TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Martin Sobisek vs Daniel Tuma 0-3 · Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga Pro
Played Sep 23Finished
Martin Sobisek
Home
1.91
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 2
Final
0 – 3
Set by set
7117111113––––
Daniel Tuma
Away
1.80
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 1
How it is goingMartin Sobisek above · Daniel Tuma below
Set 1 · 7-11
Set 2 · 7-11
Set 3 · 11-13
Point 60 set 3, 11-13
60 points played in total.
H2H Martin Sobisek 42–54 Daniel Tuma Martin Sobisek has won 42 of their 96 meetings.
Same-day rematch · 3h before this match
Sobisek beat Tuma 3-0.
Same-day rematch winners hit ~50% historically — the market typically prices this in. Which is why it moves nothing in the read below: it is context, not a signal.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Tuma)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Tuma form (40%) is below what odds imply (56%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsSobisek 1.91 / Tuma 1.80
Signal prob.46% / 54%
Edge (Tuma)+2.5pp
Czech Liga Pro · #13183641
Sobisek1.91
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Lost last 2
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As underdog40% won 125 of 314
Down 0–1, comes back26% 47 of 179
Down 0–2, comes back8% 8 of 106
Tuma1.80
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
80%takes the first set · 8 of 10
As favourite61% won 129 of 211
Up 2–0, closes it93% 65 of 70
Up 1–0, closes it77% 97 of 126
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeSobisek8wins
AwayTuma2wins
3 of 10 to a deciderSobisek leads 8–2, and 3 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeSobisek100%7 of 7
AwayTuma66.7%2 of 3
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Sobisek7Tuma3n = 10Sobisek took 7 of 10
S2Sobisek7Tuma3n = 10Sobisek took 7 of 10
S3Sobisek6Tuma4n = 10Sobisek took 6 of 10
S4Sobisek3Tuma4n = 7Tuma took 4 of 7
S5Sobisek3Tuma0n = 3Sobisek took 3 of 3
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home330%
3–1Four sets, home220%
3–2Decider, home330%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away220%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 10 meetings
MetricSobisekTumaS − TBasisWins82+6in 10 meetingsFirst set73+4of 10Avg pointsper match41.335.6+5.7per matchSweeps30+33–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricSobisekTumaBasisWin rate · lifetime569 / 1207 vs 773 / 147647.1%52.4%569 / 1207 vs 773 / 1476Avg sets wonper match1.92.1per matchAvg pointsper match37.738.5per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
TumaSobisek 1.91/Tuma 1.80
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
54%
Tuma · sealed before the serve
What happened
0–3
Tuma won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WSep 23 · 10:00M. Sobisek331111113D. Tuma237970
WSep 20 · 23:00M. Sobisek51146119113D. Tuma47121151182
LSep 13 · 02:30M. Sobisek388111181D. Tuma4111613113
WSep 8 · 22:00M. Sobisek46111113113D. Tuma32631581
LSep 3 · 17:30M. Sobisek371351271D. Tuma47151110113
WSep 3 · 15:30M. Sobisek52118119133D. Tuma44411711112
WAug 21 · 17:28M. Sobisek3911134113D. Tuma378111171
WAug 21 · 16:00M. Sobisek331111113D. Tuma196580
WAug 19 · 10:30M. Sobisek341211113D. Tuma2310760
WAug 19 · 07:30M. Sobisek501011711113D. Tuma4312411972
M. Sobisek10
LSep 23 · 12:30M. Sobisek1.8011107101V. Cermak1.9181211123LSep 23 · 11:00M. Sobisek1.446111311112M. Volf2.63115157133WSep 23 · 10:00D. Tuma1.807970M. Sobisek1.911111113LSep 21 · 03:06M. Vizek1.831111113M. Sobisek1.839950LSep 21 · 02:00M. Vizek2.001011511113M. Sobisek1.7312611562LSep 21 · 24:30M. Sobisek2.004850P. Pycha1.731111113WSep 20 · 23:00M. Sobisek1.83146119113D. Tuma1.83121151182WSep 20 · 22:00M. Chlebecek1.671312411112M. Sobisek2.1011101113133WSep 18 · 12:59J. Svoboda1.837119101M. Sobisek1.8311511123LSep 18 · 12:30M. Sobisek1.671176111J. Svoboda2.1051111133
D. Tuma10
WSep 23 · 12:00D. Tuma1.8011911163M. Volf1.919112141LSep 23 · 11:30V. Cermak1.80911911133D. Tuma1.91116119112LSep 23 · 10:00D. Tuma1.807970M. Sobisek1.911111113LSep 22 · 03:30D. Tuma1.758811111P. Zmuda1.9511118133WSep 22 · 01:30D. Tuma2.201111113A. Hlawatschke1.616580WSep 22 · 24:30P. Zmuda1.80711881D. Tuma1.9111711113WSep 21 · 23:30M. Vedmoch2.501011841D. Tuma1.5012911113LSep 21 · 22:30D. Tuma1.73118551R. Krejci2.0061111113LSep 21 · 21:28D. Tuma2.001177101T. Vinter1.7391111123LSep 20 · 23:00M. Sobisek1.83146119113D. Tuma1.83121151182
Upcoming Matches
M. Sobisek
Sep 23 · 15:00M. Sobisek1.67V. Cermak2.10—Sep 23 · 16:00M. Sobisek1.80J. Trefny1.90—Sep 24 · 06:30M. Sobisek1.40R. Pavelka2.75—Sep 24 · 07:00M. Sobisek1.36M. Vedmoch3.00—Sep 24 · 08:00M. Sobisek1.91J. Stolfa1.70—Sep 24 · 10:30M. Sobisek1.67V. Cermak2.10—Sep 24 · 11:00M. Sobisek1.90D. Tuma1.80—Sep 24 · 12:00M. Sobisek1.91P. Zmuda1.80—
D. Tuma
Sep 23 · 15:30D. Tuma1.73J. Trefny2.00—Sep 23 · 16:30D. Tuma1.91V. Cermak1.80—Sep 24 · 10:00D. Tuma2.00P. Zmuda1.73—Sep 24 · 11:00D. Tuma1.80M. Sobisek1.90—Sep 24 · 12:30D. Tuma1.91V. Cermak1.80—Sep 24 · 23:00D. Tuma—M. Vedmoch——Sep 25 · 24:00D. Tuma—D. Kouble——Sep 25 · 01:30D. Tuma—F. Just——Sep 25 · 02:30D. Tuma—V. Cermak——
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