TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Michal Vedmoch vs Daniel Tuma 0-3 · Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga Pro
Played Sep 25Finished
Form at publish
2–8Last 10Lost last 3
Final
0 – 3
Set by set
511811811––––
Form at publish
8–2Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 10:01 and never touched — 63.8% is still 63.8%
Graded at full timeDaniel Tuma to win
63.8%
63.8%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingMichal Vedmoch above · Daniel Tuma below
Set 1 · 5-11
Set 2 · 8-11
Set 3 · 8-11
Point 54 set 3, 8-11 — our read held Daniel Tuma at 63.8%
54 points played in total.
H2H Michal Vedmoch 3–11 Daniel Tuma Michal Vedmoch has won 3 of their 14 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 10:01What took a side5 for · 1 against · 0 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.40 (66%)
Tuma
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
3-11 in 14
Tuma
Correct
gap of 8 in 14, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Vedmoch 1448 vs Tuma 1653
Tuma
Correct
both rated, 206 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Vedmoch 20% vs Tuma 80%
Tuma
Correct
60pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Vedmoch 20% vs Tuma 80%
Tuma
Correct
60pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Vedmoch -3 · Tuma +1
Vedmoch
Wrong
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
5 for, 0 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 71% — Strong (leans Tuma) · live re-read · sealed at 64% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Vedmoch form (20%) is below what odds imply (36%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsVedmoch 2.75 / Tuma 1.40
Signal prob.29% / 71%
Edge (Tuma)+4.4pp
Czech Liga Pro · #13188518
Vedmoch2.75
20%won 2 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Lost last 3
oldest → newest30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As underdog44% won 110 of 250
Down 0–1, comes back19% 24 of 127
Down 0–2, comes back10% 7 of 73
Tuma1.40
80%won 8 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As favourite61% won 133 of 218
Up 2–0, closes it93% 69 of 74
Up 1–0, closes it77% 101 of 131
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeVedmoch2wins
AwayTuma8wins
1 of 10 to a deciderTuma leads 8–2, and 1 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeVedmoch33.3%1 of 3
AwayTuma85.7%6 of 7
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Vedmoch3Tuma7n = 10Tuma took 7 of 10
S2Vedmoch4Tuma6n = 10Tuma took 6 of 10
S3Vedmoch3Tuma7n = 10Tuma took 7 of 10
S4Vedmoch1Tuma7n = 8Tuma took 7 of 8
S5
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home110%
3–2Decider, home110%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away660%
0–3Straight, away220%
These 10 meetings
MetricVedmochTumaV − TBasisWins28−6in 10 meetingsFirst set37−4of 10Avg pointsper match33.739.9−6.2per matchSweeps02−23–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricVedmochTumaBasisWin rate · lifetime701 / 1325 vs 780 / 148452.9%52.6%701 / 1325 vs 780 / 1484Avg sets wonper match2.02.1per matchAvg pointsper match37.038.5per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
TumaVedmoch 2.75/Tuma 1.40
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
70.7%
Tuma · sealed before the serve
What happened
0–3
Tuma won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LSep 25 · 20:00M. Vedmoch215880D. Tuma331111113
LSep 24 · 23:00M. Vedmoch32115791D. Tuma4071111113
LSep 21 · 23:30M. Vedmoch331011841D. Tuma4312911113
WAug 31 · 11:00M. Vedmoch4181111113D. Tuma33117871
LAug 26 · 11:30M. Vedmoch30811921D. Tuma3911611113
LJul 28 · 10:00M. Vedmoch31711581D. Tuma3811511113
LJul 27 · 03:30M. Vedmoch33114991D. Tuma4291111113
WJul 27 · 00:00M. Vedmoch561117116113D. Tuma5091921192
LJun 11 · 21:30M. Vedmoch33851371D. Tuma44111111113
LJun 11 · 20:30M. Vedmoch27511110D. Tuma371113133
M. Vedmoch10
LSep 25 · 21:00T. Janata1.401111113M. Vedmoch2.708650LSep 25 · 19:30J. Stolfa2.101211511113M. Vedmoch1.6714911772LSep 25 · 18:00M. Vedmoch2.388460T. Janata1.531111113LSep 25 · 02:58M. Vedmoch2.5036100V. Cermak1.501111123WSep 25 · 02:00D. Kouble1.918760M. Vedmoch1.801111113LSep 25 · 00:30M. Vedmoch2.25471151F. Just1.5711117113LSep 24 · 23:00M. Vedmoch3.00115791D. Tuma1.3671111113WSep 24 · 22:00V. Cermak1.4411411652M. Vedmoch2.63911711113LSep 24 · 09:00J. Stolfa2.201411114113M. Vedmoch1.60121361162LSep 24 · 08:30M. Vedmoch2.207880R. Pavelka1.611111113
D. Tuma10
WSep 25 · 19:00T. Janata1.6751181172D. Tuma2.10115119113LSep 25 · 18:30D. Tuma1.67971371J. Stolfa2.10111111113WSep 25 · 03:30D. Tuma1.551111123F. Just2.3079100WSep 25 · 02:30D. Tuma2.00111155113V. Cermak1.7386111142WSep 25 · 01:30F. Just3.0088111162D. Tuma1.36111199113WSep 25 · 00:00D. Tuma1.61111110113D. Kouble2.20681291WSep 24 · 23:00M. Vedmoch3.00115791D. Tuma1.3671111113LSep 24 · 13:30P. Zmuda1.73118115113D. Tuma2.0061151142WSep 24 · 12:30D. Tuma2.1011116113V. Cermak1.67861181WSep 24 · 11:00D. Tuma1.83111110113M. Sobisek1.83761281
Upcoming Matches
Event Chatroom
This room is closed. Messages clear 24 hours after they are sent.