing in the read below: it is context, not a signal.
The pickConfirm
Sealed 00:19What took a side5 for · 0 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.61 (58%)
Zmuda
Correct
no bar to clear: a priced side always votes
H2H
11-16 in 27
Zmuda
Correct
gap of 5 in 27, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Tuma 1583 vs Zmuda 1652
Zmuda
Correct
both rated, 69 points apart, no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Tuma 40% vs Zmuda 60%
Zmuda
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Tuma 40% vs Zmuda 80%
Zmuda
Correct
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Tuma +1 · Zmuda -1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing: the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue: the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
5 for, 1 silent, and the gate let it through as Confirm.
Signal confidence: 61% · Slight lean (leans Zmuda) · sealed before the serve
Decision Summary
Market vs Signals
Market oddsTuma 2.20 / Zmuda 1.61
Signal prob.39% / 61%
Edge (Zmuda)+3.2pp
Czech Liga Pro · #13211522
Tuma2.20
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As underdog47% won 164 of 347
Down 0–1, comes back29% 53 of 183
Down 0–2, comes back10% 9 of 95
Zmuda1.61
80%won 8 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As favourite60% won 62 of 104
Up 2–0, closes it100% 25 of 25
Up 1–0, closes it86% 42 of 49
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeTuma3wins
AwayZmuda7wins
3 of 10 to a deciderZmuda leads 7–3, and 3 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeTuma100%3 of 3
AwayZmuda100%7 of 7
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n: a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Tuma3Zmuda7n = 10Zmuda took 7 of 10
S2Tuma3Zmuda7n = 10Zmuda took 7 of 10
S3Tuma4Zmuda6n = 10Zmuda took 6 of 10
S4Tuma4Zmuda3n = 7Tuma took 4 of 7
S5Tuma1Zmuda2n = 3Zmuda took 2 of 3
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10. A scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home220%
3–2Decider, home110%
2–3Decider, away220%
1–3Four sets, away220%
0–3Straight, away330%
These 10 meetings
MetricTumaZmudaT − ZBasisWins37−4in 10 meetingsFirst set37−4of 10Avg pointsper match36.239.9−3.7per matchSweeps03−33–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricTumaZmudaBasisWin rate · lifetime782 / 1491 vs 131 / 25052.5%52.4%782 / 1491 vs 131 / 250Avg sets wonper match2.12.1per matchAvg pointsper match38.538.3per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did: no prediction
Match Winner
ZmudaTuma 2.20/Zmuda 1.61
Hit
What we said
60.9%
Zmuda · sealed before the serve
Sent to Pro: Petr Zmuda @ 1.61 · Won
What happened
0–3
Zmuda won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LSep 29 · 21:30D. Tuma389111171P. Zmuda3911134113
LSep 29 · 18:00D. Tuma225980P. Zmuda331111113
LSep 24 · 13:30D. Tuma3761151142P. Zmuda46118115113
LSep 24 · 10:00D. Tuma4251111962P. Zmuda49117911113
LSep 22 · 03:30D. Tuma388811111P. Zmuda4311118133
WSep 22 · 00:30D. Tuma4011711113P. Zmuda34711881
WSep 17 · 07:30D. Tuma531111812113P. Zmuda52913111092
LAug 22 · 09:00D. Tuma2551190P. Zmuda351113113
WAug 22 · 07:30D. Tuma4011116123P. Zmuda326511101
LAug 10 · 22:00D. Tuma27611100P. Zmuda361113123
D. Tuma10
WSep 30 · 00:30K. Schopf1.67916121262D. Tuma2.1011141410113LSep 29 · 23:30V. Dvorak1.571111117113D. Tuma2.2541371142LSep 29 · 22:30D. Tuma1.8341110101R. Krejci1.8311912123LSep 29 · 21:30P. Zmuda1.6111134113D. Tuma2.209111171WSep 29 · 20:30D. Tuma1.8311118113K. Kapras1.83681171WSep 29 · 19:00D. Tuma2.38119816113M. Bittner1.53911111492LSep 29 · 18:00P. Zmuda1.731111113D. Tuma2.005980LSep 28 · 03:00V. Cermak1.731111611173D. Tuma2.00721113152LSep 28 · 02:30M. Chlebecek1.5051111123D. Tuma2.251183101WSep 28 · 01:00M. Vedmoch3.501561091D. Tuma1.28131112113
P. Zmuda10
LSep 30 · 00:00P. Zmuda1.67911831R. Krejci2.1011911113WSep 29 · 23:00K. Schopf1.614980P. Zmuda2.201111113WSep 29 · 21:30P. Zmuda1.6111134113D. Tuma2.209111171WSep 29 · 20:00P. Zmuda1.91341111123M. Bittner1.80111174102LSep 29 · 19:30K. Kapras1.75111111113P. Zmuda1.85913661WSep 29 · 18:00P. Zmuda1.731111113D. Tuma2.005980WSep 24 · 13:30P. Zmuda1.73118115113D. Tuma2.0061151142WSep 24 · 12:00P. Zmuda1.8011111113M. Sobisek1.91119891WSep 24 · 11:30V. Cermak1.7341160P. Zmuda2.001113113WSep 24 · 10:00P. Zmuda1.73117911113D. Tuma2.0051111962
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