TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Michal Vedmoch vs Vladimir Postelt 3-0 · Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga Pro
Played Sep 25Finished
Form at publish
2–8Last 10Lost last 5
Final
3 – 0
Set by set
119116118––––
Form at publish
4–6Last 10Won last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 13:52 and never touched — 63.3% is still 63.3%
Graded at full timeMichal Vedmoch to win
63.3%
63.3%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingMichal Vedmoch above · Vladimir Postelt below
Set 1 · 11-9
Set 2 · 11-6
Set 3 · 11-8
Point 56 set 3, 11-8 — our read held Michal Vedmoch at 63.3%
56 points played in total.
H2H Michal Vedmoch 20–16 Vladimir Postelt Vladimir Postelt has won 16 of their 36 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 13:52What took a side3 for · 3 against · 0 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.50 (63%)
Vedmoch
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
20-16 in 36
Vedmoch
Correct
gap of 4 in 36, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Vedmoch 1439 vs Postelt 1472
Postelt
Wrong
both rated, 34 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Vedmoch 0% vs Postelt 40%
Postelt
Wrong
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Vedmoch 20% vs Postelt 40%
Postelt
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Vedmoch -5 · Postelt +2
Vedmoch
Correct
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 0 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 63% — Clear lean (leans Vedmoch)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Vedmoch form (0%) is below what odds imply (67%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsVedmoch 1.50 / Postelt 2.50
Signal prob.63% / 37%
Edge (Vedmoch)+0.8pp
Czech Liga Pro · #13189395
Vedmoch1.50
20%won 2 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Lost last 5
oldest → newest30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As favourite63% won 193 of 305
Up 2–0, closes it97% 96 of 99
Up 1–0, closes it80% 147 of 185
Postelt2.50
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Won last 2
oldest → newest70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As underdog39% won 42 of 109
Down 0–1, comes back19% 11 of 59
Down 0–2, comes back5% 2 of 38
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeVedmoch9wins
AwayPostelt1wins
2 of 10 to a deciderVedmoch leads 9–1, and 2 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeVedmoch88.9%8 of 9
AwayPosteltn = 1, below the 3 needed
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Vedmoch9Postelt1n = 10Vedmoch took 9 of 10
S2Vedmoch8Postelt2n = 10Vedmoch took 8 of 10
S3Vedmoch7Postelt3n = 10Vedmoch took 7 of 10
S4Vedmoch2Postelt2n = 4split evenly
S5
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home660%
3–1Four sets, home110%
3–2Decider, home220%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away110%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 10 meetings
MetricVedmochPosteltV − PBasisWins91+8in 10 meetingsFirst set91+8of 10Avg pointsper match38.330.3+8.0per matchSweeps60+63–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricVedmochPosteltBasisWin rate · lifetime701 / 1326 vs 427 / 80952.9%52.8%701 / 1326 vs 427 / 809Avg sets wonper match2.02.1per matchAvg pointsper match37.038.5per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
VedmochVedmoch 1.50/Postelt 2.50
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
63.3%
Vedmoch · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–0
Vedmoch won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WSep 8 · 22:00M. Vedmoch46141110113V. Postelt411281291
WAug 30 · 01:00M. Vedmoch331111113V. Postelt208570
LAug 25 · 23:30M. Vedmoch33116881V. Postelt4291111113
WAug 14 · 23:30M. Vedmoch361211133V. Postelt27106110
WJul 20 · 08:00M. Vedmoch45118132113V. Postelt44411111172
WJul 18 · 20:00M. Vedmoch331111113V. Postelt197660
WJun 19 · 16:30M. Vedmoch371511113V. Postelt2413290
WMay 30 · 15:00M. Vedmoch341111123V. Postelt2174100
WMay 29 · 11:30M. Vedmoch517111111113V. Postelt4011313762
WMay 11 · 08:30M. Vedmoch351111133V. Postelt2577110
M. Vedmoch10
WSep 25 · 23:30V. Cermak1.4011961172M. Vedmoch2.75811119113LSep 25 · 21:00T. Janata1.401111113M. Vedmoch2.708650LSep 25 · 20:00M. Vedmoch2.755880D. Tuma1.401111113LSep 25 · 19:30J. Stolfa2.101211511113M. Vedmoch1.6714911772LSep 25 · 18:00M. Vedmoch2.388460T. Janata1.531111113LSep 25 · 02:58M. Vedmoch2.5036100V. Cermak1.501111123WSep 25 · 02:00D. Kouble1.918760M. Vedmoch1.801111113LSep 25 · 00:30M. Vedmoch2.25471151F. Just1.5711117113LSep 24 · 23:00M. Vedmoch3.00115791D. Tuma1.3671111113WSep 24 · 22:00V. Cermak1.4411411652M. Vedmoch2.63911711113
V. Postelt10
LSep 26 · 00:00T. Janata1.5011117113V. Postelt2.50891161WSep 25 · 21:09V. Postelt1.721211113K. Novak2.0010590WSep 25 · 20:00K. Novak3.401015111192V. Postelt1.301213136113LSep 25 · 19:00M. Kolar2.101111113V. Postelt1.675680LSep 25 · 18:30V. Postelt1.4413911101J. Dedek2.6315114123LSep 21 · 03:12D. Kouble1.44111111153V. Postelt2.631379131WSep 21 · 02:00V. Postelt1.7311127123J. Prokupek2.0081011101LSep 21 · 01:00V. Postelt2.00111171452P. Zmuda1.73871116113LSep 21 · 00:00R. Krejci1.441111113V. Postelt2.635360LSep 20 · 22:30D. Kouble1.50611811113V. Postelt2.5011411532
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