TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Martin Sobisek vs Radim Pavelka 3-0 · Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga Pro
Played Sep 24Finished
Martin Sobisek
Home
1.40
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
4–6Last 10Won last 1
Final
3 – 0
Set by set
116114119––––
Radim Pavelka
Away
2.75
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
7–3Last 10Won last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 09:10 and never touched — 56.7% is still 56.7%
Graded at full timeRadim Pavelka to win
56.7%
56.7%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is goingMartin Sobisek above · Radim Pavelka below
Set 1 · 11-6
Set 2 · 11-4
Set 3 · 11-9
Point 52 set 3, 11-9 — our read held Radim Pavelka at 56.7%
52 points played in total.
H2H Martin Sobisek 1–0 Radim Pavelka Radim Pavelka has won 0 of their 1 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 09:10What took a side1 for · 2 against · 3 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.40 (66%)
Sobisek
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
1-0 in 1
—
Too close
1 played, under the floor of 3
Rating (G2)
Sobisek 1617 vs Pavelka 1582
Sobisek
Correct
both rated, 35 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Sobisek 60% vs Pavelka 60%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Sobisek 40% vs Pavelka 70%
Pavelka
Wrong
30pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Sobisek +1 · Pavelka +2
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
1 for, 3 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 66% — Clear lean (leans Sobisek) · live re-read · sealed at 43% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Pavelka form (60%) outperforms what odds imply (36%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsSobisek 1.40 / Pavelka 2.75
Signal prob.66% / 34%
Edge (Sobisek)+0.0pp
Czech Liga Pro · #13182640
Sobisek1.40
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite62% won 106 of 172
Up 2–0, closes it97% 61 of 63
Up 1–0, closes it79% 81 of 102
Pavelka2.75
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Won last 2
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog41% won 65 of 160
Down 0–1, comes back23% 20 of 89
Down 0–2, comes back2% 1 of 42
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 1 meeting
HomeSobisek1wins
AwayPavelka0wins
Sobisek leads 1–0.
First set to match win · in this matchup
Not enough first sets
Neither side has won the first set three times here, so there is no rate to publish.
Set by set, in this 1 meetingevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S2
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S3
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How that 1 finishedn = 1, below the 3 needed
3–0Straight, home1
3–1Four sets, home0
3–2Decider, home0
2–3Decider, away0
1–3Four sets, away0
0–3Straight, away0
This 1 meeting
MetricSobisekPavelkaS − PBasisWins10+1in 1 meetingFirst set10+1of 1Avg pointsper match33.019.0+14.0per matchSweeps10+13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricSobisekPavelkaBasisWin rate · lifetime574 / 1214 vs 449 / 88047.3%51%574 / 1214 vs 449 / 880Avg sets wonper match1.92.1per matchAvg pointsper match37.738.3per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
SobisekSobisek 1.40/Pavelka 2.75
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
66.3%
Sobisek · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–0
Sobisek won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record1
WSep 24 · 06:30M. Sobisek331111113R. Pavelka196490
M. Sobisek10
WSep 24 · 07:00M. Vedmoch3.00611631M. Sobisek1.3611911113WSep 23 · 17:30D. Tuma1.788870M. Sobisek1.921111113LSep 23 · 16:00J. Trefny1.9111114113M. Sobisek1.80671181WSep 23 · 15:00V. Cermak2.1071111192M. Sobisek1.67111175113WSep 23 · 14:30M. Sobisek1.9131111113D. Tuma1.80115721LSep 23 · 13:00M. Sobisek1.9177110D. Tuma1.801111133LSep 23 · 12:30M. Sobisek1.8011107101V. Cermak1.9181211123LSep 23 · 11:00M. Sobisek1.446111311112M. Volf2.63115157133WSep 23 · 10:00D. Tuma1.807970M. Sobisek1.911111113LSep 21 · 03:06M. Vizek1.831111113M. Sobisek1.839950
R. Pavelka10
WSep 24 · 07:30R. Pavelka2.101111113J. Stolfa1.675970WSep 23 · 09:30R. Pavelka1.531111123J. Plachy2.3894100WSep 23 · 08:30R. Pavelka1.61411139113J. Plachy2.20119111182LSep 23 · 07:00R. Pavelka1.83108111382P. Zmuda1.831211511113WSep 23 · 06:00M. Vedmoch1.91312421R. Pavelka1.80111011113LSep 20 · 21:30J. Stolfa1.651011711113R. Pavelka2.1012511482WSep 20 · 20:30P. Budinsky1.83118441R. Pavelka1.8351111113WSep 20 · 19:30R. Pavelka1.911111113V. Postelt1.807570LSep 20 · 18:30J. Stolfa1.801111113R. Pavelka1.909760WSep 20 · 03:00R. Pavelka1.7391111143J. Prokupek2.001158121
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