TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Michal Vedmoch vs Jaroslav Prokupek 3-2 · Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga Pro
Played Sep 23Finished
Michal Vedmoch
Home
1.73
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
2–8Last 10Won last 1
Final
3 – 2
Set by set
6114111131171210
Jaroslav Prokupek
Away
2.00
At publish
Lost last 3Form at publish
3–7Last 10Lost last 3
How it is goingMichal Vedmoch above · Jaroslav Prokupek below
Set 1 · 6-11
Set 2 · 4-11
Set 3 · 11-3
Set 4 · 11-7
Set 5 · 12-10
Point 86 set 5, 12-10
86 points played in total.
H2H Michal Vedmoch 26–35 Jaroslav Prokupek Michal Vedmoch has won 26 of their 61 meetings.
Same-day rematch · 1h before this match
Vedmoch beat Prokupek 3-1.
Same-day rematch winners hit ~50% historically — the market typically prices this in. Which is why it moves nothing in the read below: it is context, not a signal.
Signal confidence: 55% — Coin-flip (leans Vedmoch)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Prokupek form (20%) is below what odds imply (50%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsVedmoch 1.73 / Prokupek 2.00
Signal prob.55% / 46%
Edge (Vedmoch)+0.8pp
Czech Liga Pro · #13183638
Vedmoch1.73
20%won 2 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As favourite64% won 189 of 297
Up 2–0, closes it97% 95 of 98
Up 1–0, closes it80% 145 of 182
Prokupek2.00
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Lost last 3
oldest → newest30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As underdog39% won 92 of 236
Down 0–1, comes back16% 19 of 118
Down 0–2, comes back4% 3 of 73
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeVedmoch7wins
AwayProkupek3wins
1 of 10 to a deciderVedmoch leads 7–3, and 1 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeVedmoch83.3%5 of 6
AwayProkupek50%2 of 4
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Vedmoch6Prokupek4n = 10Vedmoch took 6 of 10
S2Vedmoch6Prokupek4n = 10Vedmoch took 6 of 10
S3Vedmoch8Prokupek2n = 10Vedmoch took 8 of 10
S4Vedmoch4Prokupek2n = 6Vedmoch took 4 of 6
S5
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home330%
3–1Four sets, home440%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away110%
1–3Four sets, away110%
0–3Straight, away110%
These 10 meetings
MetricVedmochProkupekV − PBasisWins73+4in 10 meetingsFirst set64+2of 10Avg pointsper match35.733.5+2.2per matchSweeps31+23–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricVedmochProkupekBasisWin rate · lifetime697 / 1312 vs 668 / 140153.1%47.7%697 / 1312 vs 668 / 1401Avg sets wonper match2.02.0per matchAvg pointsper match37.137.6per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
VedmochVedmoch 1.73/Prokupek 2.00
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
54.5%
Vedmoch · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–2
Vedmoch won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WSep 23 · 12:00M. Vedmoch4011411143J. Prokupek364119121
WSep 3 · 22:00M. Vedmoch341111123J. Prokupek1844100
WSep 3 · 10:30M. Vedmoch341211113J. Prokupek2610880
WSep 2 · 08:00M. Vedmoch341112113J. Prokupek2151060
LAug 26 · 24:30M. Vedmoch246990J. Prokupek331111113
LAug 24 · 21:30M. Vedmoch4331411872J. Prokupek541112911113
LAug 24 · 19:00M. Vedmoch23111651J. Prokupek3961111113
WJul 16 · 09:30M. Vedmoch4181111113J. Prokupek33119671
WJul 16 · 07:30M. Vedmoch4031114123J. Prokupek4011712101
WJul 8 · 24:00M. Vedmoch44111111113J. Prokupek35913851
M. Vedmoch10
WSep 23 · 12:00J. Prokupek2.004119121M. Vedmoch1.7311411143LSep 23 · 11:00K. Darin2.50117811113M. Vedmoch1.5041111772LSep 23 · 10:30M. Vedmoch1.67134881J. Plachy2.10111111113WSep 23 · 09:00P. Zmuda1.4061140M. Vedmoch2.751113113LSep 23 · 08:00M. Vedmoch2.63311371P. Zmuda1.4411511113LSep 23 · 07:30J. Plachy2.20111212113M. Vedmoch1.617101451LSep 23 · 06:00M. Vedmoch1.91312421R. Pavelka1.80111011113LSep 22 · 17:00P. Zmuda1.571111113M. Vedmoch2.258640LSep 22 · 16:00T. Holik1.67101111113M. Vedmoch2.10126931LSep 22 · 15:00P. Zmuda1.731211113M. Vedmoch2.0010890
J. Prokupek10
LSep 23 · 12:00J. Prokupek2.004119121M. Vedmoch1.7311411143LSep 23 · 11:30J. Plachy1.8311114113J. Prokupek1.83981141LSep 23 · 10:00J. Prokupek1.57261121K. Darin2.2511117113WSep 21 · 21:30J. Prokupek1.5711117113L. Krok2.25671151LSep 21 · 20:30J. Prokupek1.5761151162L. Krok2.25118119113WSep 21 · 19:00J. Prokupek1.83811911113T. Dousa1.8311511372WSep 21 · 18:00Y. Holovatiuk1.83111375102J. Prokupek1.837111111123LSep 21 · 02:00V. Postelt1.7311127123J. Prokupek2.0081011101LSep 21 · 24:30J. Prokupek2.251111771D. Kouble1.5731311113LSep 20 · 23:00J. Prokupek2.381115591R. Krejci1.5371711113
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