TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Daniel Tuma vs Martin Sobisek 3-1 · Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga Pro
Played Sep 24Finished
Daniel Tuma
Home
1.83
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 2
Final
3 – 1
Set by set
1171161012118––
Martin Sobisek
Away
1.83
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
6–4Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 10:03 and never touched — 56.7% is still 56.7%
Graded at full timeDaniel Tuma to win
56.7%
56.7%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingDaniel Tuma above · Martin Sobisek below
Set 1 · 11-7
Set 2 · 11-6
Set 3 · 10-12
Set 4 · 11-8
Point 76 set 4, 11-8 — our read held Daniel Tuma at 56.7%
76 points played in total.
H2H Daniel Tuma 56–44 Martin Sobisek Martin Sobisek has won 44 of their 100 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 10:03What took a side2 for · 3 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.83 (50%)
Sobisek
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
56-44 in 100
Tuma
Correct
gap of 12 in 100, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Tuma 1587 vs Sobisek 1574
Tuma
Correct
both rated, 13 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Tuma 40% vs Sobisek 60%
Sobisek
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Tuma 40% vs Sobisek 60%
Sobisek
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Tuma -2 · Sobisek -1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
2 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Tuma) · live re-read · sealed at 57% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Tuma form (40%) is below what odds imply (55%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsTuma 1.83 / Sobisek 1.83
Signal prob.54% / 46%
Edge (Tuma)+4.0pp
Czech Liga Pro · #13182901
Tuma1.83
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Lost last 2
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
Sobisek1.83
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeTuma4wins
AwaySobisek6wins
2 of 10 to a deciderSobisek leads 6–4, and 2 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeTuma80%4 of 5
AwaySobisek100%5 of 5
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Tuma5Sobisek5n = 10split evenly
S2Tuma5Sobisek5n = 10split evenly
S3Tuma3Sobisek7n = 10Sobisek took 7 of 10
S4Tuma5Sobisek2n = 7Tuma took 5 of 7
S5
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home110%
3–1Four sets, home330%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away220%
1–3Four sets, away220%
0–3Straight, away220%
These 10 meetings
MetricTumaSobisekT − SBasisWins46−2in 10 meetingsFirst set550of 10Avg pointsper match36.038.4−2.4per matchSweeps12−13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricTumaSobisekBasisWin rate · lifetime775 / 1479 vs 575 / 121852.4%47.2%775 / 1479 vs 575 / 1218Avg sets wonper match2.11.9per matchAvg pointsper match38.537.7per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
TumaTuma 1.83/Sobisek 1.83
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
54%
Tuma · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–1
Tuma won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WSep 24 · 11:00D. Tuma43111110113M. Sobisek33761281
LSep 23 · 17:30D. Tuma238870M. Sobisek331111113
LSep 23 · 14:30D. Tuma25115721M. Sobisek3631111113
WSep 23 · 13:00D. Tuma351111133M. Sobisek2577110
LSep 23 · 10:00D. Tuma237970M. Sobisek331111113
LSep 20 · 23:00D. Tuma47121151182M. Sobisek51146119113
WSep 13 · 02:30D. Tuma4111613113M. Sobisek388111181
LSep 8 · 22:00D. Tuma32631581M. Sobisek46111113113
WSep 3 · 17:30D. Tuma47151110113M. Sobisek371351271
LSep 3 · 15:30D. Tuma44411711112M. Sobisek52118119133
D. Tuma10
LSep 24 · 10:00P. Zmuda1.73117911113D. Tuma2.0051111962LSep 23 · 17:30D. Tuma1.788870M. Sobisek1.921111113WSep 23 · 16:30V. Cermak1.73125981D. Tuma2.00101111113WSep 23 · 15:30D. Tuma1.73101111113J. Trefny2.00128671LSep 23 · 14:30M. Sobisek1.9131111113D. Tuma1.80115721WSep 23 · 13:00M. Sobisek1.9177110D. Tuma1.801111133WSep 23 · 12:00D. Tuma1.8011911163M. Volf1.919112141LSep 23 · 11:30V. Cermak1.80911911133D. Tuma1.91116119112LSep 23 · 10:00D. Tuma1.807970M. Sobisek1.911111113LSep 22 · 03:30D. Tuma1.758811111P. Zmuda1.9511118133
M. Sobisek10
LSep 24 · 10:30M. Sobisek1.611271141V. Cermak2.20101113113WSep 24 · 09:30R. Pavelka2.904480M. Sobisek1.351111113LSep 24 · 08:00J. Stolfa1.731111113M. Sobisek2.006760WSep 24 · 07:00M. Vedmoch3.00611631M. Sobisek1.3611911113WSep 24 · 06:30M. Sobisek1.401111113R. Pavelka2.756490WSep 23 · 17:30D. Tuma1.788870M. Sobisek1.921111113LSep 23 · 16:00J. Trefny1.9111114113M. Sobisek1.80671181WSep 23 · 14:30M. Sobisek1.9131111113D. Tuma1.80115721LSep 23 · 13:00M. Sobisek1.9177110D. Tuma1.801111133WSep 23 · 10:00D. Tuma1.807970M. Sobisek1.911111113
Upcoming Matches
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