TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Vladimir Cermak vs Petr Zmuda 0-3 · Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga Pro
Played Sep 24Finished
Vladimir Cermak
Home
1.73
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 2
Final
0 – 3
Set by set
4111113611––––
Petr Zmuda
Away
2.00
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
7–3Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 10:32 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timePetr Zmuda to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingVladimir Cermak above · Petr Zmuda below
Set 1 · 4-11
Set 2 · 11-13
Set 3 · 6-11
Point 56 set 3, 6-11 — our read held Petr Zmuda at 54.0%
56 points played in total.
H2H Vladimir Cermak 1–0 Petr Zmuda Petr Zmuda has won 0 of their 1 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 10:32What took a side2 for · 1 against · 3 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.73 (54%)
Cermak
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
1-0 in 1
—
Too close
1 played, under the floor of 3
Rating (G2)
Cermak 1584 vs Zmuda 1607
Zmuda
Correct
both rated, 23 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Cermak 60% vs Zmuda 60%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Cermak 50% vs Zmuda 70%
Zmuda
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Cermak +2 · Zmuda +1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
2 for, 3 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Cermak) · live re-read · sealed at 46% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Market vs Signals
Market oddsCermak 1.73 / Zmuda 2.00
Signal prob.54% / 46%
Edge (Cermak)+0.3pp
Czech Liga Pro · #13183025
Cermak1.73
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Won last 2
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As favourite59% won 145 of 244
Up 2–0, closes it91% 72 of 79
Up 1–0, closes it78% 116 of 149
Zmuda2.00
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As underdog39% won 20 of 51
Down 0–1, comes back20% 6 of 30
Down 0–2, comes back0% 0 of 17
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 1 meeting
HomeCermak1wins
AwayZmuda0wins
Cermak leads 1–0.
First set to match win · in this matchup
Not enough first sets
Neither side has won the first set three times here, so there is no rate to publish.
Set by set, in this 1 meetingevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S2
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S3
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S4
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How that 1 finishedn = 1, below the 3 needed
3–0Straight, home0
3–1Four sets, home1
3–2Decider, home0
2–3Decider, away0
1–3Four sets, away0
0–3Straight, away0
This 1 meeting
MetricCermakZmudaC − ZBasisWins10+1in 1 meetingFirst set10+1of 1Avg pointsper match41.023.0+18.0per matchSweeps0003–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricCermakZmudaBasisWin rate · lifetime550 / 1082 vs 131 / 25350.8%51.8%550 / 1082 vs 131 / 253Avg sets wonper match2.12.1per matchAvg pointsper match38.338.5per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
CermakCermak 1.73/Zmuda 2.00
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
54%
Cermak · sealed before the serve
What happened
0–3
Zmuda won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record1
WSep 14 · 08:30V. Cermak4111811113P. Zmuda23411441
V. Cermak10
WSep 24 · 10:30M. Sobisek1.611271141V. Cermak2.20101113113WSep 23 · 17:00V. Cermak1.501111113J. Trefny2.505430LSep 23 · 16:30V. Cermak1.73125981D. Tuma2.00101111113LSep 23 · 15:00V. Cermak2.1071111192M. Sobisek1.67111175113WSep 23 · 14:00J. Trefny1.851420V. Cermak1.851111113LSep 23 · 13:30V. Cermak2.1061111992M. Volf1.65119511113WSep 23 · 12:30M. Sobisek1.8011107101V. Cermak1.9181211123WSep 23 · 11:30V. Cermak1.80911911133D. Tuma1.91116119112LSep 23 · 10:30M. Volf1.67115511113V. Cermak2.1091111782LSep 18 · 03:30A. Hlawatschke1.27961116143V. Cermak3.251111814122
P. Zmuda10
WSep 24 · 12:00P. Zmuda1.8011111113M. Sobisek1.91119891WSep 24 · 10:00P. Zmuda1.73117911113D. Tuma2.0051111962LSep 23 · 09:00P. Zmuda1.4061140M. Vedmoch2.751113113WSep 23 · 08:00M. Vedmoch2.63311371P. Zmuda1.4411511113WSep 23 · 07:00R. Pavelka1.83108111382P. Zmuda1.831211511113LSep 23 · 06:30P. Zmuda1.4471131192J. Plachy2.63119115113WSep 22 · 17:00P. Zmuda1.571111113M. Vedmoch2.258640WSep 22 · 16:30P. Zmuda2.25114811113M. Volf1.5781111872WSep 22 · 15:00P. Zmuda1.731211113M. Vedmoch2.0010890LSep 22 · 14:00T. Holik1.7311813113P. Zmuda2.008111141
Upcoming Matches
V. Cermak
Sep 24 · 22:00V. Cermak1.44M. Vedmoch2.63—Sep 24 · 23:30V. Cermak1.57F. Just2.25—Sep 25 · 01:00V. Cermak2.20D. Kouble1.61—Sep 25 · 02:30V. Cermak1.67D. Tuma2.10—Sep 25 · 22:00V. Cermak—D. Kouble——Sep 25 · 23:30V. Cermak—M. Vedmoch——Sep 26 · 01:00V. Cermak—V. Postelt——Sep 26 · 02:30V. Cermak—T. Janata——
P. Zmuda
Nothing scheduled
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