TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Tomas Janata vs Michal Vedmoch 3-0 · Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga Pro
Played Sep 25Finished
Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 2
Final
3 – 0
Set by set
118116115––––
Form at publish
2–8Last 10Lost last 4
The read, and what happenedsealed at 20:55 and never touched — 61.6% is still 61.6%
Graded at full timeTomas Janata to win
61.6%
61.6%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingTomas Janata above · Michal Vedmoch below
Set 1 · 11-8
Set 2 · 11-6
Set 3 · 11-5
Point 52 set 3, 11-5 — our read held Tomas Janata at 61.6%
52 points played in total.
H2H Tomas Janata 7–4 Michal Vedmoch Michal Vedmoch has won 4 of their 11 meetings.
Same-day rematch · 3h before this match
Janata beat Vedmoch 3-0.
Same-day rematch winners hit ~50% historically — the market typically prices this in. Which is why it moves nothing in the read below: it is context, not a signal.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 20:55What took a side5 for · 1 against · 0 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.40 (66%)
Janata
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
7-4 in 11
Janata
Correct
gap of 3 in 11, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Janata 1577 vs Vedmoch 1448
Janata
Correct
both rated, 129 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Janata 40% vs Vedmoch 20%
Janata
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Janata 50% vs Vedmoch 20%
Janata
Correct
30pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Janata -2 · Vedmoch -4
Vedmoch
Wrong
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
5 for, 0 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 69% — Clear lean (leans Janata) · live re-read · sealed at 62% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Vedmoch form (20%) is below what odds imply (37%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsJanata 1.40 / Vedmoch 2.70
Signal prob.69% / 31%
Edge (Janata)+3.2pp
Czech Liga Pro · #13196912
Janata1.40
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Lost last 2
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As favourite64% won 112 of 176
Up 2–0, closes it91% 51 of 56
Up 1–0, closes it76% 81 of 107
Vedmoch2.70
20%won 2 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Lost last 4
oldest → newest30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As underdog44% won 110 of 250
Down 0–1, comes back19% 24 of 127
Down 0–2, comes back10% 7 of 73
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeJanata7wins
AwayVedmoch3wins
2 of 10 to a deciderJanata leads 7–3, and 2 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeJanata100%5 of 5
AwayVedmoch60%3 of 5
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Janata5Vedmoch5n = 10split evenly
S2Janata5Vedmoch5n = 10split evenly
S3Janata6Vedmoch4n = 10Janata took 6 of 10
S4Janata5Vedmoch2n = 7Janata took 5 of 7
S5
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home220%
3–1Four sets, home330%
3–2Decider, home220%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away220%
0–3Straight, away110%
These 10 meetings
MetricJanataVedmochJ − VBasisWins73+4in 10 meetingsFirst set550of 10Avg pointsper match38.235.0+3.2per matchSweeps21+13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricJanataVedmochBasisWin rate · lifetime441 / 837 vs 701 / 132552.7%52.9%441 / 837 vs 701 / 1325Avg sets wonper match2.12.0per matchAvg pointsper match38.837.0per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
JanataJanata 1.40/Vedmoch 2.70
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
69.1%
Janata · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–0
Janata won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WSep 25 · 18:00T. Janata331111113M. Vedmoch188460
LSep 7 · 20:00T. Janata32591351M. Vedmoch44111111113
WJul 15 · 21:30T. Janata3911125113M. Vedmoch336101161
WJul 15 · 19:30T. Janata4211911113M. Vedmoch31611861
LJul 13 · 20:58T. Janata306311101M. Vedmoch4111117123
WJul 13 · 20:00T. Janata331111113M. Vedmoch207490
LJun 11 · 19:30T. Janata259880M. Vedmoch331111113
WJun 1 · 14:00T. Janata491011311143M. Vedmoch48127116122
WNov 8 · 04:00T. Janata58611921113M. Vedmoch49112111962
WNov 8 · 03:00T. Janata4111711123M. Vedmoch335117101
T. Janata10
LSep 25 · 20:30T. Janata1.7391070J. Stolfa2.001112113LSep 25 · 19:00T. Janata1.6751181172D. Tuma2.10115119113WSep 25 · 18:00M. Vedmoch2.388460T. Janata1.531111113WSep 21 · 20:58T. Janata1.80115911113J. Stolfa1.9161111552LSep 21 · 20:30T. Janata1.808133111T. Vinter1.91111111133WSep 21 · 19:00T. Janata1.832111111113J. Stolfa1.8311132782LSep 21 · 18:00D. Tuma2.1011119113T. Janata1.67791191WSep 14 · 21:30L. Krticka2.10511111042T. Janata1.67118812113WSep 14 · 20:00T. Janata1.501212113T. Dousa2.50101090LSep 14 · 19:30L. Krticka2.2511118113T. Janata1.57981171
M. Vedmoch10
LSep 25 · 20:00M. Vedmoch2.755880D. Tuma1.401111113LSep 25 · 19:30J. Stolfa2.101211511113M. Vedmoch1.6714911772LSep 25 · 18:00M. Vedmoch2.388460T. Janata1.531111113LSep 25 · 02:58M. Vedmoch2.5036100V. Cermak1.501111123WSep 25 · 02:00D. Kouble1.918760M. Vedmoch1.801111113LSep 25 · 00:30M. Vedmoch2.25471151F. Just1.5711117113LSep 24 · 23:00M. Vedmoch3.00115791D. Tuma1.3671111113WSep 24 · 22:00V. Cermak1.4411411652M. Vedmoch2.63911711113LSep 24 · 09:00J. Stolfa2.201411114113M. Vedmoch1.60121361162LSep 24 · 08:30M. Vedmoch2.207880R. Pavelka1.611111113
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