TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Jakub Stolfa vs Michal Vedmoch 1-3 · Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga Pro
Played Sep 24Finished
Jakub Stolfa
Home
2.10
At publish
Lost last 4Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 4
Final
1 – 3
Set by set
1210911811811––
Michal Vedmoch
Away
1.67
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
3–7Last 10Won last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 09:51 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeMichal Vedmoch to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingJakub Stolfa above · Michal Vedmoch below
Set 1 · 12-10
Set 2 · 9-11
Set 3 · 8-11
Set 4 · 8-11
Point 80 set 4, 8-11 — our read held Michal Vedmoch at 54.0%
80 points played in total.
H2H Jakub Stolfa 9–13 Michal Vedmoch Jakub Stolfa has won 9 of their 22 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 09:51What took a side4 for · 1 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.67 (56%)
Vedmoch
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
9-13 in 22
Vedmoch
Correct
gap of 4 in 22, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Stolfa 1486 vs Vedmoch 1512
Vedmoch
Correct
both rated, 27 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Stolfa 20% vs Vedmoch 60%
Vedmoch
Correct
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Stolfa 40% vs Vedmoch 30%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Stolfa -4 · Vedmoch +2
Stolfa
Wrong
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
4 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 57% — Slight lean (leans Vedmoch) · live re-read · sealed at 54% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Stolfa form (20%) is below what odds imply (48%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsStolfa 2.10 / Vedmoch 1.67
Signal prob.43% / 57%
Edge (Vedmoch)+1.2pp
Czech Liga Pro · #13182825
Stolfa2.10
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Last match: 2 days ago (Sep 21)
Lost last 4
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog50% won 60 of 121
Down 0–1, comes back34% 24 of 71
Down 0–2, comes back6% 2 of 33
Vedmoch1.67
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Won last 2
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As favourite63% won 191 of 302
Up 2–0, closes it97% 95 of 98
Up 1–0, closes it79% 146 of 184
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeStolfa3wins
AwayVedmoch7wins
4 of 10 to a deciderVedmoch leads 7–3, and 4 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeStolfan = 2, below the 3 needed
AwayVedmoch62.5%5 of 8
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Stolfa2Vedmoch8n = 10Vedmoch took 8 of 10
S2Stolfa3Vedmoch7n = 10Vedmoch took 7 of 10
S3Stolfa5Vedmoch5n = 10split evenly
S4Stolfa5Vedmoch2n = 7Stolfa took 5 of 7
S5Stolfa1Vedmoch3n = 4Vedmoch took 3 of 4
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home220%
3–2Decider, home110%
2–3Decider, away330%
1–3Four sets, away110%
0–3Straight, away330%
These 10 meetings
MetricStolfaVedmochS − VBasisWins37−4in 10 meetingsFirst set28−6of 10Avg pointsper match38.240.7−2.5per matchSweeps03−33–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricStolfaVedmochBasisWin rate · lifetime192 / 381 vs 699 / 131550.4%53.2%192 / 381 vs 699 / 1315Avg sets wonper match2.02.0per matchAvg pointsper match37.437.1per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
VedmochStolfa 2.10/Vedmoch 1.67
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
57%
Vedmoch · sealed before the serve
What happened
1–3
Vedmoch won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LSep 24 · 06:00J. Stolfa37129881M. Vedmoch43101111113
WSep 9 · 16:00J. Stolfa4581211143M. Vedmoch3811105121
LSep 8 · 17:00J. Stolfa40111111342M. Vedmoch45132811113
LSep 8 · 15:00J. Stolfa238870M. Vedmoch331111113
WAug 26 · 10:30J. Stolfa536101511113M. Vedmoch45111213722
LJul 18 · 19:00J. Stolfa5211791692M. Vedmoch547111114113
LJul 18 · 13:00J. Stolfa237790M. Vedmoch331111113
LJul 18 · 11:00J. Stolfa2710980M. Vedmoch341211113
LJul 16 · 08:00J. Stolfa4359111172M. Vedmoch50111189113
WJul 3 · 12:00J. Stolfa3961111113M. Vedmoch32119661
J. Stolfa10
LSep 21 · 20:58T. Janata1.80115911113J. Stolfa1.9161111552LSep 21 · 20:00D. Tuma1.731111153J. Stolfa2.0098130LSep 21 · 19:00T. Janata1.832111111113J. Stolfa1.8311132782LSep 21 · 18:30J. Stolfa1.5711811862T. Vinter2.25411811113WSep 20 · 21:30J. Stolfa1.651011711113R. Pavelka2.1012511482LSep 20 · 20:00V. Postelt1.8311911113J. Stolfa1.83911581WSep 20 · 19:00P. Budinsky2.004101161J. Stolfa1.7211126113WSep 20 · 18:30J. Stolfa1.801111113R. Pavelka1.909760WSep 20 · 16:58J. Holubec1.9191111182J. Stolfa1.80114113113LSep 20 · 16:30J. Stolfa2.10511681T. Holik1.6711611113
M. Vedmoch10
LSep 24 · 07:00M. Vedmoch3.00611631M. Sobisek1.3611911113WSep 23 · 12:59M. Vedmoch1.73641111123J. Prokupek2.00111137102WSep 23 · 12:00J. Prokupek2.004119121M. Vedmoch1.7311411143LSep 23 · 11:00K. Darin2.50117811113M. Vedmoch1.5041111772LSep 23 · 10:30M. Vedmoch1.67134881J. Plachy2.10111111113WSep 23 · 09:00P. Zmuda1.4061140M. Vedmoch2.751113113LSep 23 · 08:00M. Vedmoch2.63311371P. Zmuda1.4411511113LSep 23 · 07:30J. Plachy2.20111212113M. Vedmoch1.617101451LSep 23 · 06:00M. Vedmoch1.91312421R. Pavelka1.80111011113LSep 22 · 17:00P. Zmuda1.571111113M. Vedmoch2.258640
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