TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Vladimir Cermak vs Daniel Tuma 3-2 · Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga Pro
Played Sep 28Finished
Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 1
Final
3 – 2
Set by set
11711261111131715
Form at publish
6–4Last 10Lost last 1
How it is goingVladimir Cermak above · Daniel Tuma below
Set 1 · 11-7
Set 2 · 11-2
Set 3 · 6-11
Set 4 · 11-13
Set 5 · 17-15
Point 104 set 5, 17-15
104 points played in total.
H2H Vladimir Cermak 61–52 Daniel Tuma Daniel Tuma has won 52 of their 113 meetings.
Same-day rematch · 5h before this match
Tuma beat Cermak 3-1.
Same-day rematch winners hit ~50% historically — the market typically prices this in. Which is why it moves nothing in the read below: it is context, not a signal.
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Cermak form (40%) is below what odds imply (58%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsCermak 1.73 / Tuma 2.00
Czech Liga Pro · #13209286
Cermak1.73
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite59% won 148 of 251
Up 2–0, closes it91% 74 of 81
Up 1–0, closes it78% 118 of 152
Tuma2.00
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As underdog47% won 164 of 347
Down 0–1, comes back30% 54 of 183
Down 0–2, comes back11% 10 of 95
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeCermak2wins
AwayTuma8wins
5 of 10 to a deciderTuma leads 8–2, and 5 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeCermak0%0 of 4
AwayTuma66.7%4 of 6
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Cermak4Tuma6n = 10Tuma took 6 of 10
S2Cermak3Tuma7n = 10Tuma took 7 of 10
S3Cermak5Tuma5n = 10split evenly
S4Cermak5Tuma5n = 10split evenly
S5Cermak1Tuma4n = 5Tuma took 4 of 5
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home110%
3–2Decider, home110%
2–3Decider, away440%
1–3Four sets, away440%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 10 meetings
MetricCermakTumaC − TBasisWins28−6in 10 meetingsFirst set46−2of 10Avg pointsper match42.843.9−1.1per matchSweeps0003–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricCermakTumaBasisWin rate · lifetime553 / 1085 vs 781 / 148751%52.5%553 / 1085 vs 781 / 1487Avg sets wonper match2.12.1per matchAvg pointsper match38.338.5per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
CermakCermak 1.73/Tuma 2.00
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
—
no pick shipped on this market
What happened
3–2
Cermak won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LSep 27 · 22:00V. Cermak371281161D. Tuma4314117113
LSep 25 · 02:30V. Cermak4086111142D. Tuma43111155113
LSep 24 · 12:30V. Cermak33861181D. Tuma3911116113
LSep 23 · 16:30V. Cermak34125981D. Tuma43101111113
WSep 23 · 11:30V. Cermak53911911133D. Tuma48116119112
WSep 18 · 01:30V. Cermak4071111113D. Tuma34119771
LSep 14 · 12:00V. Cermak49118911102D. Tuma47411119123
LSep 8 · 23:30V. Cermak4481111952D. Tuma47115911113
LAug 17 · 08:59V. Cermak43111210101D. Tuma4351412123
LAug 17 · 08:00V. Cermak55111091692D. Tuma524121114113
V. Cermak10
WSep 28 · 02:00M. Vedmoch2.6311117462V. Cermak1.44761111113LSep 28 · 00:30V. Cermak2.10812641T. Janata1.67111011113WSep 27 · 23:00V. Cermak1.838111011163M. Chlebecek1.83113124142LSep 27 · 22:00D. Tuma2.0014117113V. Cermak1.731281161LSep 26 · 03:00V. Cermak2.2512691172D. Kouble1.571011114113LSep 26 · 02:30T. Janata1.671111113V. Cermak2.107360WSep 26 · 01:00V. Postelt2.108690V. Cermak1.671111113LSep 25 · 23:30V. Cermak1.4011961172M. Vedmoch2.75811119113WSep 25 · 22:00V. Cermak2.0011611113D. Kouble1.73811871WSep 25 · 02:58M. Vedmoch2.5036100V. Cermak1.501111123
D. Tuma10
LSep 28 · 02:30M. Chlebecek1.5051111123D. Tuma2.251183101WSep 28 · 01:00M. Vedmoch3.501561091D. Tuma1.28131112113LSep 27 · 23:30D. Tuma2.003630T. Janata1.731111113WSep 27 · 22:00D. Tuma2.0014117113V. Cermak1.731281161LSep 25 · 21:30J. Stolfa1.901111113D. Tuma1.805760WSep 25 · 20:00M. Vedmoch2.755880D. Tuma1.401111113WSep 25 · 19:00T. Janata1.6751181172D. Tuma2.10115119113LSep 25 · 18:30D. Tuma1.67971371J. Stolfa2.10111111113WSep 25 · 03:30D. Tuma1.551111123F. Just2.3079100WSep 25 · 02:30D. Tuma2.00111155113V. Cermak1.7386111142
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