TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Michal Vedmoch vs Martin Sobisek 1-3 · Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga Pro
Played Sep 24Finished
Michal Vedmoch
Home
3.00
At publish
Won last 3Form at publish
4–6Last 10Won last 3
Final
1 – 3
Set by set
611119611311––
Martin Sobisek
Away
1.36
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 10:03 and never touched — 59.1% is still 59.1%
Graded at full timeMartin Sobisek to win
59.1%
59.1%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingMichal Vedmoch above · Martin Sobisek below
Set 1 · 6-11
Set 2 · 11-9
Set 3 · 6-11
Set 4 · 3-11
Point 68 set 4, 3-11 — our read held Martin Sobisek at 59.1%
68 points played in total.
H2H Michal Vedmoch 0–5 Martin Sobisek Michal Vedmoch has won 0 of their 5 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 10:03What took a side4 for · 1 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.36 (69%)
Sobisek
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
0-5 in 5
Sobisek
Correct
gap of 5 in 5, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Vedmoch 1512 vs Sobisek 1617
Sobisek
Correct
both rated, 105 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Vedmoch 60% vs Sobisek 80%
Sobisek
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Vedmoch 40% vs Sobisek 50%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Vedmoch +3 · Sobisek +2
Vedmoch
Wrong
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
4 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 71% — Strong (leans Sobisek) · live re-read · sealed at 59% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Vedmoch form (60%) outperforms what odds imply (33%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsVedmoch 3.00 / Sobisek 1.36
Signal prob.29% / 71%
Edge (Sobisek)+2.4pp
Czech Liga Pro · #13182914
Vedmoch3.00
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Won last 3
oldest → newest30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As underdog45% won 109 of 244
Down 0–1, comes back19% 23 of 122
Down 0–2, comes back10% 7 of 70
Sobisek1.36
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Won last 2
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite62% won 106 of 172
Up 2–0, closes it97% 61 of 63
Up 1–0, closes it79% 81 of 102
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 5 meetings
HomeVedmoch0wins
AwaySobisek5wins
2 of 5 to a deciderSobisek leads 5–0, and 2 of those 5 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeVedmochn = 0, below the 3 needed
AwaySobisek100%5 of 5
Set by set, in these 5 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Vedmoch0Sobisek5n = 5Sobisek took 5 of 5
S2Vedmoch2Sobisek3n = 5Sobisek took 3 of 5
S3Vedmoch2Sobisek3n = 5Sobisek took 3 of 5
S4Vedmoch1Sobisek2n = 3Sobisek took 2 of 3
S5
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 5 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 5 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home00%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away240%
1–3Four sets, away120%
0–3Straight, away240%
These 5 meetings
MetricVedmochSobisekV − SBasisWins05−5in 5 meetingsFirst set05−5of 5Avg pointsper match34.443.6−9.2per matchSweeps02−23–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricVedmochSobisekBasisWin rate · lifetime699 / 1315 vs 574 / 121453.2%47.3%699 / 1315 vs 574 / 1214Avg sets wonper match2.01.9per matchAvg pointsper match37.137.7per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
SobisekVedmoch 3.00/Sobisek 1.36
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
71.2%
Sobisek · sealed before the serve
What happened
1–3
Sobisek won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record5
LSep 24 · 07:00M. Vedmoch26611631M. Sobisek4211911113
LSep 11 · 02:59M. Vedmoch46512117112M. Sobisek501110511133
LSep 11 · 02:30M. Vedmoch2011450M. Sobisek351311113
LSep 8 · 14:30M. Vedmoch33912120M. Sobisek391114143
LJul 28 · 11:30M. Vedmoch4797131172M. Sobisek521111118113
M. Vedmoch10
WSep 24 · 06:00J. Stolfa2.10129881M. Vedmoch1.67101111113WSep 23 · 12:59M. Vedmoch1.73641111123J. Prokupek2.00111137102WSep 23 · 12:00J. Prokupek2.004119121M. Vedmoch1.7311411143LSep 23 · 11:00K. Darin2.50117811113M. Vedmoch1.5041111772LSep 23 · 10:30M. Vedmoch1.67134881J. Plachy2.10111111113WSep 23 · 09:00P. Zmuda1.4061140M. Vedmoch2.751113113LSep 23 · 08:00M. Vedmoch2.63311371P. Zmuda1.4411511113LSep 23 · 07:30J. Plachy2.20111212113M. Vedmoch1.617101451LSep 23 · 06:00M. Vedmoch1.91312421R. Pavelka1.80111011113LSep 22 · 17:00P. Zmuda1.571111113M. Vedmoch2.258640
M. Sobisek10
WSep 24 · 06:30M. Sobisek1.401111113R. Pavelka2.756490WSep 23 · 17:30D. Tuma1.788870M. Sobisek1.921111113LSep 23 · 16:00J. Trefny1.9111114113M. Sobisek1.80671181WSep 23 · 15:00V. Cermak2.1071111192M. Sobisek1.67111175113WSep 23 · 14:30M. Sobisek1.9131111113D. Tuma1.80115721LSep 23 · 13:00M. Sobisek1.9177110D. Tuma1.801111133LSep 23 · 12:30M. Sobisek1.8011107101V. Cermak1.9181211123LSep 23 · 11:00M. Sobisek1.446111311112M. Volf2.63115157133WSep 23 · 10:00D. Tuma1.807970M. Sobisek1.911111113LSep 21 · 03:06M. Vizek1.831111113M. Sobisek1.839950
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