TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Tomas Janata vs Daniel Tuma 2-3 · Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga Pro
Played Sep 25Finished
Form at publish
7–3Last 10Won last 2
Final
2 – 3
Set by set
511115811119711
Form at publish
7–3Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 10:01 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeTomas Janata to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is goingTomas Janata above · Daniel Tuma below
Set 1 · 5-11
Set 2 · 11-5
Set 3 · 8-11
Set 4 · 11-9
Set 5 · 7-11
Point 89 set 5, 7-11 — our read held Tomas Janata at 54.0%
89 points played in total.
H2H Tomas Janata 52–48 Daniel Tuma Daniel Tuma has won 48 of their 100 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 10:01What took a side2 for · 2 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.67 (56%)
Janata
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
52-48 in 100
Janata
Wrong
gap of 4 in 100, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Janata 1601 vs Tuma 1629
Tuma
Correct
both rated, 28 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Janata 60% vs Tuma 80%
Tuma
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Janata 70% vs Tuma 70%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Janata +2 · Tuma -1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
2 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 56% — Slight lean (leans Janata) · live re-read · sealed at 54% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Tuma form (80%) outperforms what odds imply (48%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsJanata 1.67 / Tuma 2.10
Signal prob.56% / 44%
Edge (Janata)+0.0pp
Czech Liga Pro · #13188517
Janata1.67
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Won last 2
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite64% won 112 of 176
Up 2–0, closes it91% 51 of 56
Up 1–0, closes it76% 81 of 107
Tuma2.10
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As underdog47% won 165 of 349
Down 0–1, comes back30% 55 of 184
Down 0–2, comes back11% 10 of 95
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeJanata4wins
AwayTuma6wins
4 of 10 to a deciderTuma leads 6–4, and 4 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeJanata50%2 of 4
AwayTuma66.7%4 of 6
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Janata4Tuma6n = 10Tuma took 6 of 10
S2Janata6Tuma4n = 10Janata took 6 of 10
S3Janata4Tuma6n = 10Tuma took 6 of 10
S4Janata3Tuma5n = 8Tuma took 5 of 8
S5Janata2Tuma2n = 4split evenly
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home110%
3–1Four sets, home110%
3–2Decider, home220%
2–3Decider, away220%
1–3Four sets, away330%
0–3Straight, away110%
These 10 meetings
MetricJanataTumaJ − TBasisWins46−2in 10 meetingsFirst set46−2of 10Avg pointsper match39.840.8−1.0per matchSweeps1103–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricJanataTumaBasisWin rate · lifetime441 / 835 vs 778 / 148252.8%52.5%441 / 835 vs 778 / 1482Avg sets wonper match2.12.1per matchAvg pointsper match38.938.5per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
JanataJanata 1.67/Tuma 2.10
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
55.8%
Janata · sealed before the serve
What happened
2–3
Tuma won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LSep 21 · 18:00T. Janata36791191D. Tuma4211119113
LSep 1 · 02:30T. Janata32124971D. Tuma43101111113
LAug 30 · 16:00T. Janata49111279102D. Tuma517101111123
LAug 28 · 23:30T. Janata32101390D. Tuma381215113
WAug 26 · 16:00T. Janata331111113D. Tuma187650
LAug 20 · 08:00T. Janata3561151212D. Tuma521191110113
WAug 11 · 02:58T. Janata50811119113D. Tuma4611981172
LAug 11 · 02:30T. Janata398111191D. Tuma3911413113
WJun 11 · 18:00T. Janata4111811113D. Tuma35811971
WJun 8 · 21:28T. Janata518111011113D. Tuma4411312992
T. Janata10
WSep 25 · 18:00M. Vedmoch2.388460T. Janata1.531111113WSep 21 · 20:58T. Janata1.80115911113J. Stolfa1.9161111552LSep 21 · 20:30T. Janata1.808133111T. Vinter1.91111111133WSep 21 · 19:00T. Janata1.832111111113J. Stolfa1.8311132782LSep 21 · 18:00D. Tuma2.1011119113T. Janata1.67791191WSep 14 · 21:30L. Krticka2.10511111042T. Janata1.67118812113WSep 14 · 20:00T. Janata1.501212113T. Dousa2.50101090LSep 14 · 19:30L. Krticka2.2511118113T. Janata1.57981171WSep 14 · 18:00T. Janata1.8311113113M. Sedlak1.83871161WSep 12 · 03:30T. Janata1.5261111113T. Dousa2.35119991
D. Tuma10
LSep 25 · 18:30D. Tuma1.67971371J. Stolfa2.10111111113WSep 25 · 03:30D. Tuma1.551111123F. Just2.3079100WSep 25 · 02:30D. Tuma2.00111155113V. Cermak1.7386111142WSep 25 · 01:30F. Just3.0088111162D. Tuma1.36111199113WSep 25 · 00:00D. Tuma1.61111110113D. Kouble2.20681291WSep 24 · 23:00M. Vedmoch3.00115791D. Tuma1.3671111113LSep 24 · 13:30P. Zmuda1.73118115113D. Tuma2.0061151142WSep 24 · 12:30D. Tuma2.1011116113V. Cermak1.67861181WSep 24 · 11:00D. Tuma1.83111110113M. Sobisek1.83761281WSep 21 · 18:00D. Tuma2.1011119113T. Janata1.67791191
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