TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Vladimir Postelt vs Vladimir Cermak 0-3 · Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga Pro
Played Sep 26Finished
Form at publish
3–7Last 10Lost last 2
Final
0 – 3
Set by set
811611911––––
Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 10:41 and never touched — 56.3% is still 56.3%
Graded at full timeVladimir Cermak to win
56.3%
56.3%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingVladimir Postelt above · Vladimir Cermak below
Set 1 · 8-11
Set 2 · 6-11
Set 3 · 9-11
Point 56 set 3, 9-11 — our read held Vladimir Cermak at 56.3%
56 points played in total.
H2H Vladimir Postelt 21–28 Vladimir Cermak Vladimir Postelt has won 21 of their 49 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 10:41What took a side3 for · 0 against · 3 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.67 (56%)
Cermak
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
21-28 in 49
Cermak
Correct
gap of 7 in 49, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Postelt 1450 vs Cermak 1554
Cermak
Correct
both rated, 104 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Postelt 40% vs Cermak 40%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Postelt 30% vs Cermak 40%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Postelt -2 · Cermak -1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 3 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 57% — Slight lean (leans Cermak) · live re-read · sealed at 56% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Cermak form (40%) is below what odds imply (60%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsPostelt 2.10 / Cermak 1.67
Signal prob.43% / 57%
Edge (Cermak)+1.2pp
Czech Liga Pro · #13188653
Postelt2.10
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Lost last 2
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog39% won 42 of 109
Down 0–1, comes back19% 11 of 59
Down 0–2, comes back5% 2 of 38
Cermak1.67
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite59% won 148 of 251
Up 2–0, closes it91% 74 of 81
Up 1–0, closes it78% 118 of 152
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomePostelt4wins
AwayCermak6wins
4 of 10 to a deciderCermak leads 6–4, and 4 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomePostelt60%3 of 5
AwayCermak80%4 of 5
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Postelt5Cermak5n = 10split evenly
S2Postelt5Cermak5n = 10split evenly
S3Postelt6Cermak4n = 10Postelt took 6 of 10
S4Postelt4Cermak4n = 8split evenly
S5Postelt1Cermak3n = 4Cermak took 3 of 4
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home220%
3–1Four sets, home110%
3–2Decider, home110%
2–3Decider, away330%
1–3Four sets, away330%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 10 meetings
MetricPosteltCermakP − CBasisWins46−2in 10 meetingsFirst set550of 10Avg pointsper match37.237.7−0.5per matchSweeps20+23–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricPosteltCermakBasisWin rate · lifetime427 / 811 vs 553 / 108752.7%50.9%427 / 811 vs 553 / 1087Avg sets wonper match2.12.1per matchAvg pointsper match38.538.3per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
CermakPostelt 2.10/Cermak 1.67
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
57%
Cermak · sealed before the serve
What happened
0–3
Cermak won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WJul 8 · 19:00V. Postelt331111113V. Cermak186840
WJun 8 · 20:58V. Postelt47671111123V. Cermak45111167102
LJun 8 · 19:30V. Postelt33511981V. Cermak3811511113
LMay 25 · 12:00V. Postelt29411861V. Cermak3711411113
LMay 13 · 03:00V. Postelt28871121V. Cermak4011117113
LMay 12 · 23:30V. Postelt4111771152V. Cermak49911117113
LMay 11 · 08:58V. Postelt3911611292V. Cermak48611911113
WMay 11 · 07:00V. Postelt331111113V. Cermak229580
LMay 7 · 14:30V. Postelt48105111392V. Cermak481211311113
WMay 7 · 13:30V. Postelt4111118113V. Cermak32841191
V. Postelt10
LSep 26 · 00:00T. Janata1.5011117113V. Postelt2.50891161LSep 25 · 22:30M. Vedmoch1.501111113V. Postelt2.509680WSep 25 · 21:09V. Postelt1.721211113K. Novak2.0010590WSep 25 · 20:00K. Novak3.401015111192V. Postelt1.301213136113LSep 25 · 19:00M. Kolar2.101111113V. Postelt1.675680LSep 25 · 18:30V. Postelt1.4413911101J. Dedek2.6315114123LSep 21 · 03:12D. Kouble1.44111111153V. Postelt2.631379131WSep 21 · 02:00V. Postelt1.7311127123J. Prokupek2.0081011101LSep 21 · 01:00V. Postelt2.00111171452P. Zmuda1.73871116113LSep 21 · 00:00R. Krejci1.441111113V. Postelt2.635360
V. Cermak10
LSep 25 · 23:30V. Cermak1.4011961172M. Vedmoch2.75811119113WSep 25 · 22:00V. Cermak2.2011611113D. Kouble1.61811871WSep 25 · 02:58M. Vedmoch2.5036100V. Cermak1.501111123LSep 25 · 02:30D. Tuma2.00111155113V. Cermak1.7386111142LSep 25 · 01:00D. Kouble1.611111153V. Cermak2.2084130WSep 24 · 23:30V. Cermak1.5771111113F. Just2.25117731LSep 24 · 22:00V. Cermak1.4411411652M. Vedmoch2.63911711113WSep 24 · 12:58V. Cermak1.8011119113M. Sobisek1.91491121LSep 24 · 12:30D. Tuma2.1011116113V. Cermak1.67861181LSep 24 · 11:30V. Cermak1.7341160P. Zmuda2.001113113
Upcoming Matches
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V. Cermak
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